Commit graph

15 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
02cb4fd67b
Integrate ML model into grid worker, QSO search, and UI improvements
ML Integration:
- Load trained model at app startup, cache compiled predict fn in persistent_term
- Grid worker uses batched ML prediction (10K chunks) when model loaded,
  falls back to algorithm scorer when not
- ML score replaces composite, algorithm factor scores preserved for detail view
- Fix process explosion: single EXLA call per chunk instead of per-grid-point

QSO Features:
- Callsign search (ILIKE on station1/station2) with trigram indexes
- Reciprocal QSO grouping (same pair, same band, same hour)
- Wider layout (max-w-7xl) for data table pages
- QSO Training Data link on map page

Infrastructure:
- Re-enable hourly propagation grid worker in dev
- Track ML model weights in git for Docker builds
- Add btree indexes on qsos (timestamp, band, distance_km)
- Remove nav icons from layout header
2026-04-01 10:14:22 -05:00
9537c97d1d
20-feature model with solar indices, sounding stability, and ducting
Add SFI, Kp max (solar), K-index, lifted index (sounding stability),
and ducting_detected (HRRR) as model features. Training now joins to
solar_indices and nearest sounding (within 6 hours) for both phases.
Model can learn solar/geomagnetic effects if they exist in the data.
2026-04-01 09:31:54 -05:00
07558d17eb
Two-phase training: pretrain on algorithm scores, fine-tune on QSOs
- 15 features: add surface_refractivity and latitude
- Bigger network: 128→64→32 (3 hidden layers)
- Phase 1: pretrain on 500K stratified algorithm scores (all seasons/locations)
- Phase 2: fine-tune on 57K real QSO-HRRR matched data (percentile target)
- Lower LR (0.0003) for fine-tuning to preserve pretrained knowledge
- Model.train accepts :initial_state option for transfer learning
2026-04-01 09:27:27 -05:00
08e4b9abdd
Bigger network (128→64→32) and percentile-based training target
- 3 hidden layers instead of 2 for better feature interaction learning
- Target is within-band distance percentile (0-1) instead of raw
  normalized distance — reduces noise from operator/equipment variation
2026-04-01 09:17:36 -05:00
69b5caf876
Normalize ML features to prevent NaN gradient explosion
Raw features had vastly different scales (pressure ~1013, sin/cos ~[-1,1])
causing gradient explosion. Normalize all atmospheric features to ~[0,1]
using known physical bounds. Add Polaris dep for optimizer.
2026-04-01 09:08:33 -05:00
c12f8cf5ed
Use local solar time for time-of-day scoring, add PWAT factor and pressure refinements
Score time-of-day per grid point using longitude/15 solar offset instead of
hardcoded CST/CDT. Add PWAT as 10th scoring factor. Refine pressure thresholds.
Update ML model and training pipeline to use local solar time.
2026-04-01 08:58:21 -05:00
8949920b7f
Add Nx/Axon/EXLA ML model skeleton for propagation prediction
13-feature feed-forward network (atmospheric + temporal + frequency).
Includes build, init, predict, encode_features, save/load to disk.
Model weights saved to priv/models/propagation_v1.nx (gitignored).
Not yet trained — scaffolding only.
2026-03-31 16:26:34 -05:00
c9112b9280
Recalibrate refractivity thresholds for HRRR gradient distribution
Previous thresholds (-500 to -60) were calibrated for radiosonde data.
HRRR profiles have coarser vertical resolution, with gradients clustering
between -40 and -130 N/km (median -70). Nearly all grid points were
falling through to the default score of 42, wasting the refractivity
factor. New thresholds (-200 to -40) spread across HRRR percentiles.
2026-03-31 16:08:15 -05:00
66639e3717
Increase grid to 0.125 degrees with smooth canvas overlay
Replace circle markers with a canvas tile layer that renders smooth,
flowing colored regions using bilinear interpolation between grid
points. Colors interpolate between tiers for gradients. ~95k grid
points at 0.125 degree resolution with wgrib2 extraction.
2026-03-31 08:52:07 -05:00
c56f349c86
Reduce grid resolution to 0.5 degrees (~6k points)
95k points at 0.125 degree resolution caused the GRIB2 extraction to
take too long. 0.5 degree (~55 km) resolution gives 6k points which
completes in under a minute. Can increase resolution later once the
extraction is optimized.
2026-03-31 07:22:42 -05:00
8d75f188f6
Merge branch 'worktree-agent-a3cdfb99' into feature/propagation-map 2026-03-30 17:00:40 -05:00
2698f33cd3
Add propagation scoring algorithm with 9 weighted factors
Implements BandConfig (data-driven thresholds for 8 bands) and Scorer
module with humidity, time-of-day, TD depression, refractivity, sky
cover, season, wind, rain attenuation, and pressure trend scoring.
Composite score applies BandConfig weights (sum to 1.0) across all
factors, producing 0-100 score per band. 10 GHz uses beneficial
humidity/ducting model; 24 GHz+ uses harmful absorption model.
2026-03-30 16:57:38 -05:00
8dd289580d
Merge branch 'worktree-agent-ae6c8945' into feature/propagation-map 2026-03-30 16:50:42 -05:00
775dff4263
Add CONUS grid definition and propagation score schema
Define 0.125-degree CONUS grid (25-50N, 125-66W) for propagation
scoring and create propagation_scores table with composite unique
index on lat/lon/valid_time/band_mhz for upsert support.
2026-03-30 16:50:06 -05:00
60461ffe32
Add band configuration module for propagation scoring
Single source of truth for all scoring parameters: weights, thresholds,
seasonal tables, and per-band coefficients for 8 microwave bands
(10G through 241G). Includes ITU-R P.838-3 rain attenuation
coefficients, humidity effects, refractivity scoring thresholds,
and sunrise/tier definitions.
2026-03-30 16:49:21 -05:00