The grid-cached profile is trimmed to 13 levels (1000→700 mb) for
memory reasons, so the skew-T plot showed nothing above 700 mb.
HrrrClient.fetch_profile/4 now accepts a forecast_hour opt; SkewtLive
issues a per-point fetch against the same cycle the cached row came
from to get the full 1000→100 mb set, falling back to the cached
truncated cell on any failure.
Time selection no longer round-trips through the URL — `select_time`
updates state in-process and triggers a focused :load_skewt_time
async, so refreshing or sharing a /skewt?q=... link always lands on
the most recent analysis hour.
When the on-disk ProfilesFile is empty SkewtLive falls back to the
hrrr_profiles Postgres table, but per-QSO HrrrFetchWorker rows
sometimes land with a partial profile (4–12 levels) when individual
byte-range fetches fail. The fallback was happily picking those rows,
which rendered a stubby Skew-T missing the upper troposphere.
HrrrProfileLookup.{list_valid_times_near, read_point_near}/3 now
filter on `coalesce(cardinality(profile), 0) >= min_profile_levels`,
defaulting to 13 (HRRR's standard pressure-level set: 1000/925/850/
700/500/400/300/250/200/150/100 mb plus the two boundary surfaces).
Pass `min_profile_levels: 0` to keep the partial rows for diagnostic
queries.
Confirmed against the dev mirror: the recent table has ~3.1 M rows
at 13 levels and ~250 k at 4–12 levels; the new default skips the
partial slice cleanly.
Tests: 8/8 HrrrProfileLookupTest cases (added two new ones for the
threshold). mix credo --strict clean.
Two changes that bring /skewt visually and analytically into parity
with the NOAA SPC sounding viewer
(https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/):
NOAA-style line set
-------------------
Updated the SkewtSvg style block to match the public SPC chart:
* Temperature trace ........ pure red (#ff0000) at 2.5 px stroke
* Dewpoint trace ........... pure green (#00aa00) at 2.5 px stroke
* Isotherms ................ dashed teal (#14b8a6)
* Dry adiabats ............. solid orange (#f59e0b)
* Moist (saturated) adiabats dashed sky-blue (#38bdf8)
* Mixing-ratio lines ....... dotted darker green (#16a34a), with
labels at 700 mb showing the g/kg
value, drawn only below 600 mb (matches
the SPC chart's lower-band number row)
* Parcel ascent ............ new dashed grey (#475569) line, drawn
whenever SkewtParams.derive returns a
non-empty parcel_trace
The mixing-ratio set is the SPC standard (0.4 / 0.7 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 /
8 / 12 / 16 / 20 g/kg) instead of the prior arbitrary set.
SkewtParams: SPC parcel-theory + indices module
-----------------------------------------------
New `Microwaveprop.Weather.SkewtParams` derives the parameter set that
ships in the SPC `*.txt` companion file:
* LCL pressure / temperature / height (Bolton 1980 eq 22)
* LFC pressure / height
* EL pressure / height
* SBCAPE, SBCIN (J/kg, virtual-temperature integration with
surface parcel)
* 3 km CAPE
* Lifted Index (parcel ↔ environment T at 500 mb)
* Freezing level (T = 0 °C height) and Wet-Bulb Zero
* DCAPE (downdraft CAPE — picks the min-θₑ source level in
400–700 mb, descends moist-adiabatically to surface)
* Layer lapse rates: sfc–3 km, 700–500 mb, 850–500 mb
* `parcel_trace` — pressure/temperature trajectory used by
SkewtSvg to draw the dashed parcel-ascent overlay
Wind-derived indices (SRH, BWD, Bunkers motion, SCP, STP, SHIP) are
deliberately *not* produced and the LiveView surfaces a one-line note
explaining why: HRRR persists wind only at 10 m AGL, so per-pressure-
level shear can't be computed from this data source.
LiveView panel restructured into grouped sections (Surface, Convective
parcel, Levels, Lapse rates, Moisture/stability, Refractivity) so the
layout matches the SPC viewer's order. The Levels rows show pressure
*and* height ("872 mb · 1,140 m") for quick cross-reference between
the diagram axis and the readout.
Tests: 8/8 new SkewtParamsTest cases (LCL Bolton check, saturated-air
edge case, full field-set presence, summer profile produces SBCAPE > 0
and LI < 0, capped profile produces SBCAPE = 0 and LI > 0, freezing
level interpolated correctly, sfc–3 km lapse rate, empty profile no
crash). 25/25 across all skewt-related test files. mix test green
(2,902 / 2,902 + 221 properties), mix credo --strict clean, mix
assets.build clean.
Two follow-ups to the earlier /skewt work:
1. Interactive crosshair (matches the SPC-viewer feel from the
reference screenshot). Mousing over the diagram now drops a
horizontal pressure cursor with a top-left readout box showing the
pressure at the cursor's altitude (mb), the height in m and ft,
and the linearly interpolated temperature and dewpoint at that
level. Two coloured dots track the T and Td traces along the
cursor so the user can read the spread visually.
Mechanics: SkewtSvg.geometry/0 exposes the plot geometry (left,
right, top, bottom, p_bottom, p_top, t_min, t_max, skew) as JSON;
SkewtSvg emits an initially-hidden <g class="skewt-cursor"> layer.
A new Skewt hook in assets/js/app.ts inverts pressure_y to recover
pressure from the cursor's viewBox-Y, walks the (descending-pres-
sorted) profile to interp T/Td/height, and updates the elements.
The hook also handles mouseleave to hide the cursor and uses the
SVG's screen-CTM so the math stays correct under any container
aspect-ratio resize.
2. DB fallback for `available_valid_times`/`load_profile`. When the
on-disk `ProfilesFile` has nothing for the location-and-window
(true on dev, transient on prod between chain runs), SkewtLive
now falls back to `HrrrProfileLookup.{list_valid_times_near,
read_point_near}/3` against the `hrrr_profiles` Postgres table.
The lookup uses the same ±0.07° spatial tolerance and the
`(lat, lon, valid_time)` unique index that `Weather.find_nearest_
hrrr/3` already relies on, so the queries are index-only.
Returned shape matches `ProfilesFile.read_point/3` so SkewtLive
reads from either source transparently. NaiveDateTime → UTC
normalisation is centralised in `ensure_utc/1` so the LiveView
sees `%DateTime{time_zone: "Etc/UTC"}` regardless of which side
produced the value.
Tests: 6/6 new HrrrProfileLookupTest cases (list/limit/tolerance,
read nearest cell, nil for far cells, picks closest among matches),
3/3 SkewtLiveTest still green, 2,894 total Elixir tests + 221
properties green via mix test (one pre-existing flaky test in
admin/contact_edit_live re-runs clean). mix credo --strict clean.
mix assets.build clean.
Each fix is covered by a regression test that fails on `main` and
passes on this commit.
Round 1 (initial review):
* propagation: thread `latitude` into the conditions map so
`score_season/4` actually picks up regional multipliers
* hrrr_client / fetcher.rs: `nearest_hrrr_hour` rounds DOWN, never at
a future cycle that NOAA hasn't published yet
* radio: spherical-vector great-circle midpoint replaces the
arithmetic mean — anti-meridian paths no longer fold to Greenwich
* weather: `reconcile_weather_statuses` scales the longitude band by
`1 / cos(lat)` so the bbox stays ~150 km wide at every latitude
* radio/maidenhead: clamp 90°/180° below the field-bucket overflow so
`from_latlon` never emits invalid characters like 'S'
* prop_grid_rs/pipeline: merge HRRR + NEXRAD-derived rain rates and
read `best_duct_freq_ghz` into `best_duct_band_ghz` so the Native
Duct Boost actually fires
* propagation/region (Elixir + Rust): inclusive upper bounds so points
exactly at lat_max get the regional multiplier
* weather/sounding_params (Elixir + Rust): drop the 10 m gradient
floor so HRRR's thin near-surface layers stop hiding sharp ducts
* weather/sounding_params: when the profile ends inside a duct,
finalize it with the highest sample as the top instead of throwing
it away (Rust port already correct)
Round 2 (post-fix sweep):
* radio + commercial: single canonical haversine in Radio (atan2
form); Commercial delegates instead of carrying a second copy that
could disagree at threshold distances
* prop_grid_rs/profiles_file: `snap_coords` matches Elixir's
step-aware snap (`round(coord/0.125) * 0.125`, then 3-dp round) so
Rust-keyed and Elixir-keyed profile maps land on the same cell
* weather/grib2/wgrib2: `parse_lon_val_segment` uses `Float.parse`
uniformly — wgrib2 dropping the trailing `.0` from a longitude no
longer crashes the whole chain step
PropagationGridWorker hard-coded `now-2h` for run_time selection on
the conservative theory that NOAA always finishes publishing within
two hours. In practice f18 is on the mirror by HH:55–HH:00 of the
next hour, so the cron at HH:05 was always picking a cycle that was
already an hour stale.
`HrrrClient.cycle_available?/1` HEADs the wrfprsf18 idx (the slowest
file in the cycle) — a 200 means every earlier forecast hour is also
on disk. `pick_run_time/1` probes `now-1h` first; if the probe
returns true we use that cycle, otherwise we fall back to the
existing `now-2h` slot. Test hook via :hrrr_cycle_available_fn env
keeps the behaviour fully exercisable without hitting NOAA.
End-to-end: weather/score data lag drops from ~2 h to ~1 h on every
hour where NOAA delivers on time. The fallback path keeps the chain
running on slow-publish hours.
850 mb T alone shows that warm air is present aloft but doesn't reveal
whether it's the textbook cap structure — a warm 700 mb above an EML
plume. The three new layers expose the canonical capping diagnostics
visually:
* T @ 700 mb — ≥10 °C is the southern Plains "moderate cap" threshold
* Td @ 700 mb — wide T-Td depression at 700 mb signals the EML plume
* Lapse 850→700 — steep mid-layer lapse rate (≥7 °C/km) over a moist
boundary layer is the cap mechanism itself
All three derive purely from the existing pressure-level profile (Rust
already fetches up through 700 mb), so no Rust pipeline changes needed.
- IemRateLimiter gains AIMD-style adaptive spacing. signal_429/0
widens the current gap (*= 1.5, capped at max_interval_ms default
10s); signal_success/0 narrows it back toward the configured base
(*= 0.92, floored at interval_ms). Self-tunes to IEM's moving
ceiling without needing the manual "safe for 4 pods" constant.
- IemClient now routes every response through a central handle_response
helper that fires the widen/narrow feedback signals, eliminating the
four near-identical case blocks.
- Mix.Tasks.Weather.RebatchAsos collapses any already-queued single-
station "asos" jobs into the batched "asos_batch" shape the
enqueuer now emits, so the pending backfill queue converts to the
new per-request-efficient path instead of draining at the old rate.
Idempotent; supports --dry-run.
2833 tests + credo green.
IEM's ASOS CSV endpoint accepts multiple station= params in a single
request. Prior code enqueued one WeatherFetchWorker job per nearby
station per QSO endpoint — N jobs × 1 station each — which paid the
IemRateLimiter's 1500ms gap and the IEM 429-retry tail N times per
contact.
Changes:
- IemClient.asos_url/3 accepts a list of station codes.
- IemClient.fetch_asos_batch/3 fetches N stations in one call and
returns rows grouped by station_code (with absent codes filled as
empty lists so callers can stub them).
- parse_asos_csv/1 now exposes the station_code column it was
previously discarding.
- WeatherFetchWorker gains an "asos_batch" fetch_type clause that
unpacks rows per (station_id, station_code), upserting or stubbing
each. The single-station "asos" clause stays for already-queued
retryable jobs.
- ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker.build_asos_jobs/3 now emits one batch
job per (lat, lon, 4h window) covering every uncovered nearby
station (sorted for deterministic unique-args).
Expected effect on backfill: ~10-20x fewer IEM requests per contact
enrichment cycle, matching drop in 429 retry traffic.
Adds 30 more test cases (2594 → 2624 tests) targeting the last
low-coverage hot spots.
Notable additions:
- ContactLive.Show fully-hydrated render path (seeds HrrrProfile,
TerrainProfile, ContactCommonVolumeRadar, Sounding, SurfaceObservation,
IemreObservation) exercises refresh_computed, build_propagation_analysis,
build_data_sources, compute_elevation_profile, and the downstream
render branches they unlock.
- handle_info :terrain_ready and :sounding_fetched paths for same-contact
and unrelated-contact dispatch.
- Flagged-invalid badge + line-through header style.
- Owner-label button path (Edit vs Suggest Edit).
- NotifyListener init/1 subscribes on schedule; handle_info(:subscribe)
succeeds against the live Repo.
- RecalibrateScorer runs cleanly against an empty corpus via the
Recalibrator insufficient-data fallback.
- HrrrNativeClient.extract_native_profiles/2 tolerates malformed input
without crashing.
- identify_var: full round-trip across every known (discipline,
category, number) triple, plus a property that any triple outside
the 12-entry lookup falls back to the "cat:num" default.
- identify_level: hybrid-level and entire-atmosphere branches, plus
two properties — pressure levels always render as
`div(value_pa, 100) <> " mb"` and unknown surface types always
render as `unknown:<type>:<value>` (generator samples only from
types outside the 6-entry lookup set).
- sign_magnitude_16: round-trip property over [-32_767, 32_767] (±0
both decode to 0 as intended) and a monotonicity property inside
a single sign band.
Suite: 2,419 tests + 164 properties (was 2,416 + 159); credo strict
clean.
- Format.number/1: boundary cases (0, 999, 1_000), float rounding,
nil/atom fallback to to_string, plus two properties — comma
insertion is lossless round-trip and the comma count follows
`div(digits - 1, 3)` for |n| ≥ 1000.
- Format.bytes/1: per-unit boundary cases plus a monotonicity
property (parse-back preserves ordering across the B/KB/MB/GB
transitions).
- Instrument.span/2,3 (0→100%): wraps the block in a telemetry span
returning its value, defaults metadata to %{}, emits the
:exception event and re-raises on a raise inside the span, and
prefixes every event suffix with :microwaveprop.
- SolarClient: short-line / empty-line / blank-day handling for
parse_gfz_row; blank-line + short-line tolerance in parse_gfz_file;
filter_since boundary semantics (>= is inclusive, empty list
passes through).
Suite: 2,397 tests + 159 properties (was 2,382 + 155); coverage
71.12% → 71.16%; Format + Instrument now at 100%; credo strict clean.
- SwpcClient: unparseable time_tag rows drop silently, integer / string
numerics both cast, already-decoded list bodies (Req auto-decode) are
accepted, non-JSON-array bodies return {:error, :not_a_list}, X-ray
rows whose energy isn't the long wavelength are filtered, and the
misspelled-upstream electron_contaminaton key flags
electron_contaminated.
- UwyoSoundingClient: every month abbreviation routes to its correct
number, bogus month tokens fall through to an empty result, and
short-of-fixed-width lines are skipped without raising.
- Grid.wgrib2_grid_spec/0: lon/lat_start anchor to the SW corner,
steps match Grid.step/0, cell counts span CONUS inclusive, and the
spec's cell product equals length(Grid.conus_points/0).
- PollWorker: empty-link list is a no-op, and poll_fn receives host /
community / radio_type straight from the link row.
- Contact submission_changeset: antenna heights are bounded to
[0, 1000] ft, whitespace-only mode normalises without firing an
invalid-mode error, plus a pair of StreamData properties — every
sanctioned band validates and every out-of-list band string is
rejected.
Suite: 2,380 tests + 148 properties (was 2,370 + 146); coverage
70.38% → 71.08% total; credo strict clean.
Changes under lib/ (source):
- iemre_fetch_worker: replace `if transient_failure?/1` boolean predicate
+ `if/else` with a classifier that pattern-matches the error reason
directly, returning `:transient | :permanent`, and dispatch via
`case`. Three-clause head is clearer than the boolean predicate.
- scores_file.extract_points and nexrad_client.extract_box: force `//1`
step on the row/col comprehensions so an image box whose centre
lands outside the raster collapses to an empty iteration instead
of firing Elixir 1.19's ambiguous-range warning. Adds a regression
test for the right-edge box.
Test coverage added:
- Feature wrappers in Backtest.Features (theta_e_jump, shear_at_top,
duct_thickness, best_duct_freq, duct_usable_for_band,
distance_to_front / parallel_to_front stubs, all_features/0).
- NotifyListener handle_info tolerance for malformed payloads +
unknown messages, plus the PubSub broadcast side effect.
- Viewshed.effective_reach_km across every verdict / diffraction
tier / ducting-score tier combination.
- SnmpClient parse_af60_output unit conversions + unknown-column
handling; parse_snmpget_output OID normalisation and junk-line
tolerance.
- HrrrNativeClient native_level_count, native_variables,
native_messages shape, duct_messages / duct_byte_ranges.
- Changeset coverage for GeomagneticObservation, SolarFluxObservation,
SolarXrayObservation, Ionosphere.Observation, HrrrClimatology, and
Metar5minObservation — lifted each from ~50% / 0% to 100%.
- Property tests: GefsClient.dewpoint_from_rh invariants (Td ≤ T,
monotonic in RH, finite across the operating envelope) + idempotent
nearest_run. NexradClient.pixel_to_dbz monotonicity + bounded
output; latlon_to_pixel round-trip for every grid cell.
Also cleared several unrelated compiler/linter warnings:
- Three private test helpers (create_contact, insert_contact,
current_hour) had `\\ %{}` / `\\ 0` defaults that no caller used.
- profiles_file_test bound `dir` in a pattern match without using it.
Suite: 2,359 tests + 146 properties pass (was 2,300 / 139); coverage
70.38% → 70.89%; credo strict clean.
Pure-function invariants that example tests can't express at scale:
- Weather.round_to_iemre_grid/2, HrrrClient.nearest_hrrr_hour/1,
NexradClient.round_to_5min/1, NarrClient.snap_to_analysis_hour/1:
each is idempotent, its output satisfies a grid/slot-membership
predicate, and lies within a bounded distance of the input.
- NarrClient.in_coverage?/1: coverage_end is an exclusive upper
bound; any timestamp after it is out of coverage.
- IemreFetchWorker.backoff/1: result is in [120, 21_600], monotonic
non-decreasing in attempt, equals 120*2^(attempt-1) pre-cap.
- Contact submission_changeset notes field: every non-blank string
up to 2000 chars validates; any longer string is rejected.
22 new properties (139 → 161 including existing); all 2,300 tests
green, credo clean.
Three bugs were letting mechanism/terrain/radar contacts ping-pong
between :complete and :queued on every backfill cron:
1. enqueue_for_contact/2 now filters out types that are already
:complete on the contact before building jobs. Previously
mark_status!/3 demoted every non-empty jobs_by_type entry back to
:queued, overwriting the :complete that workers had just set.
2. reconcile_stale_queued/1 now also flips mechanism_status and
radar_status back to :complete when the companion data
(propagation_mechanism / contact_common_volume_radar) already
exists. Drains the existing ~14k row backlog on the first post-
deploy tick.
3. IemClient.parse_iemre_json/1 accepts "" and nil so a 200-with-
empty-body IEMRE response doesn't FunctionClauseError the worker
through four retry attempts.
- HrrrClient idx-cache test only invalidated the surface idx URL, but
fetch_profile also fetches a pressure idx. Previous runs' state for
the pressure key decided whether the counter landed at 1 (prior run
cached it, pass) or 2 (cold, fail). Invalidate both + assert 2 total
fetches to reflect the actual code path.
- CsvImportTest deadlocked against other async DataCase tests when
inline Oban child jobs upserted iemre_observations/terrain_profiles
with a shared conflict target. Flip to async: false — same fix as
ContactWeatherEnqueueWorkerTest earlier this session.
- PromEx.Plugins.Oban runs a 5s telemetry_poller that queries the DB,
but its poller PID has no sandbox connection in test and crashed
with DBConnection.OwnershipError on every tick, spamming the log.
Gate the plugin on a config flag and skip it in config/test.exs;
prod behaviour unchanged.
Band-warm failures in the Rust propagation_ready pipeline were only
surfaced via Logger.warning, so Prometheus had no way to see them.
The /weather GridCache hit/miss was likewise invisible while its
/map counterpart (ScoreCache) already reported cache ratio.
- NotifyListener emits [:microwaveprop, :propagation, :notify_listener, :warm]
with %{ok, err} measurements and %{valid_time} metadata after every
propagation_ready notification. Public handle_propagation_ready/1 so
tests can exercise the warm+telemetry path without Postgrex.
- GridCache.fetch/1, fetch_bounds/2, and fetch_point/3 emit
[:microwaveprop, :weather, :grid_cache, :lookup] with a :hit | :miss
metadata key on every ETS lookup.
1. GridCache: auto-release fill lock when the claimer process crashes.
claim_fill/1 + release_fill/1 go through the GenServer so the
server can Process.monitor the caller and clean up the ETS entry
on :DOWN. Clear/0 now resets both the data table and the lock
table. Fixes a latent bug where a crashed fill leaked the lock
indefinitely, preventing every subsequent /weather mount for that
valid_time from claiming and leaving cache cold.
2. RadarFrameWorker: distinguish permanent vs transient fetch errors.
404 from the IEM n0q archive is permanent (file will never exist)
and marks contacts :unavailable as before. Any other error shape
(5xx, timeout, transport failure) now returns {:error, reason}
so Oban retries — previously those also pinned contacts at
:unavailable after a transient outage.
3. AdminTaskWorker.native_derive: replace per-row Repo.update_all
(N round-trips + N fsyncs) with one UPDATE ... FROM unnest(...)
per 2000-row batch. For the 10k-profile budget this is one
network round trip per chunk instead of 10k, and one fsync per
chunk instead of 10k. Restructured the clause to separate
derivation (pure) from persistence (I/O).
All three changes are test-covered (grid_cache_test auto-release
test, radar_frame_worker_test 5xx + transport tests, existing
admin_task_worker_test native_derive coverage exercises the new
bulk path). Also drops the scorer_diff no-op test that was
verifying the clause removed in 61da51c.
MrmsFetchWorker fired every 2 min on the :propagation queue, decoding an
MRMS PrecipRate GRIB2 into MrmsCache. Its only consumer,
AsosAdjustmentWorker, is disabled in all configs (dev / config / runtime).
Net effect: 30 GRIB2 decodes/hour of dead work on hot pods.
Removed:
- MrmsFetchWorker, MrmsClient, MrmsCache and their tests
- cron entries in config.exs, dev.exs, runtime.exs
- mrms_req_options stub in test.exs
- MrmsCache from supervision tree in application.ex
- stale MRMS references in PropagationGridWorker docstring and test
Also adds docs/plans/2026-04-19-rust-migration-phase3.md which tracks
the broader Stream A (f00 port) and Stream C (HrrrFetchWorker port)
follow-on work.
Telemetry showed the application-master process holding ~830 MiB of
terms from warm_grid_cache_from_latest_profile — the data lives in
the app master's heap and never GCs because the process is idle.
Running it in a Task.start lets the terms die with the task.
Mark GridCache, MrmsCache, NexradCache, and ScoreCache ETS tables
:compressed. The scored-band-map and HRRR grid data are map-heavy;
compression trims hundreds of MiB at a few percent CPU cost.
Memoise HRRR .idx responses in Microwaveprop.Cache. Published idx
files are immutable for a model run, but the hourly chain re-fetches
the same URL dozens of times across forecast hours. Cuts ~10s per
repeat out of hrrr_fetch_idx.
Force a garbage collect at the end of HrrrFetchWorker.perform to
reclaim the refc binary heap held from GRIB2 ranges before the Oban
producer hands the process its next job.
Two independent wins the latest prod telemetry pointed at:
1. Iowa Environmental Mesonet rate limiter. IEM throttles per source
IP across all in-flight requests, so dropping the `:weather` Oban
queue to 1/pod wasn't enough — workers were still issuing back-to-
back requests inside each job and drawing a steady stream of HTTP
429s (1,396 retryable on the queue). A GenServer-based token bucket
serialises acquire() with a 700ms min gap per pod; three pods give
~4 req/sec cluster-wide, well under the observed 429 threshold.
Wrapped around every IemClient fetch.
2. Parallel HRRR surface + pressure grid fetch. The two products live
in separate wrfsfcf / wrfprsf GRIB files, so their fetch → wgrib2
→ decode pipelines are independent; running them sequentially was
adding ~30s per forecast hour for no reason. Task.async the pair,
merge at the end. Halves per-fh wall time and should unblock some
of the missing-hour cases we saw on the 14:00Z chain.
Four changes sized by measured prod telemetry (83m of spans):
1. propagation queue: 2 → 1 slot per pod. Two concurrent forecast-hour
steps per pod stacked HRRR grid + native duct grid + scored band
map into ~5-6 GiB RSS, OOM-killing every ~15 min. 3-way parallelism
cluster-wide still finishes the chain inside the hourly interval.
2. weather queue: 3 → 1 slot per pod. ASOS backfill was 429-thrashing
IEM (1,296 retryable jobs; logs were nothing but 429 backoffs).
3. PropagationGridWorker: skip native-level duct fetch on f01..f18.
At ~7-11 min/fh and 18 forecast hours, this was the largest single
cost per chain. Forecast hours fall back to
derived[:min_refractivity_gradient] from the pressure-level
profile. f00 still gets full native-level duct analysis.
4. HrrrClient.download_grib_ranges_to_file: parallelize with
Task.async_stream (max_concurrency 8). The file-backed variant was
sequential, dominating native-duct fetch time on the remaining f00
path. ~20s → ~3s per call.
Telemetry showed ~66 PropagationGridWorker exceptions per 6h with
55 ArgumentErrors and 11 TimeoutErrors, producing ~13 discarded
chain steps. Each discard broke the chain: subsequent forecast
hours were never enqueued, leaving the score store with huge gaps
(e.g. at 14:11 UTC the earliest available forecast was 18:00,
because f00-f05 all failed somewhere upstream and nothing ran
after them).
Three changes:
1. PropagationGridWorker: on the final attempt, still enqueue
fh+1 even when this step failed. Oban discards the current
job normally — but the rest of the chain keeps running, so
one bad hour doesn't take out the remaining 12-18. The
rescue is factored into a tested public helper.
2. HrrrClient.parse_idx: skip malformed idx lines instead of
raising. NOAA S3 occasionally serves an HTML error page as
the idx body, and the old strict String.to_integer path
raised ArgumentError on the first non-numeric line and took
down the chain step. This is the root cause of the 55
ArgumentErrors.
3. JS renderTimeline: when no forecast hour is at-or-before
wall-clock (all times are future — the gap scenario the
fixes above are designed to prevent), stop labeling the
earliest future slot "Now". Lets the user see honest
"+Nh" offsets instead of a lie on the pill.
Telemetry puts nexrad_decode_png at 1.76 s/call × 37,847 calls/h
— ~18.5 h of CPU across the cluster every real hour, the single
biggest CPU consumer in the system. The map-click path
(fetch_rain_cells) already cached decoded frames by 5-min
bucket, but the per-contact CommonVolumeRadarWorker path
(fetch_decoded_frame) went straight to network + decode on every
call. Backfill means many contacts share a 5-min window, so the
same 66 MB frame was being decoded dozens of times.
Wire fetch_decoded_frame through NexradCache keyed on the
rounded timestamp. Add a 20-entry size cap in NexradCache so
backfill processing contacts in random timestamp order can't
grow the ETS table to hundreds of GB. Each frame is ~66 MB, so
20 = ~1.3 GB worst case, well under typical pod memory.
Expected impact: cuts sustained decode load by an order of
magnitude depending on backfill temporal locality; map-click
path is unchanged.
Wires the GEFS fetch pipeline into the existing scoring machinery:
- GefsFetchWorker runs Propagation.score_grid_point over every
fetched grid cell and persists the result via replace_scores/2, so
Day 2-7 valid_times show up on the map through the same
Propagation.scores_at/3 path HRRR uses
- Empty-args perform/1 seeds the chain by enqueueing f024-f168 (25
jobs at 6-hour cadence) for the most recent GEFS run that should
be published given NOMADS' ~3-4h publication lag
- Cron: seeds at 05:30, 11:30, 17:30, 23:30 UTC — 5 hours after each
00/06/12/18Z run
- GefsClient.build_profile now emits :wind_u / :wind_v atom keys to
match the scorer's input shape; DB columns keep the *_mps suffix
for unit clarity, remapped at write time
GEFS pgrb2a lacks HPBL, native-level duct data, NEXRAD, and
commercial-link degradation — the extended-horizon score is a
rougher signal than the HRRR-driven one but covers the window HRRR
can't reach.
- GefsClient.build_profile/1: converts raw wgrib2 output into the
scorer-shaped profile, deriving Td from RH via Magnus at both the
surface and each pressure level
- GefsClient.fetch_grid_profiles/3: downloads the idx sidecar from
NOMADS, byte-ranges only the surface messages, hands the slim
GRIB2 binary to wgrib2 -lola for bilinear regridding from 0.5°
onto the CONUS 0.125° grid
- GefsFetchWorker: one Oban job per (run_time, forecast_hour),
upserts into gefs_profiles and runs SoundingParams.derive so the
same refractivity/ducting metrics flow through
Oban gets a new :gefs queue (2 slots dev/config, 1 slot per prod
pod). Test env gets a gefs_req_options Req.Test stub slot so future
integration tests can drive the full fetch path. No cron wiring or
scorer integration yet — that's Step 3.
Lays the groundwork for a Day 2-7 propagation outlook driven by NCEP
GEFS ensemble-mean output, picking up where HRRR's 18-hour horizon
leaves off.
- GefsClient: NOMADS URL builder, forecast-hour list (3h to +240,
6h to +384), ensemble-mean message inventory, and a Magnus
dewpoint derivation (pgrb2a publishes RH rather than Td)
- gefs_profiles table + GefsProfile schema mirroring hrrr_profiles
so the scorer can run over rows from either source
- Weather.upsert_gefs_profile/1 and upsert_gefs_profiles_batch/1
No worker or UI yet — those land in follow-up commits.
parse_cdo_row/1 assumed cdo -outputtab,code,lev,value would always emit
numeric codes in the first column, but Debian's cdo 2.5.1 (the version
in the prod container) emits mixed output:
- 'codeNN' with a literal 'code' prefix for most GRIB1 parameters
- Short GRIB1 names for a few: 2tag2 (PRES sfc), saip (DPT 2m),
tpag10 (HGT)
Result: every row fell through to :error, yielding a 'no parseable
values' error and 986 discarded NarrFetchWorker jobs.
Fix: normalize the code token by stripping 'code' prefix when present
and mapping known 2.5.1 short names. UGRD/VGRD intentionally omitted
(no discard evidence yet) — comment documents the add-when-they-surface
plan.
Also exposed parse_cdo_outputtab/1 as @doc false for testability.
build_messages_per_message/3 was slicing the wgrib2 -lola bin output as
a packed float32 stream, ignoring the 4-byte record-length header + 4-byte
trailer that Fortran unformatted records prepend/append around each
message's data block. First value of message 0 came back as ~2.24e-44
(little-endian float32 of the int-16 record length), and every subsequent
message was shifted by 8 bytes so values spilled into neighbouring cells.
Fix: propagate the correct offset math already used by parse_lola_binary/3
(record_overhead = 8, stride = bytes_per_message + 8, data_offset =
msg_idx * stride + 4).
Flipped the characterization test from metadata-only to per-cell physical
asserts (200 K < TMP, DPT < 340 K; DPT <= TMP) and a 0.01 K cross-check
against extract_grid/3 output on the same fixture + bbox. Latent bug —
no production callers of extract_grid_messages*.
16 characterization tests against real wgrib2 binary + checked-in HRRR
fixtures: extract_grid/3 (bbox + physical sanity on TMP/DPT + longitude
convention), extract_grid_from_file/3, extract_grid_from_file_mapped/4
reducer plumbing, extract_grid_messages/3 metadata, extract_points_from_file/3
nearest-neighbor snap, undefined-value sentinel filtering, empty-match and
error shapes. Tagged @describetag :slow so they run on 'mix test --include
slow' (project default excludes slow, matches existing HRRR/NARR tests).
Surfaces one real bug (not fixed): extract_grid_messages variants don't
account for the 8-byte Fortran record overhead between messages in wgrib2
-lola output, so per-message values after the first are shifted. The
correct offset math exists in parse_lola_binary/3. Tests characterize
current behavior (metadata-only); worth a follow-up fix + value-range
assertions.
Same fix as rtma_client: MrmsClient had a hardcoded req_options/0 —
switched to a Keyword.merge with Application.get_env so tests can stub
HTTP. 13 new characterization tests: cache put/get/clear/broadcast and
worker listing/download/up-to-date paths. Full GRIB2 parse happy path
deferred to the wgrib2 coverage task.
RtmaClient was the only weather client without a Req.Test plug seam —
added the standard req_options() helper matching NarrClient/HrrrClient/
etc. so its HTTP calls can be stubbed in test.
17 characterization tests: URL construction, idx fetch 404/503, hour
truncation, malformed idx, range-GET error propagation, worker's
existing-row short-circuit, client-error propagation. GRIB2 byte
parsing paths deferred to the wgrib2 coverage task.
Post-2014 contacts with hrrr_status=:unavailable were being dispatched to
NARR, which 404s because NCEI's archive ends 2014-10-02. 14K of the 14.3K
candidates in prod are post-2014 — these are HRRR's responsibility.
- NarrClient.in_coverage?/1 returns true only inside 1979-01-01 → 2014-10-02
- narr_jobs_for_contact and maybe_enqueue_narr (contact_live) bail out of
coverage returning []
- BackfillEnqueueWorker.type_filter scopes :narr to qso_timestamp <
coverage_end so the cron doesn't keep picking post-2014 candidates
After the NARR backfill landed, nothing reachable from the app calls
any of these modules. Net removal: ~2700 lines.
Deleted:
- Microwaveprop.Workers.{Era5Fetch,Era5Submit,Era5Poll,Era5MonthBatch}Worker
- Microwaveprop.Weather.{Era5BatchClient,Era5Client}
- Mix.Tasks.Era5Backfill (superseded by BackfillEnqueueWorker cron)
- Matching test files (~1100 LOC of test)
- era5/era5_submit/era5_poll/era5_batch queue blocks from runtime.exs
- era5_req_options Req.Test stub config from test.exs
Kept (actively used or intentionally preserved):
- Era5Profile schema (the era5_profiles table is the NARR target)
- Era5CdsJob schema + its test (inspection handle on the era5_cds_jobs
table, which retains rows from the failed CDS runs)
- :era5 type key in ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker / BackfillEnqueueWorker
(the symbol still means "historical backfill", just routed to NARR now)
Swapped the one remaining live Era5FetchWorker call site in
contact_live/show.ex's maybe_enqueue_era5 path to NarrFetchWorker
(with NarrClient.snap_to_analysis_hour for the 3-hourly slot).
Test suite: 1513 tests, 0 failures (-50 from the deleted era5 test
files). No compile warnings. Credo clean.
extract_profile_from_file shells out to cdo:
cdo -outputtab,name,lev,value -remapnn,lon=X_lat=Y <merged.grb>
parses the text output (varNNN ↔ NCEP GRIB1 param number lookup),
maps surface records to era5_profiles fields, builds the pressure
profile from each (TMP, HGT, SPFH) triple, and merges in the derived
fields from SoundingParams.derive/1. Returns the same attrs shape as
Era5BatchClient.build_profile_attrs/5 so the existing
bulk_insert_profiles path can ingest NARR rows unchanged.
fetch_profile_at picks records from a fetched inventory, byte-range
fetches each one into a per-record temp file, runs cdo -merge to build
a composite, calls extract_profile_from_file, and cleans up via
try/after.
Drive-by fix: ThetaE.dewpoint_from_spfh/2 returns Kelvin (its existing
test asserts that explicitly). Era5BatchClient was passing that
Kelvin value straight into "dwpc" (Celsius), which would then crash
SoundingParams.compute_refractivity_profile when it called Buck's
saturation-vapor-pressure equation with t=294 instead of t=21. The
bug never surfaced because era5_profiles is empty in production —
no ERA5 backfill has ever succeeded. Fixed in both era5_batch_client
and the new narr_client by subtracting 273.15 in the wrapper. Both
wrappers now have a comment pointing at the K→C conversion.
Test fixture test/fixtures/narr/narr_dfw_2010-06-15_12z.grb is the
spike-captured composite (1.1 MB — Lambert conformal projection
isn't sellonlatbox-subsettable so we can't shrink it further).
parse_inventory walks the wgrib1-format .inv text and returns a
{var, level} -> {byte_offset, length} index, computing each record's
length from the next record's offset (or file_size for the last one).
fetch_inventory does a GET on the .inv URL plus a HEAD on the .grb URL
to learn its size, then delegates to parse_inventory.
Both stubbable via Req.Test (config/test.exs adds narr_req_options
matching the existing era5_req_options / giro_req_options pattern).
Spike fixture at test/fixtures/narr/narr-a_221_20100615_1200_000.inv
backs the parser test — verifies the ("TMP", "2 m above gnd") and
("WVVFLX", "atmos col") records line up with the real bytes.
First slice of the NARR backfill client: url_for/1,
url_for_inventory/1, and snap_to_analysis_hour/1. Pure functions,
no network. Validates that NARR analyses only exist at 3-hourly
slots (00/03/06/09/12/15/18/21 UTC). The byte-range fetch and
cdo-driven point extraction land in follow-up commits per
docs/plans/2026-04-15-merra2-historical-backfill.md.
The skew-T commit (30c1018) doubled @pressure_levels from 13 to 25 so
new contact fetches would cover the full troposphere. That list is
also what PropagationGridWorker pulls per forecast hour, which
doubled the GRIB footprint (~57 MB compressed + 92k points × 25
levels × 3 vars decoded through wgrib2) and pushed prod pods over
their 4 Gi OOMKill threshold. Every chain died during f00 and the
map timeline never got beyond now and now+1h because the .ntms files
for f02-f18 were never written.
Split the constant:
* @profile_pressure_levels (25 levels, 1000-100 mb) drives the
per-contact HrrrClient.fetch_profile path so the skew-T plot
keeps its full-atmosphere trace.
* @grid_pressure_levels (13 levels, 1000-700 mb) drives the grid
hot path. That's the band SoundingParams.derive reads for
min_refractivity_gradient, and native hybrid-sigma data
(native_min_gradient) takes priority over the pressure-level
fallback anyway, so upper-air levels contribute nothing to
scoring — pure memory waste on this path.
build_profile/1 still iterates the full 25-level list; grid fetches
simply populate the 13 near-surface slots and skip the rest.
Makes HrrrClient.pressure_messages public with a :grid | :profile
variant so the split is testable from outside the module.
Historical contacts showed a skew-T log-P diagram that stopped at 700 mb
because HrrrClient and Era5Client only fetched pressure-level data down
to the top of the boundary layer. The chart canvas already ran up to
100 mb, so the trace clipped mid-atmosphere.
Two complementary fixes:
1. Extend @pressure_levels in HrrrClient and Era5Client with
650/600/550/500/450/400/350/300/250/200/150/100 mb so new fetches
cover the full troposphere + lower stratosphere.
2. Prefer the native hybrid-sigma profile for the contact-detail
skew-T when one has been backfilled for the contact's hour. The
native profile already stores all 50 hybrid levels up to ~19 km,
so historical contacts covered by the native backfill get a full
trace without re-hitting S3. A new HrrrNativeProfile.to_skew_t_profile/1
converts the parallel arrays into the %{"pres","tmpc","dwpc","hght"}
list shape the renderer expects, deriving dewpoint from SPFH via the
Magnus inverse. Weather.find_nearest_native_profile/3 mirrors
find_nearest_hrrr/3 for the lookup.
CDS returns status="rejected" (distinct from "failed") when a submit
is rate-limited past the 150-job per-user cap. The poll worker's
interpret_status_body treated this as an unknown status → generic
retryable error → 10 retries → discarded. 102 jobs hit this path
overnight.
Fix:
* Era5Client.check_status/1 now returns {:rejected, reason} (and
treats "dismissed" the same way — that's the status a manually
deleted job transitions to).
* Era5PollWorker handles :rejected exactly like :not_found: drop the
DB row, clean up the sibling CDS job, re-enqueue the submit, and
discard the current Oban job so it doesn't burn attempts retrying
a terminal state.
* Widened Era5SubmitWorker cap headroom from 10 → 30 (effective
ceiling 120 not 140). The race between concurrent workers all
passing the count check simultaneously meant we were reaching 141
in-flight against the 150 hard cap; 30 slots of headroom tolerates
a ~15-worker race before clipping CDS's ceiling.
Refactored handle_row/1 into handle_row + handle_non_both_done with a
leg_outcome/1 tag helper so the cross-product of leg statuses collapses
to a single pair match (credo complexity limit).
When CDS returns 404 for a poll check, the job is gone (manually
deleted, reaped, or never existed). Retrying will always 404, so treat
it as terminal: drop the era5_cds_jobs row, delete the sibling CDS job,
re-enqueue Era5SubmitWorker for the tile-month, and discard the Oban
poll job. Fixes 30 retryable poll jobs left behind by the interrupted
manual-cleanup script.
The single Era5MonthBatchWorker pinned an Oban slot for the full 30-45
min a CDS month-tile takes to assemble, and lost the work entirely on a
rolling deploy because the in-flight Task died with the pod. This splits
the flow into two tiny workers and persists the CDS job IDs so deploys
survive.
New pipeline:
1. Era5SubmitWorker (:era5_submit queue) — POSTs both CDS requests in
parallel, writes an `era5_cds_jobs` row with the returned job IDs,
and enqueues an Era5PollWorker scheduled +5 min. ~1s of real work.
Short-circuits when the month-tile is already cached or when a row
already exists (in-flight from a previous attempt).
2. Era5PollWorker (:era5_poll queue) — reads the row, calls
Era5Client.check_status/1 for both CDS job IDs, and:
- returns {:snooze, 300} if either job is still running (Oban
re-schedules without counting an attempt and releases the slot
immediately — a pod can keep dozens of tile-months in flight
without pinning workers)
- streams both GRIB files to disk via Req into: File.stream!,
decodes via Wgrib2.extract_grid_messages_from_file, bulk-inserts
via Era5BatchClient.decode_and_insert/6, deletes the row, and
DELETEs both completed jobs from CDS to free server-side quota
- if either leg CDS-reports failed, deletes the row + both CDS
jobs and returns {:error, reason}
Era5Client gains four testable building blocks:
submit_job/2 (bare POST → {:ok, job_id})
check_status/1 (GET → :running | {:done, src} | {:failed, reason})
download_source_to_file/3 (streams {:url, href} or writes {:body, bin})
delete_job/1 (DELETE /jobs/:id, treats 200/202/204/404 as :ok)
All Req calls now route through `era5_req_options` so tests can stub
CDS responses via Req.Test.stub(Era5Client, fn).
Era5MonthBatchWorker is retained as a thin forwarder to Era5SubmitWorker
so any jobs already in the :era5_batch queue on prod pods drain cleanly
on the next rolling deploy. Safe to delete in a follow-up.
Adds era5_cds_jobs table with a unique index on
(year, month, tile_lat, tile_lon) so duplicate submits collapse.
New queue config in runtime.exs:
era5_submit: local_limit 4, rate_limit 30/hour (burst protection)
era5_poll: local_limit 20 (polls are cheap GETs)
era5_batch: kept at 1 for legacy job drain, delete next cycle
