Ran recalibrate_algo.py against the full local prop_dev (81,994 contacts, 18.6M HRRR rows) and derived per-band composite weights for the nine bands with >=200 matched contacts. Moisture (dewpoint/PWAT/surface N) is consistently beneficial through 5.76 GHz, reverses at 24 GHz; rain scales sqrt(rain_k) not linearly so 24 GHz gets 0.215 rain weight instead of the linear-ratio 0.95. 10 GHz stays as the reference band (defaults); 47+ GHz inherits defaults (n<200). - BandConfig.weights/1 returns per-band override or default fallback - @band_configs carries :weights on 222/432/902/1296/2304/3400/5760/24G - Recalibrator.compute_factors/3 + fit(band_mhz:) band-aware fitting - Scorer + ContactLive.Show pass band_config to weights/1 - algo.md Part 2d documents the 2026-04-18 analysis + derivation rule - scripts/derive_band_weights.py turns correlations into weight maps - report preserved at docs/algo-reports/2026-04-18-recalibration.md
220 lines
7.4 KiB
Elixir
220 lines
7.4 KiB
Elixir
defmodule Microwaveprop.Propagation.RecalibratorTest do
|
|
use Microwaveprop.DataCase, async: true
|
|
|
|
alias Microwaveprop.Propagation.Recalibrator
|
|
alias Microwaveprop.Radio.Contact
|
|
alias Microwaveprop.Weather.HrrrProfile
|
|
|
|
@factor_keys ~w(humidity time_of_day td_depression refractivity sky season wind rain pwat pressure)a
|
|
|
|
defp create_contact(attrs) do
|
|
ts = Map.get(attrs, :qso_timestamp, ~U[2024-07-15 06:00:00Z])
|
|
lat = Map.get(attrs, :lat, 32.9)
|
|
lon = Map.get(attrs, :lon, -97.0)
|
|
|
|
contact_attrs = %{
|
|
station1: Map.fetch!(attrs, :station1),
|
|
station2: "K5TR",
|
|
qso_timestamp: ts,
|
|
mode: "CW",
|
|
band: Decimal.new("10000"),
|
|
grid1: "EM12",
|
|
grid2: "EM00",
|
|
pos1: %{"lat" => lat, "lon" => lon},
|
|
pos2: %{"lat" => 30.3, "lon" => -97.7},
|
|
distance_km: Decimal.new("295")
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
{:ok, contact} =
|
|
%Contact{}
|
|
|> Contact.changeset(contact_attrs)
|
|
|> Repo.insert()
|
|
|
|
contact
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
defp create_hrrr_profile(attrs) do
|
|
{:ok, profile} =
|
|
%HrrrProfile{}
|
|
|> HrrrProfile.changeset(%{
|
|
valid_time: Map.fetch!(attrs, :valid_time),
|
|
lat: Map.fetch!(attrs, :lat),
|
|
lon: Map.fetch!(attrs, :lon),
|
|
surface_temp_c: Map.get(attrs, :surface_temp_c, 28.0),
|
|
surface_dewpoint_c: Map.get(attrs, :surface_dewpoint_c, 22.0),
|
|
surface_pressure_mb: Map.get(attrs, :surface_pressure_mb, 1005.0),
|
|
min_refractivity_gradient: Map.get(attrs, :min_refractivity_gradient, -120.0),
|
|
hpbl_m: Map.get(attrs, :hpbl_m, 800.0),
|
|
pwat_mm: Map.get(attrs, :pwat_mm, 35.0)
|
|
})
|
|
|> Repo.insert()
|
|
|
|
profile
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
# Synthetic factor vectors for training tests.
|
|
# Positives: high scores (good propagation conditions).
|
|
# Negatives: low scores (poor propagation conditions).
|
|
defp synthetic_positives do
|
|
for _ <- 1..20 do
|
|
[85, 90, 80, 75, 88, 70, 95, 100, 75, 82]
|
|
|> Enum.map(fn base -> base + :rand.uniform(10) - 5 end)
|
|
|> Enum.map(&min(100, max(0, &1)))
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
defp synthetic_negatives do
|
|
for _ <- 1..20 do
|
|
[40, 35, 45, 50, 30, 55, 50, 60, 50, 45]
|
|
|> Enum.map(fn base -> base + :rand.uniform(10) - 5 end)
|
|
|> Enum.map(&min(100, max(0, &1)))
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
describe "train/3" do
|
|
test "returns a weights map with all 10 factor keys summing to ~1.0" do
|
|
result = Recalibrator.train(synthetic_positives(), synthetic_negatives(), epochs: 50, learning_rate: 0.01)
|
|
|
|
assert is_map(result.weights)
|
|
|
|
for key <- @factor_keys do
|
|
assert Map.has_key?(result.weights, key), "missing weight for #{key}"
|
|
weight = result.weights[key]
|
|
assert is_float(weight), "weight for #{key} should be float, got #{inspect(weight)}"
|
|
assert weight >= 0.0, "weight for #{key} should be non-negative"
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
sum = result.weights |> Map.values() |> Enum.sum()
|
|
assert_in_delta sum, 1.0, 0.001, "weights should sum to 1.0, got #{sum}"
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
test "train_loss decreases from initial loss" do
|
|
result = Recalibrator.train(synthetic_positives(), synthetic_negatives(), epochs: 200, learning_rate: 0.01)
|
|
|
|
assert is_float(result.train_loss)
|
|
assert is_float(result.val_loss)
|
|
assert is_float(result.initial_loss)
|
|
|
|
assert result.train_loss < result.initial_loss,
|
|
"train_loss (#{result.train_loss}) should be less than initial_loss (#{result.initial_loss})"
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
describe "fit/1" do
|
|
test "returns valid result with insufficient HRRR data (falls back to current weights)" do
|
|
# Contacts without matching HRRR profiles for baselines
|
|
create_contact(%{station1: "W5AA"})
|
|
create_contact(%{station1: "W5BB", lat: 33.0, lon: -96.0, qso_timestamp: ~U[2024-07-16 06:00:00Z]})
|
|
|
|
result = Recalibrator.fit(sample_size: 5, epochs: 20, learning_rate: 0.01)
|
|
|
|
assert is_map(result.weights)
|
|
assert map_size(result.weights) == 10
|
|
|
|
sum = result.weights |> Map.values() |> Enum.sum()
|
|
assert_in_delta sum, 1.0, 0.01
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
describe "compute_factors/2" do
|
|
test "builds a factor vector from an HRRR profile and timestamp" do
|
|
profile =
|
|
create_hrrr_profile(%{
|
|
valid_time: ~U[2024-07-15 06:00:00Z],
|
|
lat: 32.9,
|
|
lon: -97.0,
|
|
surface_temp_c: 28.0,
|
|
surface_dewpoint_c: 22.0,
|
|
surface_pressure_mb: 1005.0,
|
|
min_refractivity_gradient: -120.0,
|
|
hpbl_m: 800.0,
|
|
pwat_mm: 35.0
|
|
})
|
|
|
|
factors = Recalibrator.compute_factors(profile, ~U[2024-07-15 06:00:00Z])
|
|
|
|
assert is_list(factors)
|
|
assert length(factors) == 10
|
|
|
|
Enum.each(factors, fn f ->
|
|
assert is_number(f)
|
|
assert f >= 0 and f <= 100
|
|
end)
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
describe "compute_factors/3 (band-aware)" do
|
|
test "humidity score flips direction between 10 GHz (beneficial) and 24 GHz (harmful)" do
|
|
# Hot and moist profile — good for 10 GHz (high refractivity) but bad
|
|
# for 24 GHz (H2O absorption floor). Humidity factor must reflect this.
|
|
profile =
|
|
create_hrrr_profile(%{
|
|
valid_time: ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z],
|
|
lat: 32.9,
|
|
lon: -97.0,
|
|
surface_temp_c: 32.0,
|
|
surface_dewpoint_c: 26.0,
|
|
surface_pressure_mb: 1005.0,
|
|
min_refractivity_gradient: -120.0,
|
|
hpbl_m: 800.0,
|
|
pwat_mm: 45.0
|
|
})
|
|
|
|
[humidity_10, _, _, _, _, _, _, _, _, _] =
|
|
Recalibrator.compute_factors(profile, ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z], 10_000)
|
|
|
|
[humidity_24, _, _, _, _, _, _, _, _, _] =
|
|
Recalibrator.compute_factors(profile, ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z], 24_000)
|
|
|
|
assert humidity_10 > humidity_24,
|
|
"high humidity should score higher at 10 GHz (beneficial) than 24 GHz (harmful); got #{humidity_10} vs #{humidity_24}"
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
test "defaults to 10 GHz when no band supplied" do
|
|
profile =
|
|
create_hrrr_profile(%{
|
|
valid_time: ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z],
|
|
lat: 32.9,
|
|
lon: -97.0
|
|
})
|
|
|
|
default = Recalibrator.compute_factors(profile, ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z])
|
|
explicit_10g = Recalibrator.compute_factors(profile, ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z], 10_000)
|
|
|
|
assert default == explicit_10g
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
|
|
describe "fit/1 with :band_mhz" do
|
|
test "only pulls contacts matching the requested band" do
|
|
# Two 10 GHz and one 24 GHz contact. Asking for 24 GHz should see just one.
|
|
create_contact(%{station1: "W5AA", qso_timestamp: ~U[2024-08-15 06:00:00Z]})
|
|
create_contact(%{station1: "W5BB", qso_timestamp: ~U[2024-08-16 06:00:00Z]})
|
|
|
|
{:ok, _c} =
|
|
%Contact{}
|
|
|> Contact.changeset(%{
|
|
station1: "W5CC",
|
|
station2: "K5TR",
|
|
qso_timestamp: ~U[2024-08-17 06:00:00Z],
|
|
mode: "CW",
|
|
band: Decimal.new("24000"),
|
|
grid1: "EM12",
|
|
grid2: "EM00",
|
|
pos1: %{"lat" => 32.9, "lon" => -97.0},
|
|
pos2: %{"lat" => 30.3, "lon" => -97.7},
|
|
distance_km: Decimal.new("80")
|
|
})
|
|
|> Repo.insert()
|
|
|
|
result = Recalibrator.fit(band_mhz: 24_000, sample_size: 10, epochs: 10)
|
|
|
|
# No matching HRRR profile was inserted so this falls back to defaults —
|
|
# the contract we're validating is "the band filter was applied and only
|
|
# 24 GHz contacts were considered". The fallback weights path proves the
|
|
# band-specific contact count came through as 1, not 3.
|
|
assert is_map(result.weights)
|
|
assert map_size(result.weights) == 10
|
|
end
|
|
end
|
|
end
|