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4 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
f4f44b5ebe
refactor(contacts): rename propagation_mechanism_status -> mechanism_status
Column name now matches the type key used everywhere else:
  :hrrr -> hrrr_status, :weather -> weather_status,
  :terrain -> terrain_status, :mechanism -> mechanism_status

Drops the @status_column_overrides remap in BackfillEnqueueWorker
(status_column/1 is now a straight :"#{type}_status" derivation) and
the long-form references in Contact, ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker,
and MechanismClassifyWorker. Migration is a metadata-only RENAME
COLUMN + RENAME INDEX — safe to land in prod (no table rewrite,
brief catalog lock only).
2026-04-21 09:28:37 -05:00
4e6c87eca2
feat(telemetry): broaden Instrument span coverage
Adds spans to 15 previously-unmeasured hot paths so every question we
might ask while tuning has a histogram to answer it:

External I/O:
- iem.fetch_iemre (gridded weather reanalysis)
- mrms.list_latest / mrms.download (precip radar)
- rtma.fetch_observation
- ncei.fetch_metar (historical 5-min METAR backfill)
- solar.fetch_indices (GFZ solar indices)
- swpc.fetch (SWPC Kp/F10.7/X-ray)
- giro.fetch (ionosonde)
- qrz.request, geocoder.geocode (callsign enrichment)
- srtm.download_tile (terrain tile download + gunzip)
- hrrr.download_grib_ranges (parallel byte-range fetch phase)

Subprocess:
- wgrib2.extract_grid / extract_grid_from_file / extract_grid_from_file_mapped

LiveView hot paths:
- propagation.scores_at (map score fetch + cache hit/miss counter)
- propagation.point_forecast (sparkline)
- propagation.point_detail (click-to-inspect)
- propagation.daily_outlook_at (/map outlook strip)

Worker-level end-to-end:
- worker.terrain_profile
- worker.mechanism_classify
- worker.mrms_fetch

Each event is registered in Microwaveprop.PromEx.InstrumentPlugin as
a Prometheus histogram (default / long buckets as appropriate) plus
a counter for the scores_at cache hit/miss ratio. Prometheus at
10.0.15.25 will start seeing the new series on the next scrape after
deploy.
2026-04-18 17:25:33 -05:00
2874e6a93b
perf+fix: parallelize path HRRR queries; fix meteor-shower year boundary
Audit pass found two real issues (most agent-flagged items were false
positives — the hrrr_native_profiles composite index exists,
pwat_mm/bl_depth_m are already in the path conditions map, and the
/1.0 in MechanismClassifier is the standard Elixir int→float coerce).

1. Path calculator's 9-point HRRR sampling was running sequentially,
   ~9× the latency of a single query. Task.async_stream with
   max_concurrency: 9 makes them concurrent so path calc pays roughly
   one query's worth of time instead of nine.

2. MechanismClassifyWorker's meteor-shower window used hardcoded 2024
   peak dates with `%{date | year: peak.year}` projection. That broke
   across year boundaries — a Dec 30 contact couldn't match a Jan 4
   Quadrantids peak even in-range of the ±3 day window. Switched to
   {month, day} tuples and check the peak projected onto year N-1, N,
   N+1 so the window works correctly near Dec 31 / Jan 1.
2026-04-18 12:08:42 -05:00
622edee180
feat(propagation): per-contact mechanism classification
Classifies every contact's likely non-LOS propagation mechanism and
persists the result on contacts.propagation_mechanism. Mechanism is
determined in priority order:

  1. user_declared_prop_mode (ADIF PROP_MODE from the operator log)
  2. EME — moon-ephemeris check, ≥2m band, >1800 km path
  3. aurora — Kp≥5 + high-lat path, 50-432 MHz
  4. sporadic-E — foEs × 5 ≥ band_mhz, 400-2500 km path
  5. meteor_scatter — ±3 days of a shower peak, VHF/UHF
  6. rain_scatter — common-volume radar heavy rain, 5-11 GHz ≤800 km
  7. tropo_duct — HRRR native_best_duct ≥ band or ducting_detected
  8. line_of_sight — ≤50 km path
  9. troposcatter — default

Persisted via MechanismClassifyWorker (queue: :mechanism, unique on
contact_id). Submit-time enqueue path includes :mechanism by default;
BackfillEnqueueWorker cron now handles :mechanism alongside existing
types so prod continuously backfills any contact with
propagation_mechanism_status in (:pending, :queued, :failed). Also
added :radar to the cron's type list so common-volume radar backfill
runs automatically rather than only via `mix radar_backfill`.

New modules:
- Microwaveprop.Propagation.MoonEphemeris — Meeus low-precision moon
  position, accuracy ±1° — enough for the mutual-visibility EME test
- Microwaveprop.Propagation.MechanismClassifier — plug-in priority
  chain over the evidence map
- Microwaveprop.Workers.MechanismClassifyWorker — assembles inputs
  from HRRR / native profiles / common-volume radar / solar_indices /
  ionosonde + calls the classifier

ADIF importer now reads PROP_MODE into user_declared_prop_mode so
operator-tagged mechanisms (EME/ES/MS/RS/AS/AUR) become ground truth.
2026-04-18 10:42:08 -05:00