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prop/lib/microwaveprop
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Graham McIntire 2fd88a94ea
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fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 
Phase A — 7 pipeline bugs:
- retain_scores_window: fix timeline self-deletion (NOTIFY payload run_time|valid_time)
- Rust/Elixir weight divergence: Rust loads band_weights.json at startup
- Aurora boost ported to Rust (Kp query + per-cell boost for bands <= 432 MHz)
- Commercial-link boost applied in Rust per-cell scoring
- f00 native gradient preferred over pressure-level gradient
- HRDPS files: greedy regex fixed, now visible to timeline/prune/retain
- GEFS/HRRR collision: GEFS namespace as .gefs.prop, merge at read

Phase B — Validation harness:
- scripts/validate_algo.py: out-of-sample Spearman rho(score,distance) + baselines
- docs/algo-reports/validation-2026-08-01.{json,md}

Phase C — Forecast-skill evaluation:
- scripts/validate_forecast.py: skill degradation by lead time (0h-24h)
- docs/algo-reports/forecast-2026-08-01.{json,md}

Phase D — Calibration + model improvements:
- recalibrate.py: validation gate before weight deploy
- Recalibrator: Nx.max(0.0) replaces Nx.abs(), L2 regularization, val-set integrity
- ML train/serve defaults unified; prop_compare null-handling skew fixed
- Latitude-aware sunrise: solar-declination sunrise_hour(lat,month) (Elixir + Rust)
- Path scoring: wind/sky/rain from HRRR (was ~30% of composite weight silent)
- Region multiplier documented as unvalidated; PWAT/refractivity doc-vs-code noted
- algo.md: synced scoring sections, marked retired features, D5/D6 changelog
- Credo: path_compute cyclomatic complexity bumped (6->10 fields) — informational only
2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
..
accounts fix: resolve 18 bugs across LiveViews, schemas, tests, and logic 2026-07-29 07:46:54 -05:00
aprs polish(aprs): consolidate callsign regex, document raise, note negative-sample v1 limit 2026-05-01 13:10:57 -05:00
backtest fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
beacon_measurements feat(api): ingest endpoint for propmonitor beacon measurements 2026-05-13 16:07:04 -05:00
beacon_monitors beacon monitor work 2026-07-22 10:30:21 -05:00
beacons fix: resolve 18 bugs across LiveViews, schemas, tests, and logic 2026-07-29 07:46:54 -05:00
buildings fix: sweep bugs across Python MQTT listener, Elixir PSKR/propagation, and Rust 2026-07-20 19:48:45 -05:00
callsign_location Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
canopy fix: resolve 391 Credo issues across codebase 2026-06-12 13:51:32 -05:00
commercial fix: resolve 27 security, architecture, test, and performance audit findings 2026-07-27 18:19:37 -05:00
ionosphere fix: handle GIRO API 404 cleanly — don't dump raw HTML into logs 2026-07-16 07:17:52 -05:00
prom_ex perf(prop): cap ScoreCache LRU + drop eager warmers to fix hot-pod OOMs 2026-04-24 18:49:36 -05:00
propagation fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
pskr fix: resolve 18 bugs across LiveViews, schemas, tests, and logic 2026-07-29 07:46:54 -05:00
qrz feat(telemetry): broaden Instrument span coverage 2026-04-18 17:25:33 -05:00
radio fix: resolve 18 bugs across LiveViews, schemas, tests, and logic 2026-07-29 07:46:54 -05:00
rover fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
rover_planning fix: resolve 18 bugs across LiveViews, schemas, tests, and logic 2026-07-29 07:46:54 -05:00
space_weather fix: resolve all compiler warnings except framework-generated phoenix_component_verify 2026-05-29 10:18:52 -05:00
terrain fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
valkey test: use Mox for Valkey tests without real Redis (55%→88%) 2026-05-07 13:48:08 -05:00
weather prop-pipeline: .sgrid dense scalars, HRDPS rotated-pole decode-once, memory trim 2026-08-01 09:11:59 -05:00
workers fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
accounts.ex feat(admin): beacon monitor reassign, token regen, assigned_by display, user monitor management 2026-07-22 16:27:21 -05:00
application.ex fix: resolve 391 Credo issues across codebase 2026-06-12 13:51:32 -05:00
aprs.ex polish(aprs): consolidate callsign regex, document raise, note negative-sample v1 limit 2026-05-01 13:10:57 -05:00
aprs_repo.ex feat(aprs): add read-only AprsRepo for aprs.me database access 2026-05-01 12:25:33 -05:00
backtest.ex chore(specs): add @spec to public API in accounts/release/backtest 2026-04-21 13:32:42 -05:00
beacon_measurements.ex fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
beacon_monitors.ex fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
beacons.ex fix: wire pending_edits_query as data_provider for contact edit review table 2026-07-22 08:54:46 -05:00
cache.ex fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
callsign_location.ex Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
canopy.ex fix: ensure all unused historical NFS data gets cleaned up 2026-07-20 09:27:36 -05:00
commercial.ex refactor: deduplicate hrrr download, simplify radio/mqtt, fix credo/perf issues 2026-05-07 11:50:29 -05:00
format.ex fix: resolve 27 security, architecture, test, and performance audit findings 2026-07-27 18:19:37 -05:00
geo.ex refactor: deduplicate helpers and simplify Scorer 2026-04-28 14:14:34 -05:00
geocoder.ex feat(telemetry): broaden Instrument span coverage 2026-04-18 17:25:33 -05:00
instrument.ex feat(telemetry): wide instrumentation + bump hrrr to 2 per pod 2026-04-18 16:33:34 -05:00
ionosphere.ex refactor: deduplicate helpers and simplify Scorer 2026-04-28 14:14:34 -05:00
mailer.ex Send mail as prop@w5isp.com with reply-to graham@mcintire.me 2026-04-12 14:00:38 -05:00
markdown.ex fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
moon.ex feat(eme): add /eme Earth-Moon-Earth calculator 2026-04-23 16:18:20 -05:00
oban_error_reporter.ex fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
partition_manager.ex fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
prom_ex.ex fix: stabilize flaky tests + silence PromEx Oban poller in test 2026-04-21 13:49:07 -05:00
propagation.ex fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
pskr.ex fix: sweep bugs across Python MQTT listener, Elixir PSKR/propagation, and Rust 2026-07-20 19:48:45 -05:00
qrz.ex Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
radio.ex fix: resolve 27 security, architecture, test, and performance audit findings 2026-07-27 18:19:37 -05:00
release.ex feat: clickable band filters on PSK Reporter tab, fix all test & credo issues 2026-07-20 13:01:00 -05:00
repo.ex fix: override Repo.all/2 to accept :limit/:offset opts for Oban Pro compat 2026-07-15 14:41:02 -05:00
repo_listener.ex fix: make RepoListener resilient, bypass pgbouncer for NOTIFY/LISTEN 2026-07-20 13:15:45 -05:00
rover.ex fix: resolve all dialyzer type errors across project (46→0 project errors) 2026-06-08 17:51:13 -05:00
rover_planning.ex refactor: DRY extract_bearer, reuse validation helpers, add query limits 2026-07-21 10:06:12 -05:00
space_weather.ex refactor(db): use explicit on_conflict set clauses over :replace_all_except 2026-04-21 14:22:15 -05:00
terrain.ex Add dialyzer specs and types across the codebase 2026-04-12 08:55:04 -05:00
valkey.ex test: use Mox for Valkey tests without real Redis (55%→88%) 2026-05-07 13:48:08 -05:00
weather.ex fix: resolve 27 security, architecture, test, and performance audit findings 2026-07-27 18:19:37 -05:00