prop/lib/mix/tasks/recalibrate_scorer.ex
Graham McIntire d61fbd346e
fix(dialyzer): clear 125+ warnings under strict flags
Enabled :error_handling, :unknown, :unmatched_returns, :extra_return,
:missing_return in an earlier commit and landed a 129-warning baseline.
Four parallel agents each fixed a directory slice:

- Core contexts (29): Radio, Release, Weather, Beacons, Cache,
  Backtest.Features, Terrain.Srtm, Ionosphere.GiroClient,
  Propagation.RunTiming, Accounts.Scope, RepoListener. Fixes were
  (a) prefix side-effect calls (Task.start, Phoenix.PubSub,
  Logger, :ets.new) with _ = ; (b) tighten/widen specs that didn't
  match actual returns; (c) add missing @type t declarations;
  (d) drop dead parse_int(nil) clause.

- Propagation + weather subdirs (15): FreshnessMonitor, NotifyListener,
  ScoreCache, ScoreCacheReconciler, Weather.FrontalAnalysis,
  Weather.Grib2.Extractor, Weather.Grib2.Wgrib2, GridCache,
  HrrrPointEnqueuer, NexradCache. Same patterns — mostly _ = on
  PubSub / :ets / Repo.insert_all; widened two specs (float ->
  number) where integer returns were reachable.

- Workers (35): BackfillEnqueue, CanadianSoundingFetch,
  ContactImport, ContactWeatherEnqueue, GefsFetch, IemreFetch,
  NarrFetch, SolarIndex, TerrainProfile, WeatherFetch. Prefixed
  Repo.update_all / Radio.set_enrichment_status! / Weather.upsert_*
  side-effect calls. Fixed one :pattern_match in
  CanadianSoundingFetch.most_recent_sounding_time/1 where a
  tautological cond guard generated unreachable code.

- Web + Mix tasks + lib_ml (46 of 50): controllers, LiveViews,
  UserAuth, and 11 mix tasks. Same prefix strategy. 4 remaining
  warnings originate in LiveTable.LiveResource dep macro expansion
  and can't be fixed without forking the dep — added .dialyzer_ignore.exs
  to suppress just those specific file:line pairs.

Also wired ignore_warnings in mix.exs dialyzer config.

mix dialyzer --format short | grep ^lib/ | wc -l -> 0
mix test: 2163 tests, 3 pre-existing flakes, 0 regressions.
2026-04-21 10:30:06 -05:00

92 lines
2.9 KiB
Elixir

defmodule Mix.Tasks.RecalibrateScorer do
@shortdoc "Recalibrate propagation scorer weights via gradient descent"
@moduledoc """
Fits new scoring weights using logistic regression on the historical
QSO corpus. Compares QSO conditions (positive examples) against
random-time baselines (negative examples) to learn which factors
best discriminate actual propagation events.
## Usage
mix recalibrate_scorer
mix recalibrate_scorer --sample 5000 --epochs 2000 --lr 0.01
## Options
* `--sample` - max contacts to load (default: 5000)
* `--epochs` - training iterations (default: 2000)
* `--lr` - learning rate (default: 0.01)
"""
use Mix.Task
alias Microwaveprop.Propagation.BandConfig
alias Microwaveprop.Propagation.Recalibrator
@impl Mix.Task
def run(argv) do
Mix.Task.run("app.start")
_ = Oban.pause_all_queues(Oban)
{opts, _, _} =
OptionParser.parse(argv,
switches: [sample: :integer, epochs: :integer, lr: :float]
)
sample_size = Keyword.get(opts, :sample, 5000)
epochs = Keyword.get(opts, :epochs, 2000)
learning_rate = Keyword.get(opts, :lr, 0.01)
Mix.shell().info("Recalibrating scorer weights...")
Mix.shell().info(" sample_size: #{sample_size}")
Mix.shell().info(" epochs: #{epochs}")
Mix.shell().info(" learning_rate: #{learning_rate}")
Mix.shell().info("")
result =
Recalibrator.fit(
sample_size: sample_size,
epochs: epochs,
learning_rate: learning_rate
)
current_weights = BandConfig.weights()
Mix.shell().info("=== Results ===")
Mix.shell().info("")
Mix.shell().info("Train loss: #{format_float(result.train_loss)}")
Mix.shell().info("Val loss: #{format_float(result.val_loss)}")
Mix.shell().info("Initial loss: #{format_float(result.initial_loss)}")
Mix.shell().info("")
Mix.shell().info("=== Weight Comparison ===")
Mix.shell().info("")
header =
String.pad_trailing("Factor", 18) <> String.pad_trailing("Current", 10) <> String.pad_trailing("New", 10) <> "Delta"
Mix.shell().info(header)
Mix.shell().info(String.duplicate("-", 48))
for key <- result.weights |> Map.keys() |> Enum.sort() do
current = Map.get(current_weights, key, 0.0)
new_val = result.weights[key]
delta = new_val - current
sign = if delta >= 0, do: "+", else: ""
line =
String.pad_trailing(to_string(key), 18) <>
String.pad_trailing(format_float(current), 10) <>
String.pad_trailing(format_float(new_val), 10) <>
"#{sign}#{format_float(delta)}"
Mix.shell().info(line)
end
Mix.shell().info("")
Mix.shell().info("To apply these weights, update @weights in lib/microwaveprop/propagation/band_config.ex")
end
defp format_float(f) when is_float(f), do: :erlang.float_to_binary(f, decimals: 4)
defp format_float(f), do: to_string(f)
end