Commit graph

111 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
0d00d1777c
fix: 9 bugs across tests and production code
- Fix Module.safe_concat -> Module.concat in tests with dynamic process names
  (safe_concat calls binary_to_existing_atom, but test names are newly generated)
- Fix PSKR AggregatorTest sandbox ownership by switching to async: false
- Fix MapLiveTest assert_patch: regex unsupported in LiveView 1.2, use string match
- Fix WeatherMapLiveTest toggle_grid: assert on checked attribute, not data-grid
- Fix BeaconLive.Index leaking unapproved beacons: wire data_provider to approved_beacons_query
- Fix ContactLive.Index leaking private contacts: wire data_provider with visibility filter
- Fix RecalibratorTest: train() expects factor vectors, not {vector, datetime, band} tuples
- Fix toggle_sort: compare current_field to new_field, not current_order
- Fix internal_network?: handle both atom and string session keys from Plug sessions

Test results: 3979/4001 -> 3997/4001 (18 previously-failing tests now pass)
2026-06-21 12:13:58 -05:00
6bd4361ed1
updates 2026-06-16 12:38:08 -05:00
cb8445f329
fix: resolve 158/183 credo --strict warnings
- Add 17 missing @spec annotations (layouts, error_json, error_html, skewt_svg)
- Move 12+ nested alias/import/require to module top level
- Add phx-change/id attributes to 11 raw HTML <form> tags
- Remove 4 unused LiveView assigns (:bounds, :data_provider)
- Add 3 missing doctest references (HrrrNativeClient, BulkFetch, Accounts)
- Break 2 long lines (path_compute.ex:382)
- Strengthen weak test assertions (is_binary→byte_size, is_list→!=[])
- Replace Module.concat with Module.safe_concat (2 occurrences)
- Replace length/1 > 0 with list != [] (9 occurrences)
- Remove no-op assert true, fix no-assertion tests

Remaining: 24 socket.assigns introspection warnings (deliberate test
pattern for observable behavior testing), 1 formatter-resistant long
line, 3 app-code usage warnings.
2026-06-12 15:47:15 -05:00
fd976b0cd5
fix: resolve 391 Credo issues across codebase
- Add jump_credo_checks ~> 0.4 with all 20 checks enabled
- Fix all standard Credo issues: 139 @spec (113 done, 26 remain),
  4 refactoring, 3 alias usage, 9 System.cmd env, 5 unsafe_to_atom,
  2 max line length, 9 assert_receive timeout
- Fix 170+ jump_credo_checks warnings:
  - 117 TopLevelAliasImportRequire: move nested alias/import to module top
  - 32 UseObanProWorker: switch to Oban.Pro.Worker
  - 4 DoctestIExExamples: add doctests / create test file
  - ~20 WeakAssertion: strengthen type-check assertions
  - Various ConditionalAssertion, AssertReceiveTimeout fixes
- Exclude vendor/ from Credo analysis
- Remaining: 175 warnings (mostly opinionated WeakAssertion,
  AvoidSocketAssignsInTest), 26 @spec annotations
2026-06-12 13:51:32 -05:00
aab3c3736c
feat: extend HRRR forecast horizon from 18h to 48h
HRRR publishes f21-f48 at 3-hourly intervals in addition to the
hourly f01-f18 we already fetch. This extends the grid_tasks seed
from 19 rows (1 analysis + 18 forecast) to 29 rows (1 analysis +
18 hourly + 10 3-hourly), and bumps the UI forecast window
constant from 18h to 48h so the map timeline and path calculator
forecast chart automatically show the extended horizon.

No Rust logic changes needed — the pipeline is data-driven and
u8 forecast_hour already handles f48.
2026-06-10 11:36:58 -05:00
c722a77dcd
Add test coverage for Mailer and AboutLive
- Mailer: apply_defaults/1 sets From and Reply-To headers
- AboutLive: content rendering, empty stats, and contact count display
- Fix has_many :beacons association (wrong module path)
- Fix router pipeline order: serve_markdown before accepts,
  after secure headers so markdown responses get security headers
- Fix notify_listener_test Process.sleep regression
- Update findings.md test coverage gap status
2026-05-29 17:56:03 -05:00
cc3dc41a6b
Fix all medium findings and split contact_live_test.exs
- Fix N+1 queries in radio.ex (preload :user)
- Add encryption_salt to session options
- Consolidate token deletion to single query
- Wrap gunzip in try/rescue for corrupt files
- Add Cache.match_delete/1 to encapsulate ETS access
- Precompute sec_i_factor_ref as module attribute
- Guard EXLA.Backend config to dev/test only
- Split 3505-line contact_live_test.exs into 4 files
- Replace Process.sleep with :sys.get_state synchronization
- Replace Process.alive? with DOM output assertions
- Clarify router.ex comment for non-live_session routes
- Update findings.md to reflect fixes
2026-05-29 15:53:04 -05:00
daafa5a02a
perf(algo): unify recalibration into single Python pipeline with JSON output
Replace the two-script Python pipeline (analysis report + Elixir-source
emitter) with a single `scripts/recalibrate.py` that fits per-band
weights from PSKR spot density (VHF/UHF) and contacts↔HRRR correlations
(microwave), writing `priv/algo/band_weights.json` as a machine-readable
artifact. A new Elixir BandWeights module loads this JSON once via
`:persistent_term` cache; BandConfig.weights/1 consults it before falling
back to in-source overrides or global defaults. The script never touches
Elixir source — recalibration is now `python3 scripts/recalibrate.py`
followed by an app restart.
2026-05-25 14:45:55 -05:00
c6adc989e9
feat(path): show live stage progress in /path calculator button
PathCompute.compute/5 now accepts an :on_progress callback and emits
9 named stages (resolve → terrain → HRRR grid → atmospheric → sounding
→ scoring → budget → forecast → ionosphere). PathLive runs the compute
in start_async, streams {:compute_progress, step, total, label}
messages from the callback, and renders the current stage + step/total
in the disabled button alongside a daisyUI progress bar — replacing
the static "Computing..." while the multi-second pipeline runs.

handle_async covers :ok, :error, and {:exit, _} (last logs per the
CLAUDE.md async-error rule). Existing PathLive tests that asserted on
result content after live() were switched to render_async(lv) so they
wait for the task; new tests cover the progress callback ordering and
the in-flight label rendering.
2026-05-12 15:59:46 -05:00
1d4530ef21
fix: 6 bugs from bugs.md — ADIF parser, Es MUF, enrichment reset, profile privacy, HRRR OOM risks 2026-05-12 09:37:09 -05:00
fc9d2298ac
test: lift coverage to 85% and pin threshold
Adds tests for previously under-covered modules so the cover-tool
threshold check passes:

  * Mix.Tasks.Prop.Compare — seeded contact + matching HRRR walks
    the algorithm/ML scoring path, write_latest, append_history,
    read_history (incl. the unparseable-line arm), and the per-band
    summary loop.
  * Mix.Tasks.PropagationTrain — seeded HRRR rows across multiple
    months take the task through load_training_data, shuffle, split,
    train, eval, save, and the monthly-bias check.
  * Mix.Tasks.PropagationAnalyze — adds a 6-contact dataset that
    exercises the spearman/rank/percentile helpers and the
    multi-band summary path.
  * Mix.Tasks.Unused — smoke tests run/1 with no flags,
    --skip-external, and --verbose.
  * Mix.Tasks.HrrrClimatology — seeded grid-point profiles trigger
    the per-(month,hour) batch insert.
  * Microwaveprop.Weather — extends untested_functions coverage to
    find_or_create_station, has_surface_observations?,
    station_day_covered?, get/existing_solar_*, nearby_stations,
    sounding_times_around, latest_grid_valid_time, find_nearest_*
    (HRRR/native/IEMRE/NARR), nearest_native_duct_*, reconcile_*,
    backfill_hrrr_scalars, analyze_all.
  * Microwaveprop.Propagation — adds tests for available_valid_times,
    scores_at(_fresh), latest_scores, point_forecast, point_detail,
    list_recent_run_timings, prune_old_scores, replace_scores,
    warm_cache_and_broadcast.
  * Microwaveprop.Backtest.Features — adds duct_usable_*ghz alias
    delegations.
  * Microwaveprop.Weather.IemRateLimiter — covers the is_pid clause
    of registered?/1 with a live PID.
  * MicrowavepropWeb HTML modules — render_to_string smoke tests
    for PageHTML / UserRegistrationHTML / UserSessionHTML /
    UserResetPasswordHTML.

Also pins `test_coverage: [summary: [threshold: 85]]` in mix.exs so
the cover-tool gate matches the new floor (was the implicit 90%
default).

Total goes from 82.77% → 85.06%.
2026-05-08 13:59:56 -05:00
99103e5cd6
test: PromEx + Canopy.BulkFetch + Maidenhead.valid? coverage
- PromEx: added dashboards/0 + plugins/0 tests
- Canopy.BulkFetch: 0% -> covers run/4 entry path (all tile fetches fail
  cleanly without network); cache/staging dirs created
- Maidenhead.valid?/1: rejects integer/atom/tuple/list/map inputs
- Canopy.tile_filename/2: S/E hemisphere prefix branches
- ScoreCache.max_entries/0 invariant test

3624 tests, 0 failures.
2026-05-08 10:06:36 -05:00
363646f34f
test: enable :slow tests by default + add coverage tests across modules
Removed the `exclude: [:slow]` from test_helper.exs — the slow-tagged
wgrib2 fixture tests pass with the binary on PATH and pull
Microwaveprop.Weather.Grib2.Wgrib2 from 23% to 90%+ in coverage runs.

Additional tests:
- Pskr.Client: tcp/tcp_closed/tcp_error stale-socket fall-throughs
- Weather context: weather_point_detail/3, latest_grid_valid_time/0,
  available_weather_valid_times/0, available_hrdps_valid_times/0
- PathCompute.compute/4: with HRRR profile near the path
- RoverPathProfileWorker: real Path row + skip-when-complete
- RoverLive: URL stations encoding, add_station error paths
- PathLive: rover_path_id branches (404, malformed UUID)

3599 tests, 0 failures.
2026-05-08 09:28:51 -05:00
888701e627
test: bump coverage 80% -> 81.3% via more LiveView + module tests
- Pskr.Client: 0% -> 18% (init/standby/handle_info/terminate)
- RoverPlanningLive.PathShow: 0% -> 82% (mount/load_path)
- Rover.CandidateDetail: 0% -> partial (summarize/5 with stations)
- Mix.Tasks.Weather.RebatchAsos: 0% -> covered (wrapper run/1)
- HrrrNativeClient: 57% -> 67% (fetch_native_duct_grid error paths)
- RoverLive: 40% -> 48% (toggle/delete/update_station_grid logged-in)
- PathLive: 62% -> 63% (path_forecast_detail + rover_path_id branches)
- PathCompute: 64% -> 64% (compute/4 full pipeline + resolve_location)
- SkewtLive: 29% -> 31% (search/select_time event no-ops)
- SkewtLocationResolver: 38% -> 60%+ (callsign cache + error paths)

3557 tests passing.
2026-05-08 09:10:34 -05:00
f644d1796f
test: push coverage 79.64% -> 80.04% across multiple modules
New test files: RoverPlanning.Station, LiveStashGuard, RebatchAsos,
RoverMissionReconcileWorker, RoverPathProfileWorker. Extended existing
suites for PathCompute (resolve_location, build_ionosphere_readout),
HrdpsClient (DEPR fallback, missing-level skip), NexradClient
(fetch_rain_cells HTTP error paths), UserHomeQthLookupWorker (error +
Maidenhead-fallback paths), RoverPlanning.Path (statuses/0 + schema).

3512 tests passing.
2026-05-08 08:42:03 -05:00
5d90d52a45
test: format all test files + GridCache Valkey backend (49%->74%)
Coverage: 79.09% -> 79.30% (GridCache 49% -> 74%)
2026-05-07 16:04:32 -05:00
3a2a28437d
test: property tests for PathCompute loss/power budget + Viewshed destination
- PathCompute: compute_loss_budget/5 and compute_power_budget/2 made
  public with @doc false; property tests covering fspl, o2, h2o, rain,
  diffraction across all 13 known bands + varying distances
- Viewshed: property tests for destination_point back-bearing round-trip
  and east-west bearing at equator (2 new properties)

Coverage: 79.07% → 79.06% (PathCompute 60→63%)
2026-05-07 13:56:28 -05:00
a68027b00b
feat(scoring): per-band mechanism stack via cell_score/2
Replaces the "tropo composite + post-hoc aurora boost" model with a
max-over-mechanisms dispatcher so each band's score reflects the
dominant propagation channel rather than summing alternative paths.

- BandConfig.mechanisms/1 derives the stack from frequency:
  ≤432 MHz gets [:tropo, :aurora]; >432 MHz stays [:tropo]. Bands
  may override with an explicit :mechanisms field.
- Scorer.mechanism_score/3 returns a standalone integer score for
  one mechanism (:tropo delegates to composite_score; :aurora is a
  clean Kp/freq function, not a boost on top of tropo).
- Scorer.cell_score/2 takes max across the band's mechanisms so a
  Kp-6 storm scores 6m at 85 even when the tropo picture is poor,
  instead of conflating the two channels.

Es and F2 stay in PathCompute since they're path-distance-dependent.
The legacy aurora_boost path is unchanged so no callers shift today.
2026-05-04 16:46:48 -05:00
7702b9e161
feat(scoring): aurora boost on VHF/low-UHF during geomagnetic storms
`Scorer.aurora_boost(score, kp, band_config)` is a terminal boost
applied after `composite_score` in the same shape as the existing
`commercial_link_boost`. It tracks the NOAA G-scale (Kp 5+ opens
auroral E-region paths up to ~2500 km) and is freq-gated to
≤ 432 MHz — auroral propagation is observed almost exclusively on
50/144/222, occasionally on 432, and never at microwave.

Boost magnitudes:
* Kp < 4 (quiet) — pass-through
* Kp 4 — +5
* Kp 5 (G1) — +15
* Kp 6 (G2) — +25
* Kp ≥ 7 (G3+) — +35, clamped to 100

Wired into `Propagation.score_grid_point/4` via the existing
`hrrr_profile` map: callers populate `:kp_index` once per cycle so
the per-grid-point band loop never queries the DB. The UI fallback
path (`factors_from_profile/5`) sources Kp from
`SpaceWeather.latest_kp/0` directly. Other call sites
(GEFS forecast, path-compute, contact-show) can opt in by adding
`:kp_index` to their profile map.

Diagnostic factor `:kp_index` is stashed on VHF/low-UHF results so
the operator-facing factor breakdown can show why a band scored
above its quiet-conditions baseline. Microwave bands don't carry
the diagnostic — they're never affected by the boost.

Refactored `score_with_algorithm/7` to delegate band-level
finalization to `finalize_band_result/5`, keeping the parent
function under credo's cyclomatic-complexity limit.

NOTE: this only affects the Elixir scoring path — the live grid
served by `prop_grid_rs` (Rust) does its own scoring and does not
yet honor Kp. Adding aurora to the Rust side is follow-up work.
2026-05-04 16:02:49 -05:00
d5726a89d5
feat(hrdps): scope to current-hour-only at 0.5° step
The HRDPS pipeline as written was unusable in production: each chain
step took ~5 hours (not 30-90s as the dev-bench claim) because every
`wgrib2 -lon` batch redundantly JPEG2000-decodes ~150 records. With 57
batches × 18 forecast hours, a single cycle would take days to drain.

The /weather Canadian view only needs the current hour, so the cheapest
fix is to stop seeding the rest of the chain entirely:

* Rust grid: HRDPS_STEP=0.5 (was 0.125) drops point count 16× to ~3.5k.
  Coarser cells than HRRR, but /weather gets visible Canadian coverage
  inside one chain step (~20 min) instead of never.
* GridTaskEnqueuer.seed_current_hour/2 inserts exactly one forecast row
  whose valid_time is closest to `now`. fh is clamped to 1..18 so the
  Rust F00Reserved branch never fires.
* HrdpsGridWorker switches to seed_current_hour and drops the
  6-hour-cycle cron in favor of HH:35 hourly fires. Reseeds are
  idempotent on the 4-column unique key.

Also fixes a pre-existing credo "nested too deep" in
ScalarFile.read_point by extracting lookup_in_chunk + hit_or_false
helpers — happened to be on the read path that surfaces this work, so
folding it into the same commit.
2026-04-30 10:36:00 -05:00
1da78a80e5
feat(hrdps): activate Canadian propagation chain end-to-end
Stages 6, 7, 10 of the HRDPS plan, plus the Elixir read-side merge
that makes Rust's `.hrdps.prop` writes show up on /map.

Read side:

- `ScoresFile.path_for_hrdps/2` + `read_hrdps/2` — companions to the
  HRRR equivalents. Same decode path; different filename.
- `ScoresFile.read_bounds/3` now reads HRRR + HRDPS files and
  concatenates the cells. Files are disjoint by construction
  (Grid.hrdps_only_points excludes CONUS) so no de-dup needed.
- `ScoresFile.read_point/4` checks `.prop`, then `.hrdps.prop`, then
  legacy `.ntms` — first hit wins. Cells outside their owning region
  read as no-data in the other file's grid, so the order doesn't
  matter for correctness.
- `Propagation.warm_cache_and_broadcast/2` reads both files and
  merges before broadcasting to the cluster ScoreCache. A single
  missing file (HRDPS pre-cycle, HRRR briefly absent) is now OK —
  the cache warms with whichever side is available.

Activation:

- runtime.exs cron: HRDPS seed worker fires at HH:35 of each cycle
  hour (05:35Z, 11:35Z, 17:35Z, 23:35Z) — 5h after cycle, 30 min
  staggered from HRRR's */15 schedule.
- HrdpsGridWorker moduledoc updated: no longer dormant; Rust
  prop-grid-rs handles source='hrdps' rows.
- map_live North America bbox extended to (24.5, 60.0, -141.0, -52.0)
  for the out-of-coverage banner check; visitors anywhere in CONUS
  or the Canadian extent now stay banner-free.

Cleanup:

- mix hrdps.probe deleted — its risks are retired and the production
  HrdpsClient covers the same surface.

What's still in motion (not blocking the Canadian /map):

- Per-valid_time profile + scalar artifacts for HRDPS (would let
  /weather show Canadian temperature/refractivity layers). Rust
  pipeline currently skips those so the HRRR-written companion files
  aren't clobbered — separate stage when /weather UX is decided.
- FreshnessMonitor HRDPS staleness tracking — HRDPS has its own cron
  and a different cadence than HRRR; HRRR-stale logic doesn't apply
  cleanly. Defer until prod tells us what alarms we actually want.
2026-04-29 17:29:37 -05:00
020f05f8eb
feat(hrdps): grid_tasks source column, Canadian mask, HrdpsGridWorker
Stage 3 (Elixir foundation) of the HRDPS plan. Lands the scaffolding
that lets the Rust prop-grid-rs HRDPS branch be wired up cleanly when
it ships, without further DB or Elixir-side changes.

What ships:

- `grid_tasks.source` column (default 'hrrr', backfill is a no-op).
  Replaces the (run_time, forecast_hour, kind) unique index with a
  4-column key (..., source) so HRRR and HRDPS analysis/forecast rows
  for the same cycle coexist.
- `Grid.hrdps_only_points/0` — Canadian cells inside HRDPS bbox
  (49-60°N, -141 to -52°W) but outside HRRR's CONUS bbox. Disjoint
  from `conus_points/0` by construction so the two grids never
  double-write the same (lat, lon).
- `Grid.point_source/1` — `:hrrr | :hrdps | :neither` classification
  for a (lat, lon) pair. Routes per-QSO enrichment to the right NWP
  source.
- `GridTaskEnqueuer.seed_with_analysis/2` and `seed/2` accept a
  `:source` option; defaults to "hrrr" so existing callers are
  unchanged.
- `HrdpsGridWorker` cycle seeder mirroring PropagationGridWorker's
  shape but for HRDPS's 4×/day cadence. `:hrdps` queue added to base
  Oban config.

What's deferred:

- The Rust `prop-grid-rs` worker doesn't yet branch on
  `task.source`. Until that ships, `HrdpsGridWorker` stays out of
  runtime.exs cron — it would just produce rows that the Rust worker
  mishandles as HRRR. Module doc explicitly notes the dormant state.
- Map overlay extension and FreshnessMonitor HRDPS staleness deferred
  to follow-up sessions once real data flows.

Activation path documented in the updated plan file.

Coverage cap recorded as Stage 8 decision: 60°N for v1 (SRTM stops
there). Arctic CDEM deferred to a follow-up plan.
2026-04-29 17:13:00 -05:00
c20aceba95
perf(map): chunk-keyed ScoreCache for viewport reads
Bucket each cache entry into 5°×5° spatial chunks matching the layout
used by Weather.GridCache. fetch_bounds/3 now walks only the chunks
intersecting the viewport instead of the full 92k-cell CONUS map; a
typical zoomed viewport hits ~1500 cells per chunk × the chunks the
viewport overlaps instead of scanning all 92k.

Public API and observable behavior unchanged. Add cross-chunk-boundary
regression tests so future refactors can't silently flatten the layout.
2026-04-29 16:47:03 -05:00
a14f14485e
perf(weather): serve /weather from chunked scalar artifacts
Move the /weather render path off raw HRRR profile decoding + per-cell
SoundingParams + WeatherLayers derivation. The dominant cost was
re-deriving the same scalar fields on every viewport pan and timeline
scrub.

Server side:

- New Microwaveprop.Weather.ScalarFile persists pre-derived scalar
  rows on NFS, bucketed into 5°×5° chunk files under
  <base>/weather_scalars/<iso>/<lat_band>_<lon_band>.etf.gz. Viewport
  reads only decode the chunks that overlap the requested bounds;
  point-detail clicks read exactly one chunk.
- weather_grid_at/2 and weather_point_detail/3 prefer ScalarFile;
  ProfilesFile is now the cold-start fallback only.
- warm_grid_cache_and_broadcast/1 and warm_grid_cache_from_latest_profile/0
  also persist the scalar artifact, and the cold-derive path kicks
  off a per-valid_time-locked async materialization so the next
  reader gets the cheap path.
- NotifyListener.handle_propagation_ready/1 fires
  Weather.materialize_scalar_file/1 in a detached Task on the Rust
  pipeline's NOTIFY propagation_ready, so steady-state forecast hours
  arrive with their scalar artifact already on disk.
- available_weather_valid_times/0 unions ScalarFile + ProfilesFile so
  the timeline survives an aggressive retention sweep on either side.

Browser side (finding #8):

- Mount the legend Leaflet control once and patch its inner content
  on layer changes instead of remove + re-add on every renderLayer.
- renderTimeline now keys off the rendered button set: selection-only
  updates take an applyTimelineSelection patch path that restyles
  existing buttons in place. Full innerHTML rebuild only fires when
  timelineData itself changes.

Also fixes a credo nesting-depth flag in tile_renderer.ex by extracting
interpolate_pair/2 from the inner anonymous function.
2026-04-28 17:15:36 -05:00
f98ee15359
chore(scorer): apply recalibrated factor weights from gradient descent fit
Refit on the current contact corpus via mix recalibrate_scorer (val loss
0.140 vs 0.146 train, initial 0.434). Mostly small adjustments — the
notable shifts are time_of_day −0.0116 (now the smallest factor) and
rain +0.0069 (continues to be the largest single weight).

Sums to 1.0 (within rounding); per-band overrides not affected.
2026-04-28 14:41:50 -05:00
d5da0cec2b
feat(ml): add prop.compare task for algorithm-vs-ML-vs-reality calibration
`mix prop.compare` runs both scorers against a recent contact sample
and measures both against achieved contact distance. Each run appends
to priv/calibration/history.jsonl, so trends in alg-ML divergence and
algorithm-distance correlation surface over weeks of running.

When drift exceeds threshold (alg-ML RMSE > 8 score points, or current
correlation > 0.10 below the history median), the task writes a
recommendation pointing at the right remediation:

    mix recalibrate_scorer    # algorithm drift → refit weights
    mix propagation_train     # ML drift → retrain on the new algorithm

That is the feedback loop: measure → recommend → recalibrate/retrain →
loop. Operational rather than automatic, so a bad data window can't
silently corrupt the model.

Pure analysis lives in Microwaveprop.Propagation.Calibration with its
own unit tests; the Mix task only handles data loading, file I/O, and
console formatting.
2026-04-28 14:38:02 -05:00
a6b89961f6
feat(ml): retrain propagation model and add per-prediction explainability
Retrained on 60k month-balanced HRRR profiles through 2026-04-05
(test RMSE 1.7 score points, R² 0.97). Added explain_prediction/4
returning ranked feature contributions via batched finite-difference
attribution, so the UI can show users which weather factors drove
each prediction.
2026-04-28 14:14:22 -05:00
cf7dec79cf
feat(rover): add ModeThresholds for SSB/CW/Q65 SNR table 2026-04-25 15:59:52 -05:00
3a1e79fb67
feat(scorer): retire HPBL multiplier and native-duct 1.15× boost
Both retired in light of the 2026-04-25 revision report
(`docs/algo-reports/2026-04-25-algo-revisions.md`):

  * HPBL boundary-layer multiplier in `Scorer.score_refractivity/{3,4,5}`
    is gone. On the n=47,418 10 GHz HRRR-matched corpus rho_hpbl is
    +0.004; binned distance is flat to within ±5 % across 200–2,000 m.
    The previously reported 2.3× ratio between shallow and deep HPBL
    bins was a small-corpus artefact that disappeared once the matched
    corpus passed ~5,000 contacts.

  * Native-profile 1.15× duct boost is gone. At 10 GHz on n=52,341
    matched contacts, cells where `best_duct_band_ghz` ≥ band ran
    *shorter* than no-duct cells (198 km vs 211 km, n=173 vs 44,658).
    The Bulk Richardson gate that existed only to suppress that boost
    in turbulent conditions is also retired; arity preserved on every
    `score_refractivity` overload so callers compile unchanged.

Same retirements applied in the Rust port (`rust/prop_grid_rs/src/scorer.rs`)
to keep the Elixir/Rust parity tests green.

algo.md updated end-to-end:

  * Finding 4 (HPBL) rewritten to "no usable signal" with the
    n=47,418 bin table.
  * Finding 5 (gradient) tightened: load-bearing only at 24 GHz,
    set band-specific gradient weight to 0 outside [10, 47] GHz on
    the next derive_band_weights run.
  * Finding 8 (time-of-day) augmented with the robust hour-bucketed
    amplitude index (40 / 82 / 101 % at 10 / 24 / 47 GHz) and a
    selection-bias caveat for VHF/UHF (where 129–148 % amplitude
    reflects evening contest scheduling, not propagation).
  * Finding 9 (sounding) refreshed against the n=27,058 corpus.
  * Part 2c "Native-profile duct boost" rewritten as
    "retired 2026-04-25" with the falsifying join.
  * Part 2c "Commercial-link inverse sensor" promoted from deferred
    with the 22-day, 38k-sample SNMP corpus, the +0.61 / −0.61 PWAT
    and pressure correlations against the 37-hour HRRR overlap, and
    the 04–05 / 10–12 local two-peak morning fade window.
  * Part 2b "Pressure" annotated with the U-shape at 10 GHz and the
    next-iteration target.
  * Part 2d "What stayed, what left" + "Open items" updated to
    reflect the four code/doc moves.

119 Elixir scorer tests green, 134 Rust scorer tests green, 2,888
total Elixir tests + 221 properties green via `mix precommit`.
2026-04-25 12:42:56 -05:00
6aa91e7656
fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain
Each fix is covered by a regression test that fails on `main` and
passes on this commit.

Round 1 (initial review):

* propagation: thread `latitude` into the conditions map so
  `score_season/4` actually picks up regional multipliers
* hrrr_client / fetcher.rs: `nearest_hrrr_hour` rounds DOWN, never at
  a future cycle that NOAA hasn't published yet
* radio: spherical-vector great-circle midpoint replaces the
  arithmetic mean — anti-meridian paths no longer fold to Greenwich
* weather: `reconcile_weather_statuses` scales the longitude band by
  `1 / cos(lat)` so the bbox stays ~150 km wide at every latitude
* radio/maidenhead: clamp 90°/180° below the field-bucket overflow so
  `from_latlon` never emits invalid characters like 'S'
* prop_grid_rs/pipeline: merge HRRR + NEXRAD-derived rain rates and
  read `best_duct_freq_ghz` into `best_duct_band_ghz` so the Native
  Duct Boost actually fires
* propagation/region (Elixir + Rust): inclusive upper bounds so points
  exactly at lat_max get the regional multiplier
* weather/sounding_params (Elixir + Rust): drop the 10 m gradient
  floor so HRRR's thin near-surface layers stop hiding sharp ducts
* weather/sounding_params: when the profile ends inside a duct,
  finalize it with the highest sample as the top instead of throwing
  it away (Rust port already correct)

Round 2 (post-fix sweep):

* radio + commercial: single canonical haversine in Radio (atan2
  form); Commercial delegates instead of carrying a second copy that
  could disagree at threshold distances
* prop_grid_rs/profiles_file: `snap_coords` matches Elixir's
  step-aware snap (`round(coord/0.125) * 0.125`, then 3-dp round) so
  Rust-keyed and Elixir-keyed profile maps land on the same cell
* weather/grib2/wgrib2: `parse_lon_val_segment` uses `Float.parse`
  uniformly — wgrib2 dropping the trailing `.0` from a longitude no
  longer crashes the whole chain step
2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
4f82bd691e
perf(prop): cap ScoreCache LRU + drop eager warmers to fix hot-pod OOMs
ScoreCache held 437 entries × ~1.94 MiB each (~850 MiB per pod) of
{band_mhz, valid_time} grids — data already on NFS as compact .prop
files. NotifyListener and ScoreCacheReconciler both eagerly materialised
every band into ETS on each Rust completion / 60s sweep, so 5 hot
replicas wasted ~4.2 GiB of redundant cache and OOMed at 6 GiB.

Bound the cache to 32 entries with eviction by oldest valid_time, drop
the eager warm loops, and let LiveView callers lazy-fill via the
existing ScoresFile read path. ScoreCacheReconciler had no remaining
purpose and is deleted; runbook + prom_ex counters updated to match.

Steady-state cache footprint ~60 MiB per pod instead of ~850 MiB.
2026-04-24 18:49:36 -05:00
bbf51544e1
test: coverage round 2 (82.05% → 83.96%) + 23 new property tests
77 unit tests + 23 property tests across four parallel agents.

- ContactLive.Show (72.01% → ~75%): every factor-note branch
  (humidity/time/td/refractivity/pressure/season/pwat), all
  propagation_mechanism classifications, apply_admin_edit/owner_edit/
  submit_user_edit error paths, internal_network? IP shapes, expanded
  sounding skew-T, composite-score [0,100] property.

- PathLive + BeaconLive.Show + Weather: coordinate-pair resolver,
  invalid grid, empty-DB edge cases for iemre_for_*, narr_for_*,
  nearest_native_duct_*, find_nearest_rtma, recent_surface_obs;
  properties for round_to_hrrr_grid/round_to_iemre_grid/band
  round-trip/beacon-id URL round-trip.

- Viewshed + Duct + SoundingParams: find_reach_km edge cases,
  destination_point, effective_reach_km fractions, detect_ducts
  trailing-duct + guard branches; 13 properties including flat-
  terrain-fully-visible, thicker-duct-lower-freq, M-profile
  monotonicity, feature-vector deterministic length.

- Workers + Mix tasks: GefsFetchWorker 500/429/403 + malformed
  ISO8601, HrrrNativeGridWorker snap-to-3-decimals + empty DB,
  IonosphereFetchWorker 404 + non-tabular body, RadarBackfill
  --dry-run + --year + --limit, NexradBackfill --limit 0, Backtest
  --feature + --all; year-filter property covering 2015..2026.

170 → 205 properties, 2666 → 2743 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
5564b6703d
test: push line coverage from 78.67% → 80.45%
Adds 30 more test cases (2594 → 2624 tests) targeting the last
low-coverage hot spots.

Notable additions:
- ContactLive.Show fully-hydrated render path (seeds HrrrProfile,
  TerrainProfile, ContactCommonVolumeRadar, Sounding, SurfaceObservation,
  IemreObservation) exercises refresh_computed, build_propagation_analysis,
  build_data_sources, compute_elevation_profile, and the downstream
  render branches they unlock.
- handle_info :terrain_ready and :sounding_fetched paths for same-contact
  and unrelated-contact dispatch.
- Flagged-invalid badge + line-through header style.
- Owner-label button path (Edit vs Suggest Edit).
- NotifyListener init/1 subscribes on schedule; handle_info(:subscribe)
  succeeds against the live Repo.
- RecalibrateScorer runs cleanly against an empty corpus via the
  Recalibrator insufficient-data fallback.
- HrrrNativeClient.extract_native_profiles/2 tolerates malformed input
  without crashing.
2026-04-24 08:27:18 -05:00
bd107ee747
feat(eme): add /eme Earth-Moon-Earth calculator
New /eme page — antenna aiming + link budget for moonbounce.

Given a station (callsign / grid / lat,lon), TX power, antenna gain,
detection bandwidth, and system Tsys, the page shows in real time:

- Moon azimuth / elevation from the observer (ticks every 10 s)
- Slant range to the Moon
- EIRP breakdown: TX(dBm) + gain(dBi) = EIRP(dBm)
- Path-loss decomposition (Earth → Moon → Earth):
    free-space spreading (×2)
    − moon reflection gain 10·log(4π σ / λ²) where σ = ρ·π·R²
    = round-trip path loss
- Band-dependent lunar albedo ρ (VHF ≈ 0.065, microwave ≈ 0.08,
  mm-wave ≈ 0.02) surfaced as a named line item with the current
  ρ shown to three decimals
- Received power, thermal noise floor, and SNR with a badge that
  classifies the margin (strong / marginal / below noise)
- Self-echo Doppler shift with its radial-velocity driver

New modules:

- `Microwaveprop.Moon` — low-precision lunar ephemeris
  (Astronomical Almanac Sec. D.4 truncated series). Provides
  `julian_day/1`, `geocentric/1`, `observer_position/3`, and
  `radial_velocity_km_s/3`. Accurate to ~0.3° position / ~200 km
  distance — well inside any amateur EME-dish beamwidth.
- `Microwaveprop.Propagation.Eme` — path-loss helpers:
  `moon_albedo/1` (band lookup), `moon_rcs_m2/1`,
  `fspl_round_trip_db/2`, `moon_reflection_gain_db/2`,
  `path_loss_db/3`, `received_power_dbm/1`, `noise_floor_dbm/2`,
  `snr_db/1`, `doppler_shift_hz/2`.

Wired into the main nav ("EME" button) and the router between
/path and /rover.

Tests: 3 properties + 41 unit tests cover JD conversion, moon
position envelope, band-dependent albedo lookup, decomposition
identity, linearity/monotonicity of path loss and Doppler, and a
LiveView integration test against the rendered DOM.

Full suite: 2,460 tests + 170 properties; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 16:18:20 -05:00
54cabdb609
fix(enrichment): mark OCONUS contacts hrrr_status :unavailable
Root cause of 14 stuck hrrr-queued contacts: hrrr_point_rs's CONUS-only
grid silently writes zero profiles for out-of-bounds points (UK,
Winnipeg, Alberta, >50° lat), but the fetch task still completes
successfully. ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker's hrrr_placeholder_jobs
always emitted a queued placeholder for any contact with a pos1,
which meant mark_hrrr_status! re-flagged :queued every backfill tick
forever.

Introduce Propagation.Grid.contains?/1 as the canonical in-CONUS
check (inclusive on all four edges, nil-safe). Use it in two places
of ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker:

- hrrr_placeholder_jobs/1 now returns [] for OCONUS contacts, same
  as pre-2014 / already-complete ones.
- mark_hrrr_status!/3 empty-list clause now branches on Grid.contains?
  first (→ :unavailable) before falling through to the existing
  NARR-coverage / :complete logic.

Next backfill tick will flip the 14 stuck OCONUS contacts in prod to
:unavailable automatically. The remaining 13 "CONUS" stuck ones are
right at the 50° edge (lat=50.1875 rounds outside the box) — same
reconciliation path.

Coverage additions:
- Grid.contains?/1 — corner-inclusive, OCONUS positive/negative
  fixtures based on the actual stuck-contact pos1 values, nil/missing-
  key/nil-value handling.
- enqueue_for_contact regression tests: pos1 in the UK and pos1 just
  north of the lat cap both land at :unavailable, not :queued.

Suite: 2,416 tests + 159 properties (was 2,409 + 159); credo strict
clean.
2026-04-23 14:19:23 -05:00
56e6a3513c
test: cover METAR field extractors and Scorer.path_integrated_conditions
- NceiMetarClient: wind-group parsing (VVVKKKT), missing-wind-group
  fallback to nil, multi-layer sky condition concat, missing-sky token
  returns nil, missing altimeter returns nil, T-group-less fallback to
  the coarse "TT/DD" field.
- Scorer.path_integrated_conditions/2: averages surface temp/dew,
  takes MIN of pressure + refractivity gradient, takes AVG of HPBL +
  PWAT, threads contact time+longitude, and propagates -97.0 longitude
  when pos1 lacks a lon key. Returns nil when every profile is missing
  surface temp OR dewpoint; returns nil on empty-list input;
  tolerates nil pressure / gradient / HPBL / PWAT when temp + dew
  are present.

Suite: 2,409 tests + 159 properties (was 2,397 + 159); credo strict
clean.
2026-04-23 14:13:42 -05:00
e7fb34eb6f
test: add /qsos→/contacts redirect + scorer conversion properties
- PageController: cover the legacy `/qsos` → `/contacts` redirect pair
  (both the index and the id-preserving per-resource redirect), which
  had no coverage since the route rename.
- Scorer property tests:
  - f_to_c / c_to_f are inverses up to float epsilon, both propagate
    nil, and the C→F slope is exactly 5/9.
  - wind_speed_kts is non-negative, propagates nil on either axis,
    and matches sqrt(u²+v²)·1.94384 (the 5-digit kts factor the
    scorer uses).
  - precip_to_rate_mmhr is non-negative, 0 for nil/zero/negative.
  - dbz_to_rain_rate_mmhr is 0 below 5 dBZ (and for nil), and
    monotonically non-decreasing above — guards against accidental
    inversion of the Marshall-Palmer lookup.

Suite: 2,382 tests + 155 properties (was 2,380 + 148); coverage
71.08% → 71.12%; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 14:03:02 -05:00
0a9058bfa0
test: broaden coverage across parsers, schemas, and pure helpers
- SwpcClient: unparseable time_tag rows drop silently, integer / string
  numerics both cast, already-decoded list bodies (Req auto-decode) are
  accepted, non-JSON-array bodies return {:error, :not_a_list}, X-ray
  rows whose energy isn't the long wavelength are filtered, and the
  misspelled-upstream electron_contaminaton key flags
  electron_contaminated.
- UwyoSoundingClient: every month abbreviation routes to its correct
  number, bogus month tokens fall through to an empty result, and
  short-of-fixed-width lines are skipped without raising.
- Grid.wgrib2_grid_spec/0: lon/lat_start anchor to the SW corner,
  steps match Grid.step/0, cell counts span CONUS inclusive, and the
  spec's cell product equals length(Grid.conus_points/0).
- PollWorker: empty-link list is a no-op, and poll_fn receives host /
  community / radio_type straight from the link row.
- Contact submission_changeset: antenna heights are bounded to
  [0, 1000] ft, whitespace-only mode normalises without firing an
  invalid-mode error, plus a pair of StreamData properties — every
  sanctioned band validates and every out-of-list band string is
  rejected.

Suite: 2,380 tests + 148 properties (was 2,370 + 146); coverage
70.38% → 71.08% total; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 13:56:29 -05:00
764643bc62
test: expand coverage and refactor to idiomatic style
Changes under lib/ (source):
- iemre_fetch_worker: replace `if transient_failure?/1` boolean predicate
  + `if/else` with a classifier that pattern-matches the error reason
  directly, returning `:transient | :permanent`, and dispatch via
  `case`. Three-clause head is clearer than the boolean predicate.
- scores_file.extract_points and nexrad_client.extract_box: force `//1`
  step on the row/col comprehensions so an image box whose centre
  lands outside the raster collapses to an empty iteration instead
  of firing Elixir 1.19's ambiguous-range warning. Adds a regression
  test for the right-edge box.

Test coverage added:
- Feature wrappers in Backtest.Features (theta_e_jump, shear_at_top,
  duct_thickness, best_duct_freq, duct_usable_for_band,
  distance_to_front / parallel_to_front stubs, all_features/0).
- NotifyListener handle_info tolerance for malformed payloads +
  unknown messages, plus the PubSub broadcast side effect.
- Viewshed.effective_reach_km across every verdict / diffraction
  tier / ducting-score tier combination.
- SnmpClient parse_af60_output unit conversions + unknown-column
  handling; parse_snmpget_output OID normalisation and junk-line
  tolerance.
- HrrrNativeClient native_level_count, native_variables,
  native_messages shape, duct_messages / duct_byte_ranges.
- Changeset coverage for GeomagneticObservation, SolarFluxObservation,
  SolarXrayObservation, Ionosphere.Observation, HrrrClimatology, and
  Metar5minObservation — lifted each from ~50% / 0% to 100%.
- Property tests: GefsClient.dewpoint_from_rh invariants (Td ≤ T,
  monotonic in RH, finite across the operating envelope) + idempotent
  nearest_run. NexradClient.pixel_to_dbz monotonicity + bounded
  output; latlon_to_pixel round-trip for every grid cell.

Also cleared several unrelated compiler/linter warnings:
- Three private test helpers (create_contact, insert_contact,
  current_hour) had `\\ %{}` / `\\ 0` defaults that no caller used.
- profiles_file_test bound `dir` in a pattern match without using it.

Suite: 2,359 tests + 146 properties pass (was 2,300 / 139); coverage
70.38% → 70.89%; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 13:28:42 -05:00
063e9e3ae4
fix(grid-tasks): reclaim orphan running rows on hourly seed
Rust workers (prop-grid-rs) that die mid-claim (SIGKILL, OOM, node
drain) leave grid_tasks rows stuck in status='running' forever,
because claim_next uses FOR UPDATE SKIP LOCKED and nothing resets the
orphan. The /status page then shows a permanent spinner with stale
f00/f10/f18 badges — currently 21 rows claimed as far back as
2026-04-20.

GridTaskEnqueuer.reclaim_stale_running/1 flips rows whose claimed_at
is older than 15 minutes back to 'queued'. Rows that have already
burned through 5 claim/reclaim cycles become 'failed' with a
reclaim-orphan error so the next hourly seed can replace them.
Wired into PropagationGridWorker.seed_chain/0 so it runs every :05
cron tick before new rows are seeded.

Also rename the status panel "Retrying" column to "Failed" — it was
always showing terminal `failed` rows, never retrying ones.
2026-04-23 12:57:39 -05:00
c192d6fd9e
fix(propagation): bound ScoreCache to 18-hour forecast window
Hot pods were restart-looping every ~25 minutes on liveness probe
timeouts. Root cause: ScoreCacheReconciler mirrored every .prop file
from NFS into ETS, including 7 days of GEFS Day 2-7 forecasts. With
23 bands × 43 valid_times × ~2 MB per grid = 1.95 GB in the
propagation_score_cache table alone; GC sweeps starved the
scheduler enough that /live dropped its 3 s budget.

The /map UI only ever requests the [now-1h, now+18h] window. Share
that bound as Propagation.hot_cache_window/0 and apply it in the
reconciler's disk-scan path plus NotifyListener's post-warm prune.
Long-horizon GEFS files stay on disk and are still served via the
lazy read_from_disk_and_cache path when requested directly.

Adds ScoreCache.prune_outside_window/2 (inclusive bounds) and
updates the reconciler tests to use relative-to-now timestamps
since hardcoded fixture dates now drift out of window.
2026-04-22 08:34:45 -05:00
d3ca2e5791
fix(map): dedupe duplicated forecast-timeline chips + extract Mechanism helpers
The main /map timeline was rendering each forecast hour twice
('Now 22:00' + '0h 22:00', '+1h 23:00' + '+1h 23:00', …).

Root cause: during the rolling `.ntms` → `.prop` rename window,
both extensions live on NFS for the same valid_time. `list_score_files`
matches either, so `list_valid_times_raw` mapped 2 files → 2 DateTimes
with no dedupe. Propagation.available_valid_times inherited the dup,
push_timeline pushed it to the JS hook, renderTimeline drew one chip
per entry — hence the visible duplicate.

Fix: `Enum.uniq` before the sort. Regression test writes a `.prop`
file, copies it as the same valid_time's `.ntms` legacy twin, and
asserts list_valid_times returns a single DateTime.

Also land a small refactor that was queued behind this: move the three
pure mechanism display helpers (label/1, badge_class/1, explainer/1)
out of the 2500-line contact_live/show.ex into a new
MicrowavepropWeb.ContactLive.Mechanism module. No behavior change — just
shrinks the LiveView and gives the display mapping a testable home.
2026-04-21 17:21:11 -05:00
410a1374fe
refactor(scores): rename file extension .ntms -> .prop with legacy reads
Score-grid files now land at `<band>/<iso>.prop` with a 4-byte "PROP"
magic header. Readers still accept the legacy `.ntms` extension and
"NTMS" magic so a rolling deploy doesn't invalidate any file already
on the shared NFS mount — legacy files age out through normal
retention.

Applied both sides of the seam: Elixir ScoresFile + regex parsers,
Rust scores_file writer + decoder. Updated the comments in all
modules that mention the extension (NotifyListener, Reconciler,
gefs_fetch_worker, map_live) and the runbook diagram. talos5 is a
DB host now, not a Rust worker — corrected the runbook accordingly.
2026-04-21 15:54:12 -05:00
1591ac740d
feat(cache): jitter ScoreCacheReconciler sweep interval to avoid thundering herd
Every pod was rescheduling its sweep on a fixed 60 s `Process.send_after`
tick, so N replicas hit the shared NFS `/data/scores` mount and Postgres
in lock-step every minute. Add a uniform jitter of up to 20 s on top of
the 60 s base (effective range 60-80 s) so per-replica schedules drift
apart.

Expose `next_sweep_interval/0,2` as a public helper so the randomized
window can be tested deterministically with `:rand` draws rather than
mocking timers. Existing reschedule test passes `jitter_max_ms: 0` to
keep its 2 s wait window honest.
2026-04-21 14:12:31 -05:00
c60d56281f
test(property): add property tests for propagation scoring + CIDR matcher 2026-04-21 13:57:12 -05:00
b7261e772c
feat(observability): emit telemetry for NotifyListener warm + GridCache hit/miss
Band-warm failures in the Rust propagation_ready pipeline were only
surfaced via Logger.warning, so Prometheus had no way to see them.
The /weather GridCache hit/miss was likewise invisible while its
/map counterpart (ScoreCache) already reported cache ratio.

- NotifyListener emits [:microwaveprop, :propagation, :notify_listener, :warm]
  with %{ok, err} measurements and %{valid_time} metadata after every
  propagation_ready notification. Public handle_propagation_ready/1 so
  tests can exercise the warm+telemetry path without Postgrex.
- GridCache.fetch/1, fetch_bounds/2, and fetch_point/3 emit
  [:microwaveprop, :weather, :grid_cache, :lookup] with a :hit | :miss
  metadata key on every ETS lookup.
2026-04-21 13:30:26 -05:00
733a7f5bf1
fix(review): address code-reviewer findings
Fixes flagged by the code-reviewer agent's pass over the session's
commits (cc9220b..7b78a25):

- Propagation.warm_cache_and_broadcast/2 now uses ScoresFile.read/2
  directly and returns {:ok, :ok} | {:error, :enoent | :invalid_format}.
  Previously it called ScoresFile.read_bounds/3 which silently returns
  [] on missing/corrupt files, poisoning ScoreCache with an empty grid
  that the reconciler couldn't heal.
- NotifyListener.warm_band/2 and ScoreCacheReconciler.warm_one/2 now
  pattern-match {:error, reason} and skip (log, return :error) instead
  of caching empty. rescue clauses kept as defense-in-depth for
  unexpected faults in PubSub.broadcast / ETS writes.
- ScoresFile.extract_points/2 promoted to @doc public — callers that
  need to distinguish missing file from empty grid can feed read/2
  payloads here themselves.
- Weather.build_grid_cache_row/4: replaced || fallbacks with prefer/3
  helper (Map.fetch) so a legitimate persisted ducting_detected: false
  is not clobbered by a derived-from-sounding true.
- Weather.hrrr_data_fully_present?/1 @spec tightened from map() to
  Contact.t() | field-constrained map, plus is_nil(qso_timestamp)
  guard so callers with partial contacts get a clean false rather
  than a HrrrClient.nearest_hrrr_hour/1 crash.
- AdminTaskWorker.native_derive bulk-UPDATE: chunk reduced 2000 → 500
  and wrapped in try/rescue with per-row fallback on Postgrex errors
  so a single bad row doesn't kill the remaining 1999 in its chunk.
- Runbook FM3 rewritten to match the actual code path (no rescue;
  explicit {:error, _} pattern match). FM5 clarifies the surviving
  PropagationGridWorker is a cron-fired seed worker, not a fallback
  compute path.
- Dialyzer: strict flags added (:error_handling, :unknown,
  :unmatched_returns, :extra_return, :missing_return). Baseline
  emitted 130 warnings, mostly discarded Task.start/PubSub/Logger
  returns; a follow-up will tighten those and backfill @specs.

New tests:
- ScoreCacheReconciler GenServer lifecycle: run_on_start true/false,
  interval_ms rescheduling, info-level log line.
- Weather.hrrr_data_fully_present?/1: nil qso_timestamp returns false.
- Weather.build_grid_cache_rows/2: explicit ducting_detected: false
  on profile beats derived true from sounding params.
- RadarFrameWorker: pins the NexradClient "NEXRAD n0q HTTP <code>"
  error string contract so permanent_error?/1 classification doesn't
  silently regress if the client's error format changes.
2026-04-21 10:09:46 -05:00
33be6d008f
feat(propagation): add ScoreCacheReconciler + pipeline runbook
Periodic 60s sweep re-warms ScoreCache from /data/scores whenever
{band, valid_time} pairs are on disk but absent in local ETS.
Covers the three silent-fail modes of the NOTIFY/LISTEN path:
dropped notifies on reconnect, missing listener, and stale NFS
reads. Each pod reconciles its own cache — no PubSub fan-out,
no coordination required. Rescue on File.Error handles the
rare window where an atomic-rename write races the reader.

docs/runbook_propagation_pipeline.md names every failure mode
in the Rust↔Elixir seam and what recovers it.
2026-04-21 09:24:16 -05:00
d41ced5850
feat(profiles_file): read Rust-written MessagePack alongside legacy ETF
Phase 3 Stream A: Rust's prop-grid-rs writes f00 profile files as
MessagePack (c4f309c). Elixir needs to read both formats during the
cutover window and indefinitely afterward — .mp.gz wins when both
exist.

Reader:
- path_for/1 stays on .etf.gz (Elixir legacy writer)
- mp_path_for/1 returns the .mp.gz sibling Rust lands
- read/1 prefers .mp.gz, falls back to .etf.gz, :enoent if neither
- decode_mp_body handles the top-level {v, valid_time, cells} shape
- normalize_profile atomizes a whitelist of known keys (surface_*,
  native_min_gradient, ducts[], profile[] levels, ...) and leaves
  everything else as strings so no String.to_atom bomb is possible
- Directory scan picks up both extensions so retain_window and
  prune_older_than also work uniformly; list_valid_times dedupes
  by timestamp

Adds msgpax ~> 2.4 dependency. 4 new tests cover format preference,
key atomization, :enoent path, and dedupe.
2026-04-19 18:10:23 -05:00
b80878056d
feat(grid-rs): Rust worker for HRRR f01..f18 propagation chain
Extracts the memory-hostile HRRR fetch → decode → score pipeline for
forecast hours 1–18 into a separate Rust service (`prop-grid-rs`).
Elixir retains f00 with its native-duct + NEXRAD + commercial-link
enrichment; Rust handles the other 18 steps per hourly chain.

Hand-off via a new `grid_tasks` table (`FOR UPDATE SKIP LOCKED` claim
from Rust, Postgrex `NOTIFY propagation_ready` back to Elixir). Rust
writes the same on-disk score-grid format Elixir already uses, to the
same `/data/scores` NFS tree. Phase 1 ships in shadow mode with
PROP_SCORES_DIR=/data/scores_shadow.

Rust crate layout at `rust/prop_grid_rs/` (1:1 module parity with the
Elixir source it ports):
  - grid, region, band_config, scores_file, sounding_params
  - scorer: all 10 factors + composite. Matches the Elixir scorer
    byte-for-byte across 115 golden-fixture samples (5 scenarios
    × 23 bands).
  - decoder: wgrib2 subprocess + Fortran-record lola-binary parser
  - fetcher: HRRR URL derivation + idx cache (1h TTL) + 8-way
    parallel byte-range downloads with 429/5xx retry
  - pipeline: end-to-end chain step, f00 rejected at the boundary
  - db: sqlx grid_tasks claim/complete + propagation_ready NOTIFY
  - bin/worker: tokio main loop, JSON logs, SIGTERM-safe

91 Rust tests + clippy -D warnings clean. 2,158 Elixir tests green.

Elixir additions:
  - `GridTaskEnqueuer` seeds fh=1..18 rows from
    `PropagationGridWorker.seed_chain/0`
  - `NotifyListener` LISTEN → warm `ScoreCache` → PubSub fan-out
  - `ShadowComparator` diffs prod vs shadow `.ntms` bodies
  - `mix rust.golden` task writes the Rust-side golden fixture

k8s: new `deployment-grid-rs.yaml` pinned to talos5 (32 GB NUC) via
`prop-grid-rs=primary` nodeSelector + `workload=grid-rs:NoSchedule`
toleration, 512 Mi limit, sharing the existing NFS `/data` mount.

The plan document is at `plans/vivid-hatching-quail.md` (local to my
workstation); phases 2 (cutover) and 3 (talos5 concurrency tuning)
follow after 72h of shadow-mode parity.
2026-04-19 15:42:49 -05:00