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prop/test/microwaveprop/propagation
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Graham McIntire 2fd88a94ea
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fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 
Phase A — 7 pipeline bugs:
- retain_scores_window: fix timeline self-deletion (NOTIFY payload run_time|valid_time)
- Rust/Elixir weight divergence: Rust loads band_weights.json at startup
- Aurora boost ported to Rust (Kp query + per-cell boost for bands <= 432 MHz)
- Commercial-link boost applied in Rust per-cell scoring
- f00 native gradient preferred over pressure-level gradient
- HRDPS files: greedy regex fixed, now visible to timeline/prune/retain
- GEFS/HRRR collision: GEFS namespace as .gefs.prop, merge at read

Phase B — Validation harness:
- scripts/validate_algo.py: out-of-sample Spearman rho(score,distance) + baselines
- docs/algo-reports/validation-2026-08-01.{json,md}

Phase C — Forecast-skill evaluation:
- scripts/validate_forecast.py: skill degradation by lead time (0h-24h)
- docs/algo-reports/forecast-2026-08-01.{json,md}

Phase D — Calibration + model improvements:
- recalibrate.py: validation gate before weight deploy
- Recalibrator: Nx.max(0.0) replaces Nx.abs(), L2 regularization, val-set integrity
- ML train/serve defaults unified; prop_compare null-handling skew fixed
- Latitude-aware sunrise: solar-declination sunrise_hour(lat,month) (Elixir + Rust)
- Path scoring: wind/sky/rain from HRRR (was ~30% of composite weight silent)
- Region multiplier documented as unvalidated; PWAT/refractivity doc-vs-code noted
- algo.md: synced scoring sections, marked retired features, D5/D6 changelog
- Credo: path_compute cyclomatic complexity bumped (6->10 fields) — informational only
2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
..
band_config_property_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
band_config_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
band_weights_test.exs fix: resolve 158/183 credo --strict warnings 2026-06-12 15:47:15 -05:00
calibration_test.exs fix: resolve 391 Credo issues across codebase 2026-06-12 13:51:32 -05:00
common_volume_test.exs feat(rainscatter): classify QSO propagation mechanism from common-volume radar 2026-04-17 15:57:59 -05:00
duct_property_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
duct_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
eme_test.exs Fix LiveView crashes and stabilize test suite 2026-08-01 09:26:47 -05:00
freshness_monitor_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
grid_task_enqueuer_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
grid_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
hf_muf_test.exs HfMuf physics: distance-adjusted MUF from GIRO MUFD(3000) 2026-04-15 14:59:39 -05:00
inversion_test.exs Phase 2 tasks 2.1-2.4: BL turbulence feature computations 2026-04-10 08:21:23 -05:00
mechanism_classifier_test.exs fix: 6 bugs from bugs.md — ADIF parser, Es MUF, enrichment reset, profile privacy, HRRR OOM risks 2026-05-12 09:37:09 -05:00
mode_thresholds_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
model_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
notify_listener_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
path_compute_test.exs fix: resolve 158/183 credo --strict warnings 2026-06-12 15:47:15 -05:00
pgrid_test.exs perf(grid-rs): dense grid, fused scoring pass, and columnar .pgrid profiles 2026-08-01 08:23:36 -05:00
pipeline_status_test.exs fix: resolve 158/183 credo --strict warnings 2026-06-12 15:47:15 -05:00
profiles_file_test.exs test: expand coverage and refactor to idiomatic style 2026-04-23 13:28:42 -05:00
rain_scatter_classifier_test.exs feat(rainscatter): classify QSO propagation mechanism from common-volume radar 2026-04-17 15:57:59 -05:00
rain_scatter_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
recalibrator_test.exs Fix LiveView crashes and stabilize test suite 2026-08-01 09:26:47 -05:00
region_test.exs updates 2026-06-16 12:38:08 -05:00
score_cache_test.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
scorer_property_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
scorer_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
scores_file_property_test.exs test(property): add property tests for propagation scoring + CIDR matcher 2026-04-21 13:57:12 -05:00
scores_file_test.exs fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements 2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00
sporadic_e_test.exs Add 50/144/222 MHz bands, rename 440→432 2026-04-16 12:36:10 -05:00
untested_functions_test.exs fix: resolve 158/183 credo --strict warnings 2026-06-12 15:47:15 -05:00