2 commits

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
Graham McIntire	bfef11dbdf	fix(ci): stage band_weights.json into the prop-grid-rs build context ... json_weights_golden reads priv/algo/band_weights.json via a bare relative path. That resolves inside `cargo test` at the crate root but not inside the image build, whose context is rust/prop_grid_rs and whose WORKDIR is /src — so the test aborted with "JSON file must exist" and the build never produced an image. grid-rs CI has been red since 2fd88a94, the commit that added the test. Production still runs main-1785606663-95976b6 (95976b6b, the last green build), so every prop-grid-rs change since then — including the HRDPS rotated-pole decode fix — has silently failed to ship. Three parts: * resolve the fixture from CARGO_MANIFEST_DIR so the path no longer depends on the cwd * stage the file into the build context in the workflow * COPY it to /priv in the builder stage, where CARGO_MANIFEST_DIR/../../priv resolves from /src	2026-08-05 18:01:24 -05:00
Graham McIntire	2fd88a94ea	fix(propagation): 7 pipeline bugs + validation harnesses + model improvements ... Phase A — 7 pipeline bugs: - retain_scores_window: fix timeline self-deletion (NOTIFY payload run_time|valid_time) - Rust/Elixir weight divergence: Rust loads band_weights.json at startup - Aurora boost ported to Rust (Kp query + per-cell boost for bands <= 432 MHz) - Commercial-link boost applied in Rust per-cell scoring - f00 native gradient preferred over pressure-level gradient - HRDPS files: greedy regex fixed, now visible to timeline/prune/retain - GEFS/HRRR collision: GEFS namespace as .gefs.prop, merge at read Phase B — Validation harness: - scripts/validate_algo.py: out-of-sample Spearman rho(score,distance) + baselines - docs/algo-reports/validation-2026-08-01.{json,md} Phase C — Forecast-skill evaluation: - scripts/validate_forecast.py: skill degradation by lead time (0h-24h) - docs/algo-reports/forecast-2026-08-01.{json,md} Phase D — Calibration + model improvements: - recalibrate.py: validation gate before weight deploy - Recalibrator: Nx.max(0.0) replaces Nx.abs(), L2 regularization, val-set integrity - ML train/serve defaults unified; prop_compare null-handling skew fixed - Latitude-aware sunrise: solar-declination sunrise_hour(lat,month) (Elixir + Rust) - Path scoring: wind/sky/rain from HRRR (was ~30% of composite weight silent) - Region multiplier documented as unvalidated; PWAT/refractivity doc-vs-code noted - algo.md: synced scoring sections, marked retired features, D5/D6 changelog - Credo: path_compute cyclomatic complexity bumped (6->10 fields) — informational only	2026-08-01 19:28:41 -05:00