prop/docs
Graham McIntire 5af4142e28
Extend recalibrate_algo.py with NEXRAD, native-duct, commercial sections
Three new analysis passes in scripts/recalibrate_algo.py that match the
scoring factors landed in commit 86364f4:

* NEXRAD composite reflectivity vs distance per band — checks that the
  Marshall-Palmer rain rate in Scorer.dbz_to_rain_rate_mmhr/1 moves the
  needle in the expected direction at 24+ GHz.

* hrrr_native_profiles.best_duct_band_ghz vs distance per band —
  validates the 1.15× boost in Scorer.score_refractivity/4. Current
  corpus shows essentially zero contacts with a native duct supporting
  ≥5 GHz at the target band, consistent with the 0.12% rate in Part 2c;
  the boost is physics-correct but almost never fires today.

* Commercial-link rx_power degradation vs contemporaneous DFW contacts —
  pearson + binned distance. Empty today because commercial_samples only
  covers Mar 30–Apr 13 and contests don't overlap. Scaffolding is in
  place so the moment contest-season overlap exists, the signal shows.

Report rebuilt at docs/algo-reports/2026-04-13-recalibration.md.
2026-04-13 12:14:05 -05:00
..
algo-reports Extend recalibrate_algo.py with NEXRAD, native-duct, commercial sections 2026-04-13 12:14:05 -05:00
plans Ingest Canadian radiosondes via UWYO + plans for RDPS/HRDPS 2026-04-13 09:14:34 -05:00
research Phase 3 spike (parked) + Phase 6: temperature anomaly 2026-04-10 08:47:11 -05:00
algo_commercial.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
algo_original.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
algo_updated_with_data.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
analysis_output.txt Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion 2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
analysis_output_solar.txt Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion 2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
findings10.md Correct Finding 10: Great Lakes firing squad explains 24G PH anomaly 2026-04-01 11:07:58 -05:00
goes-r-research.md HRRR forecast hours (f00-f18) with timeline map UI 2026-03-31 16:44:47 -05:00
RRFS.md Add meteorologist feedback on model choice to RRFS doc 2026-03-31 09:27:23 -05:00