prop/lib/microwaveprop/weather.ex
Graham McIntire dc66252fdc
Reduce dead tuples by using conditional upserts and skip-on-conflict
- HRRR, IEMRE, terrain: on_conflict: :nothing (immutable data)
- Surface obs, soundings, solar: conditional WHERE (only update when values differ)
- set_enrichment_status!: skip rows already at target status
2026-04-04 17:32:57 -05:00

531 lines
16 KiB
Elixir

defmodule Microwaveprop.Weather do
@moduledoc false
import Ecto.Query
alias Microwaveprop.Repo
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.HrrrProfile
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.IemClient
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.IemreObservation
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.SolarIndex
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.Sounding
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.Station
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.SurfaceObservation
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.WeatherLayers
require Logger
# Approximate km per degree latitude
@km_per_deg_lat 111.0
def find_or_create_station(attrs) do
code = attrs[:station_code] || attrs["station_code"]
type = attrs[:station_type] || attrs["station_type"]
if code && type do
case Repo.get_by(Station, station_code: code, station_type: type) do
nil ->
%Station{}
|> Station.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert()
station ->
{:ok, station}
end
else
%Station{}
|> Station.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert()
end
end
def upsert_surface_observation(%Station{} = station, attrs) do
attrs = Map.put(attrs, :station_id, station.id)
%SurfaceObservation{}
|> SurfaceObservation.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert(
on_conflict:
from(s in SurfaceObservation,
update: [
set: [
temp_f: fragment("EXCLUDED.temp_f"),
dewpoint_f: fragment("EXCLUDED.dewpoint_f"),
relative_humidity: fragment("EXCLUDED.relative_humidity"),
wind_speed_kts: fragment("EXCLUDED.wind_speed_kts"),
sea_level_pressure_mb: fragment("EXCLUDED.sea_level_pressure_mb"),
sky_condition: fragment("EXCLUDED.sky_condition"),
precip_1h_in: fragment("EXCLUDED.precip_1h_in"),
wx_codes: fragment("EXCLUDED.wx_codes"),
updated_at: fragment("EXCLUDED.updated_at")
]
],
where:
s.temp_f != fragment("EXCLUDED.temp_f") or
s.dewpoint_f != fragment("EXCLUDED.dewpoint_f") or
s.relative_humidity != fragment("EXCLUDED.relative_humidity") or
s.wind_speed_kts != fragment("EXCLUDED.wind_speed_kts") or
s.sea_level_pressure_mb != fragment("EXCLUDED.sea_level_pressure_mb")
),
conflict_target: [:station_id, :observed_at],
returning: true,
stale_error_field: :id
)
end
def upsert_sounding(%Station{} = station, attrs) do
attrs = Map.put(attrs, :station_id, station.id)
%Sounding{}
|> Sounding.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert(
on_conflict:
from(s in Sounding,
update: [
set: [
profile: fragment("EXCLUDED.profile"),
level_count: fragment("EXCLUDED.level_count"),
surface_pressure_mb: fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_pressure_mb"),
surface_temp_c: fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_temp_c"),
surface_dewpoint_c: fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_dewpoint_c"),
surface_refractivity: fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_refractivity"),
min_refractivity_gradient: fragment("EXCLUDED.min_refractivity_gradient"),
boundary_layer_depth_m: fragment("EXCLUDED.boundary_layer_depth_m"),
precipitable_water_mm: fragment("EXCLUDED.precipitable_water_mm"),
k_index: fragment("EXCLUDED.k_index"),
lifted_index: fragment("EXCLUDED.lifted_index"),
ducting_detected: fragment("EXCLUDED.ducting_detected"),
duct_characteristics: fragment("EXCLUDED.duct_characteristics"),
updated_at: fragment("EXCLUDED.updated_at")
]
],
where:
s.level_count != fragment("EXCLUDED.level_count") or
s.surface_temp_c != fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_temp_c") or
s.surface_refractivity != fragment("EXCLUDED.surface_refractivity")
),
conflict_target: [:station_id, :observed_at],
returning: true,
stale_error_field: :id
)
end
def upsert_solar_index(attrs) do
%SolarIndex{}
|> SolarIndex.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert(
on_conflict:
from(s in SolarIndex,
update: [
set: [
sfi: fragment("EXCLUDED.sfi"),
sfi_adjusted: fragment("EXCLUDED.sfi_adjusted"),
sunspot_number: fragment("EXCLUDED.sunspot_number"),
ap_index: fragment("EXCLUDED.ap_index"),
kp_values: fragment("EXCLUDED.kp_values"),
updated_at: fragment("EXCLUDED.updated_at")
]
],
where:
s.sfi != fragment("EXCLUDED.sfi") or
s.ap_index != fragment("EXCLUDED.ap_index")
),
conflict_target: [:date],
returning: true,
stale_error_field: :id
)
end
def has_surface_observations?(station_id, start_dt, end_dt) do
SurfaceObservation
|> where([o], o.station_id == ^station_id)
|> where([o], o.observed_at >= ^start_dt and o.observed_at <= ^end_dt)
|> Repo.exists?()
end
def has_sounding?(station_id, observed_at) do
Sounding
|> where([s], s.station_id == ^station_id and s.observed_at == ^observed_at)
|> Repo.exists?()
end
def get_solar_index(date) do
Repo.get_by(SolarIndex, date: date)
end
def existing_solar_dates do
SolarIndex
|> select([s], s.date)
|> Repo.all()
|> MapSet.new()
end
def sync_stations! do
asos =
for s <-
~w(AK AL AR AZ CA CO CT DE FL GA HI IA ID IL IN KS KY LA MA MD ME MI MN MO MS MT NC ND NE NH NJ NM NV NY OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VA VT WA WI WV WY),
do: "#{s}_ASOS"
for network <- asos ++ ["RAOB"] do
type = if String.contains?(network, "ASOS"), do: "asos", else: "sounding"
case IemClient.fetch_network(network) do
{:ok, stations} ->
for s <- stations do
%Station{}
|> Station.changeset(Map.put(s, :station_type, type))
|> Repo.insert(on_conflict: :nothing, conflict_target: [:station_code, :station_type])
end
Logger.info("Synced #{length(stations)} stations from #{network}")
{:error, e} ->
Logger.warning("Failed to sync #{network}: #{inspect(e)}")
end
Process.sleep(200)
end
count = Repo.aggregate(Station, :count)
Logger.info("Weather stations sync complete: #{count} total")
:ok
end
def nearby_stations(lat, lon, station_type, radius_km) do
dlat = radius_km / @km_per_deg_lat
dlon = radius_km / (@km_per_deg_lat * :math.cos(lat * :math.pi() / 180))
Station
|> where([s], s.station_type == ^station_type)
|> where(
[s],
s.lat >= ^(lat - dlat) and s.lat <= ^(lat + dlat) and
s.lon >= ^(lon - dlon) and s.lon <= ^(lon + dlon)
)
|> Repo.all()
end
def sounding_times_around(dt) do
date = DateTime.to_date(dt)
times =
if dt.hour < 12 do
[
DateTime.new!(Date.add(date, -1), ~T[12:00:00], "Etc/UTC"),
DateTime.new!(date, ~T[00:00:00], "Etc/UTC")
]
else
[
DateTime.new!(date, ~T[00:00:00], "Etc/UTC"),
DateTime.new!(date, ~T[12:00:00], "Etc/UTC")
]
end
Enum.uniq(times)
end
def weather_for_contact(contact_params, opts \\ []) do
lat = contact_params[:lat] || contact_params.lat
lon = contact_params[:lon] || contact_params.lon
timestamp = contact_params[:timestamp] || contact_params.timestamp
radius_km = Keyword.get(opts, :radius_km, 150)
time_window_hours = Keyword.get(opts, :time_window_hours, 6)
# Bounding box in degrees
dlat = radius_km / @km_per_deg_lat
dlon = radius_km / (@km_per_deg_lat * :math.cos(lat * :math.pi() / 180))
time_start = DateTime.add(timestamp, -time_window_hours * 3600, :second)
time_end = DateTime.add(timestamp, time_window_hours * 3600, :second)
station_ids =
Station
|> where(
[s],
s.lat >= ^(lat - dlat) and s.lat <= ^(lat + dlat) and
s.lon >= ^(lon - dlon) and s.lon <= ^(lon + dlon)
)
|> select([s], s.id)
surface_observations =
SurfaceObservation
|> where([o], o.station_id in subquery(station_ids))
|> where([o], o.observed_at >= ^time_start and o.observed_at <= ^time_end)
|> preload(:station)
|> Repo.all()
soundings =
Sounding
|> where([s], s.station_id in subquery(station_ids))
|> where([s], s.observed_at >= ^time_start and s.observed_at <= ^time_end)
|> preload(:station)
|> Repo.all()
%{surface_observations: surface_observations, soundings: soundings}
end
def latest_grid_valid_time do
Repo.one(
from(h in HrrrProfile,
where:
fragment("(? * 1000)::int % 125 = 0", h.lat) and
fragment("(? * 1000)::int % 125 = 0", h.lon),
select: max(h.valid_time)
)
)
end
def latest_weather_grid(bounds) do
case latest_grid_valid_time() do
nil ->
[]
latest_vt ->
from(h in HrrrProfile,
where:
h.valid_time == ^latest_vt and
h.lat >= ^bounds["south"] and h.lat <= ^bounds["north"] and
h.lon >= ^bounds["west"] and h.lon <= ^bounds["east"] and
fragment("(? * 1000)::int % 125 = 0", h.lat) and
fragment("(? * 1000)::int % 125 = 0", h.lon),
select: %{
lat: h.lat,
lon: h.lon,
valid_time: h.valid_time,
temperature: h.surface_temp_c,
dewpoint_depression: fragment("? - ?", h.surface_temp_c, h.surface_dewpoint_c),
bl_height: h.hpbl_m,
pwat: h.pwat_mm,
refractivity_gradient: h.min_refractivity_gradient,
ducting: h.ducting_detected,
surface_pressure_mb: h.surface_pressure_mb,
surface_temp_c: h.surface_temp_c,
surface_dewpoint_c: h.surface_dewpoint_c,
surface_refractivity: h.surface_refractivity,
profile: h.profile,
duct_characteristics: h.duct_characteristics
}
)
|> Repo.all()
|> Enum.map(&derive_and_clean/1)
end
end
def weather_point_detail(lat, lon, valid_time) do
step = 0.125
snapped_lat = Float.round(Float.round(lat / step) * step, 3)
snapped_lon = Float.round(Float.round(lon / step) * step, 3)
from(h in HrrrProfile,
where: h.lat == ^snapped_lat and h.lon == ^snapped_lon and h.valid_time == ^valid_time,
select: %{
lat: h.lat,
lon: h.lon,
valid_time: h.valid_time,
temperature: h.surface_temp_c,
dewpoint_depression: fragment("? - ?", h.surface_temp_c, h.surface_dewpoint_c),
bl_height: h.hpbl_m,
pwat: h.pwat_mm,
refractivity_gradient: h.min_refractivity_gradient,
ducting: h.ducting_detected,
surface_pressure_mb: h.surface_pressure_mb,
surface_temp_c: h.surface_temp_c,
surface_dewpoint_c: h.surface_dewpoint_c,
surface_refractivity: h.surface_refractivity,
profile: h.profile,
duct_characteristics: h.duct_characteristics
}
)
|> Repo.one()
|> then(fn
nil -> nil
row -> derive_and_clean(row)
end)
end
defp derive_and_clean(row) do
derived = WeatherLayers.derive(row)
row
|> Map.merge(derived)
|> Map.drop([:profile, :duct_characteristics, :surface_temp_c, :surface_dewpoint_c])
end
def upsert_hrrr_profile(attrs) do
%HrrrProfile{}
|> HrrrProfile.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert(
on_conflict: :nothing,
conflict_target: [:lat, :lon, :valid_time]
)
end
def upsert_hrrr_profiles_batch(profiles, _opts \\ []) do
now = DateTime.truncate(DateTime.utc_now(), :second)
profiles
|> Enum.chunk_every(500)
|> Enum.reduce({0, nil}, fn chunk, {total_count, _} ->
entries =
Enum.map(chunk, fn attrs ->
Map.merge(attrs, %{
id: Ecto.UUID.generate(),
inserted_at: now,
updated_at: now
})
end)
{count, rows} =
Repo.insert_all(HrrrProfile, entries,
on_conflict: :nothing,
conflict_target: [:lat, :lon, :valid_time]
)
{total_count + count, rows}
end)
end
def has_hrrr_profile?(lat, lon, valid_time) do
{rlat, rlon} = round_to_hrrr_grid(lat, lon)
HrrrProfile
|> where([h], h.lat == ^rlat and h.lon == ^rlon and h.valid_time == ^valid_time)
|> Repo.exists?()
end
def hrrr_for_contact(%{pos1: nil}), do: nil
def hrrr_for_contact(contact) do
lat = contact.pos1["lat"]
lon = contact.pos1["lon"] || contact.pos1["lng"]
if lat && lon do
find_nearest_hrrr(lat, lon, contact.qso_timestamp)
end
end
def find_nearest_hrrr(lat, lon, timestamp) do
dlat = 0.05
dlon = 0.05
time_start = DateTime.add(timestamp, -3600, :second)
time_end = DateTime.add(timestamp, 3600, :second)
HrrrProfile
|> where(
[h],
h.lat >= ^(lat - dlat) and h.lat <= ^(lat + dlat) and
h.lon >= ^(lon - dlon) and h.lon <= ^(lon + dlon) and
h.valid_time >= ^time_start and h.valid_time <= ^time_end
)
|> order_by([h],
asc:
fragment(
"ABS(? - ?) + ABS(? - ?) + ABS(EXTRACT(EPOCH FROM ? - ?))",
h.lat,
^lat,
h.lon,
^lon,
h.valid_time,
^timestamp
)
)
|> limit(1)
|> Repo.one()
end
def hrrr_profiles_for_path(%{pos1: nil}), do: []
def hrrr_profiles_for_path(contact) do
contact
|> Microwaveprop.Radio.contact_path_points()
|> Enum.map(fn {lat, lon} -> find_nearest_hrrr(lat, lon, contact.qso_timestamp) end)
|> Enum.reject(&is_nil/1)
end
def round_to_hrrr_grid(lat, lon) do
{Float.round(lat / 1.0, 2), Float.round(lon / 1.0, 2)}
end
@doc """
Delete HRRR grid profiles older than 24 hours that sit on the 0.125° grid.
Preserves QSO-linked profiles which are at arbitrary lat/lon positions.
With 19 forecast hours per run, this keeps ~2 runs worth of grid profiles.
"""
def prune_old_grid_profiles do
cutoff = DateTime.add(DateTime.utc_now(), -24, :hour)
# Bound the scan to recent partitions only (grid profiles are at most ~48h old).
# Without a lower bound, Postgres scans every partition back to 2016.
floor = DateTime.add(DateTime.utc_now(), -72, :hour)
# Only delete profiles on the 0.125° propagation grid, preserving QSO-linked
# profiles which sit at arbitrary lat/lon positions (HRRR's native ~3km grid).
%{num_rows: deleted} =
Repo.query!(
"""
DELETE FROM hrrr_profiles
WHERE valid_time >= $2 AND valid_time < $1
AND (lat * 1000)::int % 125 = 0
AND (lon * 1000)::int % 125 = 0
""",
[cutoff, floor],
timeout: 300_000
)
if deleted > 0 do
require Logger
Logger.info("Pruned #{deleted} old HRRR grid profiles (valid_time < #{cutoff})")
end
deleted
end
def round_to_iemre_grid(lat, lon) do
{Float.round(lat * 8) / 8, Float.round(lon * 8) / 8}
end
def upsert_iemre_observation(attrs) do
%IemreObservation{}
|> IemreObservation.changeset(attrs)
|> Repo.insert(
on_conflict: :nothing,
conflict_target: [:lat, :lon, :date]
)
end
def has_iemre_observation?(lat, lon, date) do
IemreObservation
|> where([i], i.lat == ^lat and i.lon == ^lon and i.date == ^date)
|> Repo.exists?()
end
def iemre_for_contact(%{pos1: nil}), do: nil
def iemre_for_contact(contact) do
lat = contact.pos1["lat"]
lon = contact.pos1["lon"] || contact.pos1["lng"]
if lat && lon do
find_nearest_iemre(lat, lon, contact.qso_timestamp)
end
end
def find_nearest_iemre(lat, lon, timestamp) do
{rlat, rlon} = round_to_iemre_grid(lat, lon)
date = DateTime.to_date(timestamp)
IemreObservation
|> where([i], i.lat == ^rlat and i.lon == ^rlon and i.date == ^date)
|> Repo.one()
end
def iemre_for_path(%{pos1: nil}), do: []
def iemre_for_path(contact) do
contact
|> Microwaveprop.Radio.contact_path_points()
|> Enum.map(fn {lat, lon} -> find_nearest_iemre(lat, lon, contact.qso_timestamp) end)
|> Enum.reject(&is_nil/1)
end
end