prop/docs
Graham McIntire 5fd37a17fd
feat(propagation): per-band weight calibration from full-corpus correlation
Ran recalibrate_algo.py against the full local prop_dev (81,994 contacts,
18.6M HRRR rows) and derived per-band composite weights for the nine
bands with >=200 matched contacts. Moisture (dewpoint/PWAT/surface N)
is consistently beneficial through 5.76 GHz, reverses at 24 GHz; rain
scales sqrt(rain_k) not linearly so 24 GHz gets 0.215 rain weight
instead of the linear-ratio 0.95. 10 GHz stays as the reference band
(defaults); 47+ GHz inherits defaults (n<200).

- BandConfig.weights/1 returns per-band override or default fallback
- @band_configs carries :weights on 222/432/902/1296/2304/3400/5760/24G
- Recalibrator.compute_factors/3 + fit(band_mhz:) band-aware fitting
- Scorer + ContactLive.Show pass band_config to weights/1
- algo.md Part 2d documents the 2026-04-18 analysis + derivation rule
- scripts/derive_band_weights.py turns correlations into weight maps
- report preserved at docs/algo-reports/2026-04-18-recalibration.md
2026-04-18 10:19:26 -05:00
..
algo-reports feat(propagation): per-band weight calibration from full-corpus correlation 2026-04-18 10:19:26 -05:00
plans chore(db): rename dev database to prop_dev, add prod restore script 2026-04-18 09:36:52 -05:00
research Phase 3 spike (parked) + Phase 6: temperature anomaly 2026-04-10 08:47:11 -05:00
algo_commercial.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
algo_original.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
algo_updated_with_data.md Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour 2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
analysis_output.txt Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion 2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
analysis_output_solar.txt Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion 2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
findings10.md Correct Finding 10: Great Lakes firing squad explains 24G PH anomaly 2026-04-01 11:07:58 -05:00
goes-r-research.md HRRR forecast hours (f00-f18) with timeline map UI 2026-03-31 16:44:47 -05:00
RRFS.md Add meteorologist feedback on model choice to RRFS doc 2026-03-31 09:27:23 -05:00