prop/test/microwaveprop
Graham McIntire 3a1e79fb67
feat(scorer): retire HPBL multiplier and native-duct 1.15× boost
Both retired in light of the 2026-04-25 revision report
(`docs/algo-reports/2026-04-25-algo-revisions.md`):

  * HPBL boundary-layer multiplier in `Scorer.score_refractivity/{3,4,5}`
    is gone. On the n=47,418 10 GHz HRRR-matched corpus rho_hpbl is
    +0.004; binned distance is flat to within ±5 % across 200–2,000 m.
    The previously reported 2.3× ratio between shallow and deep HPBL
    bins was a small-corpus artefact that disappeared once the matched
    corpus passed ~5,000 contacts.

  * Native-profile 1.15× duct boost is gone. At 10 GHz on n=52,341
    matched contacts, cells where `best_duct_band_ghz` ≥ band ran
    *shorter* than no-duct cells (198 km vs 211 km, n=173 vs 44,658).
    The Bulk Richardson gate that existed only to suppress that boost
    in turbulent conditions is also retired; arity preserved on every
    `score_refractivity` overload so callers compile unchanged.

Same retirements applied in the Rust port (`rust/prop_grid_rs/src/scorer.rs`)
to keep the Elixir/Rust parity tests green.

algo.md updated end-to-end:

  * Finding 4 (HPBL) rewritten to "no usable signal" with the
    n=47,418 bin table.
  * Finding 5 (gradient) tightened: load-bearing only at 24 GHz,
    set band-specific gradient weight to 0 outside [10, 47] GHz on
    the next derive_band_weights run.
  * Finding 8 (time-of-day) augmented with the robust hour-bucketed
    amplitude index (40 / 82 / 101 % at 10 / 24 / 47 GHz) and a
    selection-bias caveat for VHF/UHF (where 129–148 % amplitude
    reflects evening contest scheduling, not propagation).
  * Finding 9 (sounding) refreshed against the n=27,058 corpus.
  * Part 2c "Native-profile duct boost" rewritten as
    "retired 2026-04-25" with the falsifying join.
  * Part 2c "Commercial-link inverse sensor" promoted from deferred
    with the 22-day, 38k-sample SNMP corpus, the +0.61 / −0.61 PWAT
    and pressure correlations against the 37-hour HRRR overlap, and
    the 04–05 / 10–12 local two-peak morning fade window.
  * Part 2b "Pressure" annotated with the U-shape at 10 GHz and the
    next-iteration target.
  * Part 2d "What stayed, what left" + "Open items" updated to
    reflect the four code/doc moves.

119 Elixir scorer tests green, 134 Rust scorer tests green, 2,888
total Elixir tests + 221 properties green via `mix precommit`.
2026-04-25 12:42:56 -05:00
..
accounts test: cover accounts user + user_token 2026-04-16 14:09:45 -05:00
backtest test: expand coverage and refactor to idiomatic style 2026-04-23 13:28:42 -05:00
beacons test: cover beacons/beacon schema 2026-04-16 14:09:45 -05:00
commercial test: coverage round 4 (84.39% → 84.44%) + 6 new property tests 2026-04-24 10:32:05 -05:00
ionosphere fix(ionosphere): disable TLS verify for GIRO to unbreak ionosonde fetch 2026-04-22 09:49:03 -05:00
propagation feat(scorer): retire HPBL multiplier and native-duct 1.15× boost 2026-04-25 12:42:56 -05:00
qrz test: cover qrz/client 2026-04-16 14:10:50 -05:00
radio fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain 2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
space_weather test: coverage round 3 (83.96% → 84.39%) + 10 new property tests 2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
terrain test: coverage round 4 (84.39% → 84.44%) + 6 new property tests 2026-04-24 10:32:05 -05:00
weather fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain 2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
workers feat(prop): adaptive HRRR cycle selection — prefer fresh, fall back if late 2026-04-24 19:44:07 -05:00
accounts_test.exs feat(auth): self-service password reset 2026-04-18 08:42:35 -05:00
application_test.exs perf(concurrency): partition Task.Supervisor to remove bottleneck on heavy async_stream paths 2026-04-21 14:20:29 -05:00
backtest_test.exs Phase 9.1: Consolidated backtest report and contest log import 2026-04-10 11:57:15 -05:00
beacon_monitors_test.exs hardening: Rust worker circuit-breaker + delete wall-clock sleep from beacon test 2026-04-21 18:02:46 -05:00
beacons_test.exs User profiles at /u/:callsign, flexible band input, assorted UX cleanup 2026-04-12 16:13:08 -05:00
cache_test.exs fix(cache): add periodic TTL sweeper to bound ETS growth 2026-04-21 13:19:53 -05:00
callsign_location_test.exs Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
commercial_test.exs Wire NEXRAD, native ducts, and commercial links into scoring 2026-04-13 12:08:15 -05:00
format_property_test.exs test: cover Format.number/bytes, Instrument.span, SolarClient edges 2026-04-23 14:09:13 -05:00
format_test.exs feat(format): miles-primary distance formatting sitewide 2026-04-18 15:53:40 -05:00
geo_property_test.exs test(property): add property tests for terrain + atmospheric math 2026-04-21 13:56:39 -05:00
geo_test.exs test: cover geo, qrz record, callsign client 2026-04-16 14:09:44 -05:00
geocoder_test.exs Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
instrument_test.exs test: cover Format.number/bytes, Instrument.span, SolarClient edges 2026-04-23 14:09:13 -05:00
logger_format_test.exs test: silence expected warnings/errors during test runs 2026-04-24 09:27:17 -05:00
markdown_test.exs Add Tier 1 test coverage: EnrichmentStatus, Markdown, health, RemoteIp, Maidenhead 2026-04-06 10:15:38 -05:00
moon_test.exs feat(eme): add /eme Earth-Moon-Earth calculator 2026-04-23 16:18:20 -05:00
oban_error_reporter_test.exs feat(observability): attach Oban exception telemetry tap 2026-04-21 14:13:53 -05:00
propagation_test.exs fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain 2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
qrz_test.exs Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally 2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
radio_refinement_test.exs CSV/ADIF import: upsert existing contacts on grid/mode refinement 2026-04-16 10:57:37 -05:00
radio_test.exs fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain 2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
release_test.exs test: push line coverage from 71.7% → 78.67% 2026-04-23 18:43:18 -05:00
repo_listener_test.exs test: cover repo_listener 2026-04-16 14:58:55 -05:00
terrain_test.exs Rename qsos table to contacts, qso_id to contact_id 2026-04-02 15:52:19 -05:00
weather_extra_test.exs test: coverage round 2 (82.05% → 83.96%) + 23 new property tests 2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
weather_grid_test.exs fix(review): address code-reviewer findings 2026-04-21 10:09:46 -05:00
weather_test.exs fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain 2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00