Commit graph

9 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
0623c339ca Path-integrated HRRR scoring across pos1/mid/pos2
Contact scoring now uses all HRRR profiles along the path instead of
just pos1. Aggregation strategy:
- Best along path for beneficial factors (refractivity, pressure)
- Worst along path for harmful factors (rain, wind)
- Average for neutral factors (temp, dewpoint, PWAT, BL depth)

Scorer.path_integrated_conditions/2 merges multiple profiles into a
single conditions map. Falls back gracefully to single-profile scoring
when only one profile is available.
2026-04-07 12:04:19 -05:00
fea9523943
Correct Finding 10: Great Lakes firing squad explains 24G PH anomaly
SSB is not possible on rainscatter - the original analysis was wrong.
The 24 GHz PH advantage is entirely a contest strategy artifact: Great
Lakes operators line up on opposite shores for rapid-fire SSB contacts.
With EN/CM/DM cluster activity removed, CW leads by 16% at 24 GHz.
CW advantage is monotonically increasing with frequency as physics
predicts. No 24 GHz anomaly exists.
2026-04-01 11:07:58 -05:00
95907c90d3
Detailed Finding 10: mode advantage breakdown by band/frequency
CW advantage scales dramatically with frequency: +29% at 10G, +48% at
47G, +221% at 75G. At 24 GHz the pattern reverses (PH wins by 8%)
due to rainscatter favoring wider-bandwidth modes. Above 122 GHz,
100% of contacts are CW — SSB can't close the path.
2026-04-01 10:26:55 -05:00
69b5caf876
Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion
Raw features had vastly different scales (pressure ~1013, sin/cos ~[-1,1])
causing gradient explosion. Normalize all atmospheric features to ~[0,1]
using known physical bounds. Add Polaris dep for optimizer.
2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
e82e631135
HRRR forecast hours (f00-f18) with timeline map UI
- HrrrClient.hrrr_url accepts forecast_hour param (wrfsfcfHH.grib2)
- PropagationGridWorker fetches all 19 forecast hours per run
- Propagation.scores_at/3 queries scores at specific valid_time
- Propagation.available_valid_times/1 returns all forecast times for timeline
- Pruning keeps scores with valid_time >= now - 2h (forecast-aware)
- MapLive: select_time event, timeline data pushed to JS
- JS: forecast timeline bar at bottom of map with clickable hour buttons
- PubSub broadcast sends list of valid_times instead of single time
2026-03-31 16:44:47 -05:00
d97de91978
Add meteorologist feedback on model choice to RRFS doc 2026-03-31 09:27:23 -05:00
0ed10e695c
Add RRFS data assessment — not yet suitable, continue with HRRR 2026-03-31 09:25:45 -05:00
a283ad9c66
Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour
QSO enrichment now groups all path points by HRRR hour and creates
one batch job per hour instead of one job per point. The batch job
downloads the GRIB2 data once and extracts all needed points from
the same binary. Legacy single-point jobs are still supported for
backward compatibility.
2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
10e8feb486
Add commercial link monitoring via SNMP polling
Poll UBNT AirFiber radios (AF11X + AF60-LR) every 5 minutes via
net-snmp CLI, storing signal metrics in commercial_samples. Fetches
ASOS weather alongside each cycle for propagation correlation.

Includes 7 seeded link definitions, Oban cron worker, and net-snmp
in the Docker image.
2026-03-30 13:02:59 -05:00