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Graham McIntire 0a3976bc79
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algo: recalibrate per-band weights from prod corpus (2026-08-01)
First full recalibration since 2026-05-24. Corpus is 1,726,757 PSKR
samples (50/144/432 MHz) plus 74,072 contacts joined to hrrr_profiles
(microwave), yielding overrides for 12 bands.

The 6m fit moved most, and coherently: humidity 0.125 -> 0.204 and pwat
0.120 -> 0.185, paid for by season 0.217 -> 0.147. 6m contributes 1.63M
of the 1.73M PSKR samples, so ten weeks of new spot density pulled the
band off a seasonal prior and onto direct moisture signal. Next largest
is 144 MHz refractivity 0.111 -> 0.053.

75 GHz (n=93) and 122 GHz (n=63) appear in the evidence table but get
no overrides -- they fall under MIN_N_FOR_FIT, which is correct; 75 GHz
reports rho_pr of -0.774 on 93 samples, which is noise, not physics.

Caveat: the refractivity multipliers are numerically unstable. They are
computed as |band_rho_grad| / |ref_rho_grad| against the 10 GHz
reference, whose rho_grad is +0.030 -- an order of magnitude smaller
than the other reference correlations. Two runs minutes apart moved
47 GHz refractivity 0.0688 -> 0.0522 (-24% relative) purely on new rows
landing between queries. The stable factors barely moved. These weights
are live once deployed, so this commit is isolated from the script fixes
to keep it independently revertable.
2026-08-01 16:35:11 -05:00
.forgejo/workflows ci: add postgres health-check options, remove fragile /dev/tcp wait 2026-07-28 08:31:28 -05:00
.github Add contact edit approval system with admin review queue 2026-04-11 16:15:49 -05:00
assets feat(weather): add duct cutoff band map layer 2026-05-15 19:51:24 -05:00
bin Fix livebook path resolution in bin/notebook 2026-04-07 11:15:49 -05:00
config feat: remove skippy HRRR proxy + disk cache, fetch directly from NOAA S3 2026-07-28 14:36:54 -05:00
docs algo: recalibrate per-band weights from prod corpus (2026-08-01) 2026-08-01 16:35:11 -05:00
k8s fix: revert prop-grid-rs memory limit to 3Gi after OOM at 1.5Gi 2026-08-01 12:24:05 -05:00
lib docs(about): update for HRDPS, Rust pipeline, perf work, remove ML model refs 2026-08-01 14:39:39 -05:00
lib_ml fix: resolve all compiler warnings except framework-generated phoenix_component_verify 2026-05-29 10:18:52 -05:00
nix fix: point cargo pre-commit hooks at rust/prop_grid_rs/Cargo.toml 2026-07-20 19:52:18 -05:00
notebooks refactor: normalize pos1/pos2 JSONB key to 'lon' everywhere 2026-04-17 09:10:32 -05:00
priv algo: recalibrate per-band weights from prod corpus (2026-08-01) 2026-08-01 16:35:11 -05:00
rel Add Erlang clustering via libcluster and expose LiveDashboard 2026-04-06 09:46:48 -05:00
rust/prop_grid_rs perf(grid-rs): drop legacy .mp.gz write, parallelize decodes, overlap fetch+decode, cap retries 2026-08-01 12:48:01 -05:00
scripts fix(recalibrate): correct stale "documentation only" report text, map 9cm band 2026-08-01 16:34:56 -05:00
test Fix LiveView crashes and stabilize test suite 2026-08-01 09:26:47 -05:00
vendor chore(deps): bump vendored oban_web from 2.12.3 to 2.12.5 2026-07-30 08:30:38 -05:00
.credo.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
.dockerignore Optimize Dockerfile layer caching 2026-04-01 10:32:56 -05:00
.envrc Track .envrc with use flake, move secrets to .envrc.local 2026-07-20 18:35:13 -05:00
.formatter.exs initial 2026-03-28 11:28:47 -05:00
.gitignore Track .envrc with use flake, move secrets to .envrc.local 2026-07-20 18:35:13 -05:00
.tool-versions feat: add Nix flake dev environment with Erlang 29.0.3 + Elixir 1.20.2 2026-07-15 12:57:10 -05:00
AGENTS.md initial 2026-03-28 11:28:47 -05:00
algo.md feat(weather): /weather-ca endpoint shows HRDPS-only Canadian data 2026-04-30 12:08:48 -05:00
app.json Migrate healthchecks from CHECKS to app.json 2026-04-04 11:24:56 -05:00
bugs.md fix: 6 bugs from bugs.md — ADIF parser, Es MUF, enrichment reset, profile privacy, HRRR OOM risks 2026-05-12 09:37:09 -05:00
CLAUDE.md prop-pipeline: .sgrid dense scalars, HRDPS rotated-pole decode-once, memory trim 2026-08-01 09:11:59 -05:00
Dockerfile fix: use apply/3 to avoid undefined-module warnings with Conditional ML module 2026-07-28 08:19:23 -05:00
Dockerfile.base fix: resolve 27 security, architecture, test, and performance audit findings 2026-07-27 18:19:37 -05:00
flake.lock feat: add Nix flake dev environment with Erlang 29.0.3 + Elixir 1.20.2 2026-07-15 12:57:10 -05:00
flake.nix feat: add Nix flake dev environment with Erlang 29.0.3 + Elixir 1.20.2 2026-07-15 12:57:10 -05:00
LICENSE Add GPLv3 license 2026-04-23 13:57:07 -05:00
Makefile Fix LiveView crashes and stabilize test suite 2026-08-01 09:26:47 -05:00
mix.exs fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
mix.lock fix: resolve all 281 credo issues across source and test files 2026-07-29 09:04:21 -05:00
nix.md feat: add Nix flake dev environment with Erlang 29.0.3 + Elixir 1.20.2 2026-07-15 12:57:10 -05:00
prediction.md HRRR forecast hours (f00-f18) with timeline map UI 2026-03-31 16:44:47 -05:00
README.md initial 2026-03-28 11:28:47 -05:00
shell.nix feat: add Nix flake dev environment with Erlang 29.0.3 + Elixir 1.20.2 2026-07-15 12:57:10 -05:00
tail_logs.sh Add type filter to backfill enqueue 2026-04-06 11:42:26 -05:00
updates.md Update seasonal scores from sounding data, document commercial link patterns 2026-04-07 11:45:44 -05:00

Microwaveprop

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