Commit graph

251 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
ed67efb256
Add MRMS rain mosaic, fix beacons crash, fix UTC clock flash
MRMS
----
Layer the NOAA MRMS PrecipRate product onto the score grid so rain fade
updates every 2 minutes instead of every hour alongside HRRR. New modules:

- Microwaveprop.Weather.MrmsClient: fetches the latest .grib2.gz off the
  NCEP mirror (Req auto-decompresses so no gunzip step), writes the raw
  GRIB2 to a temp file, and calls the existing wgrib2 wrapper with the
  0.125 propagation grid spec to get interpolated cells. Returns a
  %{{lat, lon} => mm_per_hour} map with missing-value sentinels dropped.

- Microwaveprop.Weather.MrmsCache: ETS-backed GenServer mirroring
  ScoreCache/GridCache. Caches a single "current" entry keyed by
  valid_time with PubSub broadcast so peer nodes stay in sync and only
  the Oban leader pays the fetch + regrid cost.

- Microwaveprop.Workers.MrmsFetchWorker: cron every 2 minutes, short-
  circuits when the cached valid_time already matches the newest file.

Microwaveprop.Propagation.AsosNudge.compute/4 now takes an optional
rain_grid. When a cell has MRMS rain >= 0.1 mm/hr it gets patched onto
the HRRR profile's `precip_mm` field (the scorer already reads it there)
and the cell is re-scored even with no ASOS station nearby. Cells with
MRMS rain below the threshold aren't touched so dry cells keep their
raw HRRR scores (which have the wind/sky/native-gradient signal that
isn't persisted on HrrrProfile rows and would otherwise be lost).

AsosAdjustmentWorker pulls MrmsCache on every tick and passes the grid
through to AsosNudge.compute/4. Also skips the IemClient error branch
that can never happen and handles the ASOS-empty + MRMS-empty case
explicitly. MrmsCache wired into the supervision tree; MrmsFetchWorker
cron entry added to config.exs and dev.exs.

Four new AsosNudge cases cover MRMS-only re-scoring, threshold gating,
and the wet/dry score delta.

Beacons 500
-----------
Beacon.format_freq/1 and format_mw/1 crashed on whole-number floats
(e.g. 24192.0) because `frac == 0.0` could become false under float
rounding while `trim_trailing_zeros/1` stripped the decimal point,
leaving a 1-element list that couldn't be destructured as [_, frac].
Shared format_number/1 helper handles integer input directly and
pattern-matches both the "int-only" and "int + frac" shapes.

Added stream_data property tests covering the whole microwave range for
both integers and floats to catch this class of bug before prod.

UTC clock flash
---------------
The /weather and /map UTC clocks were empty until the JS hook mounted
post-WebSocket, producing a several-second blank spot on initial load
and a clobber risk on sidebar re-renders. Mount now computes a
server-rendered `initial_utc_clock` string and the template seeds the
element with that plus `phx-update="ignore"` so LiveView morphdom won't
overwrite what the hook writes.
2026-04-12 14:49:20 -05:00
c318c3a932
Nudge HRRR scores with live ASOS obs between runs
Adds Microwaveprop.Propagation.AsosNudge: a pure IDW bias-field module
that takes ASOS observations + HRRR profiles and returns re-scored grid
rows for every cell within 250km of a reporting station. Upper-air
fields (min_refractivity_gradient, pwat_mm, hpbl_m, profile, duct
metadata) pass through unchanged so HRRR's signal isn't clobbered.

The old AsosAdjustmentWorker was unwired and buggy — nil'd out ~22% of
the scoring weight and wrote orphan timestamps. Replaced with a slim
worker that queries the latest HRRR valid_time, fetches live ASOS
currents, calls AsosNudge.compute/3, and upserts onto
(lat, lon, valid_time, band_mhz) so nudged values overwrite the HRRR
hour cleanly instead of polluting available_valid_times. After each
upsert it warms ScoreCache and broadcasts propagation:updated so live
/map clients refresh.

Cron hooked up every 10 minutes in config.exs and dev.exs. Also cleaned
up the stale "dev has propagation disabled" note in CLAUDE.md.

13 new AsosNudge unit tests cover: residual computation (co-located,
out-of-grid, nil fields), IDW weighting (single station, far station,
two equidistant stations, nil component handling), upper-air
preservation, and the compute/3 entry point's shape and radius filter.

Drive-by Styler formatting touched a handful of unrelated files from
`mix format`.
2026-04-12 14:27:27 -05:00
d6e9d80ce9 Send mail as prop@w5isp.com with reply-to graham@mcintire.me
Centralized the From and Reply-To headers in Microwaveprop.Mailer.apply_defaults/1
so UserNotifier and EditNotifier can't drift. Drops the EMAIL_FROM env var
override — both values are hardcoded now.
2026-04-12 14:00:38 -05:00
a24ce027f4 Fix /weather 500 on cold cache, untrack k8s secret
The /weather LiveView was timing out on pod restart because
latest_weather_grid/1 ran load_weather_grid_from_db/1 synchronously on
cache miss — that query reads 176k hrrr_profiles rows with two huge
JSONB columns (profile array + duct_characteristics), and JSONB
decoding blocked the LiveView process past the 15-second pool
ownership timeout.

On cache miss latest_weather_grid/1 now returns empty immediately and
kicks off a deduped background fill through GridCache.claim_fill/1 (a
per-valid_time ETS lock so N concurrent mounts after restart don't each
fire the slow query). When the fill completes it broadcasts
weather:updated, and the handle_info in WeatherMapLive hits the warm
cache and pushes rows over the socket.

Added load_weather_grid/1 as a synchronous sibling for tests and any
caller that genuinely needs inline data. Tests updated to use it and
to clear GridCache in setup so ETS state doesn't leak between cases.

Also untrack k8s/secret.yaml and add both it and k8s/*-secret.yaml to
.gitignore — those manifests hold plaintext SMTP and database
credentials that should not live in the repo. Secrets already in git
history should be rotated separately.
2026-04-12 13:56:59 -05:00
eb1e80958c Normalize ADIF MODE/SUBMODE and document the mapping
- AdifImport.normalize_mode/2 maps ADIF MODE (and SUBMODE when present)
  onto the fixed set of modes the site accepts: CW/SSB/FM/FT8/FT4/Q65.
  SUBMODE takes precedence so `MODE=MFSK, SUBMODE=FT8` correctly imports
  as FT8. USB/LSB/DSB all become SSB; NBFM/WFM become FM.
- Unknown modes (RTTY, PSK31, etc.) map to nil so the row still imports
  — mode is optional on the submission path now.
- AdifImport.mode_mapping_reference/0 returns the user-facing list of
  recognized inputs and their mappings.
- Submit page's ADIF tab renders that list in a table so users can see
  upfront what will happen to their file before uploading.
2026-04-12 13:15:31 -05:00
578b4ede86 Serve /contacts/map payload via HTTP endpoint, parallel hydrate
- Add ContactMapController serving /api/contacts/map with pre-gzipped
  JSON from Microwaveprop.Cache. Browsers handle Content-Encoding: gzip
  natively; payload drops from 5.7 MB raw to 1.5 MB on the wire (73%).
  Cache TTL 10 min, invalidated on contact insert alongside the other
  contact-map cache keys.
- Move contact map payload out of the LiveView's initial HTML entirely.
  Shell renders with the filter chrome (count + band list); the hook
  fetches contacts from the HTTP endpoint in parallel with map init.
  This also avoids Phoenix.Socket's 64 KB frame limit (push_event would
  have required chunked transfer or a global frame size bump).
- Parallelize ContactLive.Show hydrate: five independent DB loads
  (weather, solar, hrrr_path, terrain, iemre) now run concurrently via
  Task.async + Task.await_many. Total latency drops from sum(each) to
  max(each), cutting contact show hydrate time roughly 5x.
2026-04-12 13:10:51 -05:00
253adaf89b Cache /weather grid, defer contact show mount, cache stats
- Add Weather.GridCache: ETS cache of derived HRRR grid rows keyed by
  valid_time, cluster-synced via PubSub. Eagerly warmed from
  PropagationGridWorker after each upsert so /weather map pan/zoom and
  weather_point_detail hit zero DB on warm cache.
- Replace latest_weather_grid DB query path with cache-first lookup +
  DB fallback. hrrr_profiles is 42M rows partitioned; pulling 3-10k
  rows per viewport on every pan was the main cost.
- ContactLive.Show: defer the heavy enrichment loads (weather, solar,
  HRRR, terrain, IEMRE, elevation profile, ITU-R propagation analysis,
  data_sources) into a handle_info(:hydrate) that runs after the shell
  renders. Initial mount now returns nil placeholders; template already
  had :if guards for all of them. Shell-to-first-paint goes from
  ~500ms-2s down to ~20ms.
- Cache fetch_queue_counts for 5s in ContactLive.Show — oban_jobs group
  by query was running on every contact page view.
- Backfill stats: wrap count_unprocessed, fetch_stats, fetch_db_stats
  in Microwaveprop.Cache with 2-5s TTLs; bump refresh debounce from 1s
  to 2s so bulk enrichment events don't thrash the DB.
2026-04-12 12:55:50 -05:00
6c334d6e18 Cache /contacts, fix map blink, make mode optional
- Add contacts_inserted_at_desc_id_desc_idx so /contacts list runs as an
  Index Scan (~0.4ms) instead of a Seq Scan + top-N heapsort (~77ms on
  58k rows)
- Add Microwaveprop.Cache: tiny ETS-backed TTL cache for memoizing
  expensive-but-stale-tolerant values
- Cache total_entries for unsearched /contacts page loads (30s TTL,
  invalidated on insert)
- Cache the entire /contacts/map payload (pre-encoded JSON + band list),
  moving load_contacts into Radio.contact_map_payload; invalidated on
  new contact insert. Mount goes from ~150-300ms to ~5ms.
- Fix /map overlay blinking on load: reuse the Leaflet GridLayer across
  renderScores calls and just redraw() against the updated ScoreGrid,
  instead of removeLayer + new layer which flashed between tile regens
- Make mode optional on submission: schema change (null: true),
  submission_changeset no longer requires it, blank strings normalise to
  nil, CSV import accepts 6-column (no mode) or 7-column layouts
- core_components .input adds a red asterisk to labels when required,
  giving users a visual cue for which fields must be filled on /submit
2026-04-12 12:47:25 -05:00
250709a1b2 Add more caching to make the map feel instant
- ScoreCache stores {band, valid_time} as %{{lat, lon} => score} map so
  point lookups are O(1); adds fetch_point/4 and valid_times/1
- available_valid_times/1 reads directly from ScoreCache when warm,
  falls back to DB on cold start
- point_forecast/3 iterates cached valid_times and uses fetch_point/4
  instead of hitting the DB per click
- NexradCache: node-local ETS cache of decoded n0q PNG pixel buffers
  keyed by 5-minute rounded timestamp; skips ~1-5s HTTP+decode on
  concurrent/repeat clicks within the same window
- MapLive: start_async the rain_scatter fetch so point_detail renders
  immediately with a pending marker; push rain_scatter_update when
  NEXRAD resolves
- MapLive: preload all 18 remaining forecast hours for the current
  viewport after mount/band change/propagation_updated; client caches
  them and renders timeline scrubs instantly without a server roundtrip.
  Adds set_selected_time event for fast-path state sync.
- Propagation map JS: forecastCache map + drawScatterMarkers helper,
  timeline click uses preloaded cache when available
2026-04-12 12:26:25 -05:00
d880201713 Cache propagation scores in ETS, broadcast across cluster
- Add ScoreCache GenServer with node-local ETS table keyed by
  {band, valid_time}, subscribed to "propagation:cache" PubSub topic so
  every pod stays in sync with a single hourly compute
- scores_at/3 checks cache first, falls back to DB and populates on miss
- PropagationGridWorker warms and broadcasts the cache for each band
  after every forecast hour upsert; prunes >2h old entries
- Replace per-pixel string-keyed Map with flat Int8Array over the CONUS
  grid in propagation_map_hook.ts to eliminate allocations in the tile
  rasterization hot loop (interpolateScore / propagationReach)
2026-04-12 12:11:26 -05:00
dd13a5f2a5 Fix three security issues
1. Prevent user_id impersonation in contact submissions
   - Remove user_id from submission_changeset cast fields
   - Pass user_id as a separate server-side argument to create_contact/2
   - Client form params can no longer forge account-linked contacts

2. Restrict flag toggle to admins only
   - Add admin? guard to toggle_flag event handler
   - Hide flag button from non-admin users in template

3. Reset enrichment on timestamp edits
   - Add qso_timestamp to the fields that trigger enrichment reset
   - Prevents stale weather/HRRR/IEMRE data after time changes
2026-04-12 10:31:23 -05:00
7fb340bc35 Fix all remaining credo --strict issues (0 issues)
Aliases: add module aliases for 9 nested module references
Apply: replace apply/3 with direct module attribute calls
Line length: break 1 long spec line
Refactoring: extract helpers to reduce complexity and nesting
in show.ex, radio.ex, weather workers, terrain, duct detection,
backfill dashboard, contact map, and mix tasks
2026-04-12 10:26:53 -05:00
9abbb83469 Fix credo warnings: struct specs, length/1, and test patterns
- Replace %Struct{} with Struct.t() in all @spec annotations
- Replace length(x) > 0 with x != [] in test assertions
- Fix multi-line spec struct references in weather.ex
2026-04-12 10:26:53 -05:00
d5d0c32745 Use daisyUI components for stats, alerts, cards, and tabs
- about: stat cards → daisyUI stat, warning/donate boxes → alert
- submit: tab buttons → daisyUI tabs-box, info/instruction boxes → alert
- backfill: enrichment/DB stat boxes → daisyUI stat
- beacon show: stats container → daisyUI card
- contact show: info/status boxes → alert, data source cards → card
- ADIF: strip APP_ prefix from app-defined fields, normalize grid case
2026-04-12 09:20:20 -05:00
51e390959c Add dialyzer specs and types across the codebase
277 @spec/@type annotations added to 58 files covering all public
APIs: contexts (propagation, radio, weather, terrain, beacons,
commercial), GRIB2 decoders, terrain analysis, duct detection,
rain scatter, CSV/ADIF import, weather clients, and all Ecto
schemas. Dialyzer passes with 0 errors.
2026-04-12 08:55:04 -05:00
c3becdac9f Show beacon submitter callsign, add donate link, prefer 8-char grids
- Add belongs_to :user on Beacon schema, preload in get_beacon!/1
- Show "Submitted by {callsign}" on beacon detail page
- Add NTMS donation link on the about page
- Change grid preference text to 8 characters (e.g. EM12kp37)
2026-04-11 18:08:18 -05:00
1174ecd9e5 Fix all 12 dialyzer warnings
- Replace MapSet with plain list + `in` (features.ex, scorer_diff.ex)
- Remove undefined Beacon.t() type reference (range_estimate.ex)
- Remove dead else branch in find_region (inversion.ex)
- Handle Nx special values in to_float catch-all (recalibrator.ex)
- Remove unreachable catch-all clauses (hrrr_native_client.ex, ncei_metar_client.ex)
- Remove unnecessary nil guards on always-typed values (show.ex)
- Remove dead sky_note/wind_note non-nil clauses (show.ex)
- Remove dead if-guard on always-truthy derive result (hrrr_native_derive.ex)
- Add @spec to path_integrated_conditions (scorer.ex)
2026-04-11 18:08:18 -05:00
5bcf579009 Add ADIF file upload for contact submission
Parse ADIF tagged-data format with fuzzy frequency-to-band matching
(nearest microwave band for any freq >= 900 MHz). Supports STATION_CALLSIGN,
OPERATOR, CALL, GRIDSQUARE, MY_GRIDSQUARE, FREQ, BAND, QSO_DATE, TIME_ON.
Same dedup and preview/commit flow as CSV upload.

Also fix select dropdown text alignment in daisyUI.
2026-04-11 17:39:05 -05:00
25c703401b Link to existing contact on duplicate submission
Return the conflicting contact from create_contact so the UI can redirect
to it with a flash message instead of just showing a form error.
2026-04-11 17:30:46 -05:00
cdb59be6d7 Deduplicate single contact submissions same as CSV import
Check for existing contacts with the same station pair (order-independent),
band, and grids within a 1-hour window before inserting.
2026-04-11 17:27:03 -05:00
4ca8c5d3bc Add Q65 contact mode 2026-04-11 17:21:45 -05:00
08ffc7e028 Admin direct edit on contact show page, suggest edit for non-admins 2026-04-11 16:46:46 -05:00
e74adf0036 Auto-download missing SRTM tiles, treat water areas as 0m elevation
SRTM profiles no longer abort on missing tiles — water/ocean areas
return 0m elevation instead of failing the entire profile and falling
back to the rate-limited API. Elevation client and viewshed now pass
download: true to auto-fetch missing tiles from S3. NFS mount changed
to writable so downloaded tiles persist across pods.
2026-04-11 16:30:25 -05:00
a66d3094ca Add contact edit approval system with admin review queue
Registered users can suggest edits to any contact's core fields
(callsigns, grids, band, mode, timestamp). Edits enter an admin
approval queue with field-by-field diff view. On approve, changes
are applied and enrichment re-enqueued if grids/band changed.
Users receive email notification on approve or reject.

Also updates dependabot.yml for mix ecosystem.
2026-04-11 16:15:49 -05:00
e8ae407be9 Add rain scatter prediction to map detail panel
When clicking a grid point, fetches the latest NEXRAD composite
reflectivity and identifies rain cells within 300 km that could
enable rain scatter contacts. Shows:
- Scatter classification (excellent/good/marginal/none)
- Top 3 cells with dBZ, distance, bearing, and relative signal
- Colored circle markers on the map at rain cell locations
- Markers sized by reflectivity, colored by intensity

Uses simplified bistatic radar equation accounting for reflectivity,
frequency-dependent scattering (Rayleigh/Mie), and R^4 path loss.
NEXRAD cells sampled every ~5 km within bounding box for efficiency.
2026-04-11 15:19:19 -05:00
9fea93f59c Show earth curvature in contact elevation profile
Terrain elevations now include the earth bulge correction, so the
profile visually humps up in the middle relative to the straight
LOS beam — showing how the curved earth rises into the signal path.
Uses actual k-factor from HRRR refractivity when available, otherwise
standard 4/3. For a 300 km path at k=4/3, the midpoint bulge is
~2,650 m (8,700 ft).
2026-04-11 14:55:21 -05:00
8a39ae4411 Improve light mode contrast for score colors and map controls
- Darken tier colors for page elements (path, beacon, contact pages):
  EXCELLENT #00ffa3→#059669, GOOD #7dffd4→#0d9488,
  MARGINAL #ffe566→#ca8a04, POOR #ff9044→#ea580c,
  NEGLIGIBLE #ff4f4f→#dc2626
- Make mobile map controls fully opaque (bg-base-100 not /90)
- Map popups (dark background) keep original vibrant colors
2026-04-11 14:55:21 -05:00
bcdbf0b53a Show per-duct layer heights in map detail panel
When clicking a grid point with ducting, the panel now shows each
duct layer with base-top height in feet, thickness in meters, and
minimum trapped frequency. Data flows from Duct.analyze through
the scoring factors as a ducts array.
2026-04-11 14:13:24 -05:00
880988b591 Update algo.md weights and data flow for native duct integration
- Replace stale April 2026 manual weights with recalibrated values
- Document native hybrid-sigma data in data flow section
- Note refractivity factor now uses native 10-50m resolution
- Add hourly grid integration section to Part 12
- Expose duct_info (count, freq, thickness) in scoring factors for UI
2026-04-11 13:44:13 -05:00
57578dff4d Add native HRRR duct detection to hourly propagation scoring
The PropagationGridWorker now fetches native hybrid-sigma levels
(TMP, SPFH, HGT, PRES × 50 levels) alongside the standard surface
and pressure products. Native data provides 10-50m vertical spacing
vs 250m from pressure levels, detecting thin surface ducts invisible
to the standard product.

Key design: cell-by-cell reducer in Wgrib2.extract_grid_from_file_mapped
processes each of the 95k CONUS cells through a duct analysis function
inline, keeping only scalar metrics per cell. Peak memory ~86 MB
instead of ~1.8 GB for the full grid map.

Per-cell output: native_min_gradient, best_duct_freq_ghz,
max_duct_thickness_m, duct_count. The scorer prefers the native
gradient over the pressure-level gradient when available.

Native fetch is optional — if it fails, scoring continues with
pressure-level data only.
2026-04-11 13:30:48 -05:00
7d68d13dcc Recalibrate scoring weights from gradient descent on 5000 QSOs
Loss improved 72% (0.42 → 0.12). Key changes:
- rain: 0.08 → 0.136 (+70%) — strongest discriminator
- season: 0.08 → 0.111 (+39%)
- wind: 0.05 → 0.08 (+60%)
- refractivity: 0.08 → 0.105 (+31%)
- time_of_day: 0.10 → 0.050 (-50%) — was overweighted by contest bias
- pressure: 0.15 → 0.103 (-31%)
- humidity: 0.18 → 0.124 (-31%)

Validated by native profile backtest (11,431 profiles):
theta_e_jump strongest native discriminator, duct_usable_* and
bulk_richardson dropped as dead features.
2026-04-11 13:20:00 -05:00
d49ec5d32e Drop dead backtest features, document consolidated results
Backtest on 11,431 native profiles (2026-04-11):
- Drop duct_usable_10/24/47ghz (always 1.0, no discrimination)
- Drop bulk_richardson (near-identical QSO vs baseline means)
- Document all feature results with signal strength assessment
- theta_e_jump is strongest native discriminator (44% lift)
- best_duct_freq and duct_thickness show clear physical signal
2026-04-11 13:11:39 -05:00
72051fe5ee Guard against zero specific humidity in theta-e computation 2026-04-11 12:52:32 -05:00
b5162daf89 Round lat/lon to 6 decimals everywhere, add commas to EIRP display
- Round grid-derived lat/lon in maybe_fill_latlon changeset step
- Format lat/lon to 6 decimal places on index table
- Migrate existing beacon data to 6 decimal precision
- Add comma separators to EIRP mW display (e.g. 10,000 mW)
- Extract shared add_commas helper for format_freq and format_mw
2026-04-11 09:49:12 -05:00
2c1c221398 Change beacon height_ft from float to integer
Height in feet doesn't need decimal precision. Migrates the DB
column, updates schema type, and strips trailing .0 from form
input so the integer cast succeeds.
2026-04-11 09:44:42 -05:00
0059317043 Beacon page improvements: comma formatting, sorting, rounding
- Add CommaNumber JS hook for live comma formatting while typing
  frequency MHz in the beacon form
- Strip commas server-side before changeset validation
- Order beacon list by most recently added (desc inserted_at)
- Round lat/lon to 6 decimal places in changeset and display
- Round height_ft to integer in changeset and display
- Display coords at 6 decimal places on show page
2026-04-11 09:41:51 -05:00
8425edbdc4 Add comma separators to MHz frequencies on beacon pages
Formats frequencies like 10368.1 as "10,368.1" on both the
beacon list table and detail page (subtitle, map label, stat field).
2026-04-11 09:37:26 -05:00
11c5d5fb43 Add -s flag to wgrib2 -lon extraction for inventory output
Without -s, wgrib2 -lon only outputs msg:offset:lon=X,lat=Y,val=Z
with no variable name or level. The -s flag adds the short inventory
(d=DATE:VAR:LEVEL:...) so the parser can identify which variable
each value belongs to.
2026-04-11 09:03:09 -05:00
b42b777150 Use wgrib2 -lon for native profile extraction instead of -lola grid
Points spread coast-to-coast created a ~476k cell bounding grid
(350 messages × 476k cells × 4 bytes ≈ 665 MB), causing OOM.

Switch to -lon which extracts values at specific lat/lon points
with text output. One wgrib2 call, one file scan, negligible
BEAM memory regardless of point geographic spread.
2026-04-10 17:12:11 -05:00
33fae7b7c9 Reduce memory pressure: Stream large collections, GC between phases
- Stream profile storage and score upsert instead of materializing
  full 20k+ item lists (propagation_grid_worker, propagation.ex)
- GC between forecast hours and store/compute phases to reclaim
  ~400 MB of grid data between steps
- Single-pass field extraction in scorer.ex path_integrated_conditions
  instead of 6 separate Enum traversals
- Eliminate intermediate merged map in fetch_grid by combining
  merge + profile build into one pipe
- Fix UUID bug: bingenerate → generate in native grid worker
  (same issue previously fixed in nexrad_worker)
2026-04-10 16:45:50 -05:00
2973fe978b Download HRRR ranges sequentially to prevent memory accumulation
The parallel download was holding all ~530MB of range responses in
memory before writing to disk. Now each range is fetched and written
one at a time, so only one chunk is in memory at a time.
2026-04-10 15:58:47 -05:00
f2efdd4ece Stream HRRR native downloads to disk to prevent OOM
Instead of holding ~530MB GRIB binary in BEAM memory, download
ranges directly to a temp file and run wgrib2 on it. Peak memory
drops from ~530MB to just HTTP chunk buffers.
2026-04-10 15:44:36 -05:00
4487fc22e9 Fix NexradWorker UUID type: use generate() not bingenerate() for insert_all 2026-04-10 14:13:38 -05:00
0edb1bd95a Fix NexradWorker crash when minute key is missing from args
Jobs enqueued via backfill only have year/month/day/hour — default
minute to 0 instead of requiring it in the pattern match.
2026-04-10 14:07:55 -05:00
e7a7ae073d Phase 9.3, 9.4, and Phase 3 NEXRAD pipeline
Task 9.3 - Weight recalibration via gradient descent:
- Recalibrator module fits logistic regression weights using Nx
- Trains on QSO positives vs random baseline negatives
- Cross-validates by month, normalizes weights to sum to 1.0
- Mix task: mix recalibrate_scorer --sample 5000 --epochs 2000

Task 9.4 - Side-by-side scorer comparison:
- ScorerDiff.compare/3 re-scores grid with old vs new weights
- Reports mean diff, regressions, improvements, per-band breakdown
- Mix task: mix scorer_diff --new-weights '{...}'

Phase 3 - NEXRAD ingestion pipeline:
- NexradClient fetches IEM n0q composite PNGs, extracts per-point
  box statistics (mean/max dBZ, texture variance)
- NexradObservation schema with unique (lat, lon, observed_at)
- NexradWorker on :nexrad queue for background processing
- nexrad_texture backtest feature in Features module
- mix nexrad_backfill --limit 200

All tasks added to AdminTaskWorker and Release for production use.
1116 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-10 12:48:36 -05:00
01909dbe66 Run admin tasks as Oban jobs instead of blocking eval
Release.backtest_all, climatology, native_derive now enqueue an
AdminTaskWorker job on the new :admin queue and return immediately.
Progress visible in Oban Web at /admin/oban.
2026-04-10 12:26:01 -05:00
d5842cb45c Add release tasks for backtest, climatology, and native backfill
All mix tasks now have equivalents in Microwaveprop.Release for
production use via `bin/microwaveprop eval`.
2026-04-10 12:14:41 -05:00
6d92973853 Phase 9.1: Consolidated backtest report and contest log import
- Add `mix backtest --all` for consolidated pass/fail table across all features
- Add Backtest.consolidated_report/2 and to_consolidated_markdown/1
- Add Features.all_features/0 to auto-discover backtestable features
- Add `mix import_contest_logs` for bulk ARRL contest CSV import with dedup
- Fix hrrr_climatology to batch by (month, hour) to avoid query timeout
- Fix Repo.query! result pattern (Postgrex.Result, not tuple)
- Backtest reports for all Phase 1-6 features
2026-04-10 11:57:15 -05:00
a840cb9629 Phase 5: Frontal geometry detection via Thermal Front Parameter
FrontalAnalysis module (Weather.FrontalAnalysis):
- detect_fronts/3 computes the Thermal Front Parameter (TFP) from
  2D grids of surface temperature and pressure using Nx vectorized
  ops. TFP = -nabla|nabla(theta)| . nabla(theta)/|nabla(theta)|.
  Most negative values mark cold fronts.
- central_gradient/1 for 2D finite differences with edge handling
- nearest_front/3 finds closest front point with distance and bearing
- path_front_angle/2 computes angle between a QSO path and the
  front (0 = parallel = good, 90 = crosses = dead)

Backtest feature stubs for distance_to_front and parallel_to_front
(return nil until the pipeline caches per-cell frontal features from
the hourly HRRR grid run). The FrontalAnalysis module itself is
tested and ready for integration.

NEXRAD spike docs also included in this commit.
2026-04-10 08:56:44 -05:00
3ea2548114 Phase 8: 5-minute METAR ingestion pipeline
NCEI ASOS 5-minute data client (Weather.NceiMetarClient):
- fetch/3 pulls per-station monthly .dat files from NCEI C00418
- parse/1 decodes the fixed-width METAR format including precise
  T-group temperatures (T02110094 → 21.1/9.4°C)
- metar_5min_observations table: schema-identical to
  surface_observations, separate table to avoid mixing cadences

Weather.recent_surface_obs/3 prefers 5-min data when available,
falls back to the hourly surface_observations table.

Data URL: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/automated-surface-observing-system-five-minute/access/YYYY/MM/asos-5min-KXXX-YYYYMM.dat
Available back to 1996.
2026-04-10 08:53:54 -05:00