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85 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
ac3a2517d9
feat(weather): /weather-ca endpoint shows HRDPS-only Canadian data
New LiveView at /weather-ca duplicates the /weather UI but defaults the
viewport to central Canada (55N, -100W, z=4) and renders the map div
with data-source="hrdps". The JS hook reads that attribute and appends
&source=hrdps to every cell fetch; the WeatherTileController routes
those reads through Weather.weather_grid_hrdps_at/2, which only reads
the <vt>.hrdps scalar dir and skips HRRR merging entirely. Timeline is
sourced from ScalarFile.list_valid_times_hrdps/0 so HRDPS-only hours
show up even when no HRRR file exists for the same valid_time.

Also drops "— Unified" from the algo.md H1.
2026-04-30 12:08:48 -05:00
3607a915ba
feat(hrdps): /weather merges HRRR with HRDPS for north-of-CONUS cells
The /weather map now shows HRRR-derived data wherever HRRR has
coverage and falls back to HRDPS-derived data for Canadian cells
outside HRRR's bbox. North of the 49°N HRRR-coverage line the map
stays populated instead of going blank.

Rust:

- weather_scalar_file::dir_for_hrdps + write_atomic_hrdps land HRDPS
  scalar chunks at `<vt>.hrdps/` so HRRR's `<vt>/` write isn't
  clobbered. The HRRR writer wipes its dir before each write — both
  sources need their own dir to coexist.
- pipeline::run_chain_step_hrdps now derives a ScalarRow for each
  scored cell (same derive_row that HRRR uses; same wire format) and
  writes them via write_atomic_hrdps alongside the .hrdps.prop score
  files.

Elixir:

- ScalarFile.dir_for_hrdps + read_bounds + read_point + exists? all
  walk both `<vt>/` (HRRR) and `<vt>.hrdps/` (HRDPS). read_bounds
  concatenates with HRRR-precedence on overlap (defensive — Rust
  pipeline doesn't write HRRR-overlap cells, but cheap to enforce).
- Weather.weather_grid_at unchanged: it routes through ScalarFile,
  which now transparently returns the union. GridCache stays
  per-valid_time so a single cache entry holds both regions.

Tests cover four scenarios: HRRR-only, HRDPS-only, both-present
union, and HRRR-precedence on the same cell.
2026-04-29 17:36:03 -05:00
15248239fe
feat(hrdps): hrdps_profiles partitioned table + HrdpsProfile schema
Stage 2 of the HRDPS plan. Mirror of hrrr_profiles for HRDPS-derived
rows so HRDPS can be dropped/reprocessed without disturbing the 4500+
HRRR profiles already in prod. Same column set, same indexes,
PARTITION BY RANGE (valid_time) with quarterly partitions starting at
the deploy quarter.

Schema follows the @primary_key {:id, :binary_id, autogenerate: true}
convention and the same set of derived fields HrrrProfile carries
(surface_refractivity, min_refractivity_gradient, ducting_detected,
duct_characteristics, etc.) so the rest of the pipeline can consume
HRDPS-derived rows interchangeably with HRRR-derived rows.

Unique constraint on (lat, lon, valid_time) is enforced at the DB
level via the partitioned index; schema-level unique_constraint/2
matching against changeset errors doesn't apply because the
partition's index name varies per partition. Production upserts go
through `on_conflict: {:replace_all_except, ...}` per project
convention.
2026-04-29 17:12:41 -05:00
139d9f7cbe
feat(hrdps): HrdpsClient — fetch_grid for Canadian propagation grid
Stage 1 of the HRDPS plan. Mirrors HrrrClient.fetch_grid/3's signature
so PropagationGridWorker can call either polymorphically.

Architectural shape per the probe wedge findings:
- ECCC's date-prefixed datamart URL structure
  (dd.weather.gc.ca/{YYYYMMDD}/WXO-DD/model_hrdps/...)
- One-variable-per-file model — fetch ~14 small GRIB2s concurrently,
  byte-concatenate into a single multi-record binary, hand to
  Wgrib2.extract_points_from_file. wgrib2 reads multi-record files
  natively so no -merge step is needed.
- wgrib2's -lon flag handles the rotated-lat/lon reprojection
  internally — no manual rotation math.

Variable catalog covers the surface set the propagation scorer reads
plus the 1000-700 mb pressure-level set used by the refractivity
gradient. PWAT is unavailable in HRDPS f000 inventory; the scorer's
PWAT factor will fall back to its default for HRDPS-derived points.

DEPR (T-Td depression) is treated as an alternate primary; when DPT
is absent build_profile_from_extracted derives dewpoint as
temp - depression so downstream consumers see the same shape as HRRR.

Plan task 1.6 (CYYR projection sanity check vs UWYO sounding) is
covered by the live probe at lib/mix/tasks/hrdps_probe.ex which
already validated wgrib2's rotated-grid handling against five
Canadian cities; the production implementation routes through the
same Wgrib2.extract_points_from_file path that the probe used.
2026-04-29 16:58:47 -05:00
b67c0e88c0
perf(weather): cache forecast-hour grids in GridCache to skip ScalarFile decode
Each /weather/tiles request was running the full ScalarFile decode path
(File.read → gunzip → Msgpax.unpack → normalize) for any non-analysis
valid_time, because GridCache deliberately skipped forecast hours to keep
memory low. With 21 simultaneous viewport tiles all hitting the same few
chunk files, each tile took 1.5-3.2s of contended IO + CPU.

On a GridCache miss when a ScalarFile exists, hydrate GridCache from the
file once (deduped via the existing claim_fill primitive) and serve all
subsequent reads from ETS. Bound memory with prune_keep_latest/1 — keep
the 24 most-recently-touched valid_times, which covers a full HRRR run
(analysis + 18 forecasts) plus a few stragglers from the previous run.

In the steady state, the first viewport read for a given forecast hour
takes one full ScalarFile decode (~50-100 ms for 92k cells); every
subsequent tile, point lookup, and viewport read for the same hour
serves from ETS in <1 ms.
2026-04-29 13:10:12 -05:00
9f583a16bf
perf(weather/scalar_file): single MessagePack format for both Elixir and Rust
Move ScalarFile from a dual-writer dual-format setup (ETF on the Elixir
side, materialized via NotifyListener; nothing on the Rust side) to a
single chunked-MessagePack format that both languages produce and
consume.

Elixir side:

- ScalarFile now writes gzipped MessagePack `.mp.gz` per chunk via
  Msgpax. Reader decodes with Msgpax + zlib. Atom keys are stripped to
  strings on encode and re-atomized via a whitelist on read so callers
  see the same shape regardless of which side wrote the bytes.
- DateTime values round-trip through ISO8601 strings.
- New cross-language wire-format test that decodes a hand-rolled
  payload mirroring exactly what `rmp_serde::to_vec_named` emits, so a
  format regression on either side fails the suite.

Rust side:

- New `prop_grid_rs::weather_scalar_file` module:
  - 1:1 port of `Microwaveprop.Weather.WeatherLayers.derive/1` plus
    the surface fields `Weather.build_grid_cache_row/4` adds on top
    (lapse rate, mid lapse rate, inversion strength + base, 850/700 mb
    interpolation, surface RH, surface refractivity, ducting flag).
  - `write_atomic` chunks rows into 5°×5° buckets, writes one
    `<lat_band>_<lon_band>.mp.gz` per chunk via tmp + rename, drops
    pre-existing chunks first to keep writes canonical.
  - 5 unit tests covering surface-only rows, upper-air derivation,
    write/read round-trip, chunk band boundaries, and the
    out-of-physical-range surface-temp filter.
- Pipeline integration: both `run_chain_step` (f01..f18) and the f00
  analysis path now build `Vec<ScalarRow>` in the same merged-cell
  pass that builds `CellEntry` and `Conditions`, then fire a parallel
  `spawn_blocking` write that overlaps with scoring. Awaiting the
  scalar future after the score-band writes keeps the failure-surface
  symmetric with the existing profile_future.

Result: every new forecast hour lands with the scalar artifact already
on disk, so /weather reads never fall through to ProfilesFile decode +
per-cell SoundingParams + WeatherLayers derivation. The Elixir-side
`NotifyListener.handle_propagation_ready/1` materialization remains as
an idempotent safety net for hours that pre-date this commit.
2026-04-29 08:26:28 -05:00
a14f14485e
perf(weather): serve /weather from chunked scalar artifacts
Move the /weather render path off raw HRRR profile decoding + per-cell
SoundingParams + WeatherLayers derivation. The dominant cost was
re-deriving the same scalar fields on every viewport pan and timeline
scrub.

Server side:

- New Microwaveprop.Weather.ScalarFile persists pre-derived scalar
  rows on NFS, bucketed into 5°×5° chunk files under
  <base>/weather_scalars/<iso>/<lat_band>_<lon_band>.etf.gz. Viewport
  reads only decode the chunks that overlap the requested bounds;
  point-detail clicks read exactly one chunk.
- weather_grid_at/2 and weather_point_detail/3 prefer ScalarFile;
  ProfilesFile is now the cold-start fallback only.
- warm_grid_cache_and_broadcast/1 and warm_grid_cache_from_latest_profile/0
  also persist the scalar artifact, and the cold-derive path kicks
  off a per-valid_time-locked async materialization so the next
  reader gets the cheap path.
- NotifyListener.handle_propagation_ready/1 fires
  Weather.materialize_scalar_file/1 in a detached Task on the Rust
  pipeline's NOTIFY propagation_ready, so steady-state forecast hours
  arrive with their scalar artifact already on disk.
- available_weather_valid_times/0 unions ScalarFile + ProfilesFile so
  the timeline survives an aggressive retention sweep on either side.

Browser side (finding #8):

- Mount the legend Leaflet control once and patch its inner content
  on layer changes instead of remove + re-add on every renderLayer.
- renderTimeline now keys off the rendered button set: selection-only
  updates take an applyTimelineSelection patch path that restyles
  existing buttons in place. Full innerHTML rebuild only fires when
  timelineData itself changes.

Also fixes a credo nesting-depth flag in tile_renderer.ex by extracting
interpolate_pair/2 from the inner anonymous function.
2026-04-28 17:15:36 -05:00
332308b9c3
feat(skewt): fetch full 25-level profile and drop valid_time URL param
The grid-cached profile is trimmed to 13 levels (1000→700 mb) for
memory reasons, so the skew-T plot showed nothing above 700 mb.
HrrrClient.fetch_profile/4 now accepts a forecast_hour opt; SkewtLive
issues a per-point fetch against the same cycle the cached row came
from to get the full 1000→100 mb set, falling back to the cached
truncated cell on any failure.

Time selection no longer round-trips through the URL — `select_time`
updates state in-process and triggers a focused :load_skewt_time
async, so refreshing or sharing a /skewt?q=... link always lands on
the most recent analysis hour.
2026-04-25 15:19:34 -05:00
fb0c4f7c77
fix(skewt): only fall back to profiles with all 13 pressure levels
When the on-disk ProfilesFile is empty SkewtLive falls back to the
hrrr_profiles Postgres table, but per-QSO HrrrFetchWorker rows
sometimes land with a partial profile (4–12 levels) when individual
byte-range fetches fail. The fallback was happily picking those rows,
which rendered a stubby Skew-T missing the upper troposphere.

HrrrProfileLookup.{list_valid_times_near, read_point_near}/3 now
filter on `coalesce(cardinality(profile), 0) >= min_profile_levels`,
defaulting to 13 (HRRR's standard pressure-level set: 1000/925/850/
700/500/400/300/250/200/150/100 mb plus the two boundary surfaces).
Pass `min_profile_levels: 0` to keep the partial rows for diagnostic
queries.

Confirmed against the dev mirror: the recent table has ~3.1 M rows
at 13 levels and ~250 k at 4–12 levels; the new default skips the
partial slice cleanly.

Tests: 8/8 HrrrProfileLookupTest cases (added two new ones for the
threshold). mix credo --strict clean.
2026-04-25 14:19:56 -05:00
be1174914f
feat(skewt): NOAA SPC line colors + sounding-parameter parity
Two changes that bring /skewt visually and analytically into parity
with the NOAA SPC sounding viewer
(https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/):

NOAA-style line set
-------------------

Updated the SkewtSvg style block to match the public SPC chart:

  * Temperature trace ........ pure red (#ff0000) at 2.5 px stroke
  * Dewpoint trace ........... pure green (#00aa00) at 2.5 px stroke
  * Isotherms ................ dashed teal (#14b8a6)
  * Dry adiabats ............. solid orange (#f59e0b)
  * Moist (saturated) adiabats dashed sky-blue (#38bdf8)
  * Mixing-ratio lines ....... dotted darker green (#16a34a), with
                               labels at 700 mb showing the g/kg
                               value, drawn only below 600 mb (matches
                               the SPC chart's lower-band number row)
  * Parcel ascent ............ new dashed grey (#475569) line, drawn
                               whenever SkewtParams.derive returns a
                               non-empty parcel_trace

The mixing-ratio set is the SPC standard (0.4 / 0.7 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 5 /
8 / 12 / 16 / 20 g/kg) instead of the prior arbitrary set.

SkewtParams: SPC parcel-theory + indices module
-----------------------------------------------

New `Microwaveprop.Weather.SkewtParams` derives the parameter set that
ships in the SPC `*.txt` companion file:

  * LCL pressure / temperature / height (Bolton 1980 eq 22)
  * LFC pressure / height
  * EL pressure / height
  * SBCAPE, SBCIN (J/kg, virtual-temperature integration with
    surface parcel)
  * 3 km CAPE
  * Lifted Index (parcel ↔ environment T at 500 mb)
  * Freezing level (T = 0 °C height) and Wet-Bulb Zero
  * DCAPE (downdraft CAPE — picks the min-θₑ source level in
    400–700 mb, descends moist-adiabatically to surface)
  * Layer lapse rates: sfc–3 km, 700–500 mb, 850–500 mb
  * `parcel_trace` — pressure/temperature trajectory used by
    SkewtSvg to draw the dashed parcel-ascent overlay

Wind-derived indices (SRH, BWD, Bunkers motion, SCP, STP, SHIP) are
deliberately *not* produced and the LiveView surfaces a one-line note
explaining why: HRRR persists wind only at 10 m AGL, so per-pressure-
level shear can't be computed from this data source.

LiveView panel restructured into grouped sections (Surface, Convective
parcel, Levels, Lapse rates, Moisture/stability, Refractivity) so the
layout matches the SPC viewer's order. The Levels rows show pressure
*and* height ("872 mb · 1,140 m") for quick cross-reference between
the diagram axis and the readout.

Tests: 8/8 new SkewtParamsTest cases (LCL Bolton check, saturated-air
edge case, full field-set presence, summer profile produces SBCAPE > 0
and LI < 0, capped profile produces SBCAPE = 0 and LI > 0, freezing
level interpolated correctly, sfc–3 km lapse rate, empty profile no
crash). 25/25 across all skewt-related test files. mix test green
(2,902 / 2,902 + 221 properties), mix credo --strict clean, mix
assets.build clean.
2026-04-25 13:26:41 -05:00
a4cd7632eb
feat(skewt): hover crosshair + DB fallback for missing on-disk profiles
Two follow-ups to the earlier /skewt work:

1. Interactive crosshair (matches the SPC-viewer feel from the
   reference screenshot). Mousing over the diagram now drops a
   horizontal pressure cursor with a top-left readout box showing the
   pressure at the cursor's altitude (mb), the height in m and ft,
   and the linearly interpolated temperature and dewpoint at that
   level. Two coloured dots track the T and Td traces along the
   cursor so the user can read the spread visually.

   Mechanics: SkewtSvg.geometry/0 exposes the plot geometry (left,
   right, top, bottom, p_bottom, p_top, t_min, t_max, skew) as JSON;
   SkewtSvg emits an initially-hidden <g class="skewt-cursor"> layer.
   A new Skewt hook in assets/js/app.ts inverts pressure_y to recover
   pressure from the cursor's viewBox-Y, walks the (descending-pres-
   sorted) profile to interp T/Td/height, and updates the elements.
   The hook also handles mouseleave to hide the cursor and uses the
   SVG's screen-CTM so the math stays correct under any container
   aspect-ratio resize.

2. DB fallback for `available_valid_times`/`load_profile`. When the
   on-disk `ProfilesFile` has nothing for the location-and-window
   (true on dev, transient on prod between chain runs), SkewtLive
   now falls back to `HrrrProfileLookup.{list_valid_times_near,
   read_point_near}/3` against the `hrrr_profiles` Postgres table.
   The lookup uses the same ±0.07° spatial tolerance and the
   `(lat, lon, valid_time)` unique index that `Weather.find_nearest_
   hrrr/3` already relies on, so the queries are index-only.

   Returned shape matches `ProfilesFile.read_point/3` so SkewtLive
   reads from either source transparently. NaiveDateTime → UTC
   normalisation is centralised in `ensure_utc/1` so the LiveView
   sees `%DateTime{time_zone: "Etc/UTC"}` regardless of which side
   produced the value.

Tests: 6/6 new HrrrProfileLookupTest cases (list/limit/tolerance,
read nearest cell, nil for far cells, picks closest among matches),
3/3 SkewtLiveTest still green, 2,894 total Elixir tests + 221
properties green via mix test (one pre-existing flaky test in
admin/contact_edit_live re-runs clean). mix credo --strict clean.
mix assets.build clean.
2026-04-25 13:17:58 -05:00
6aa91e7656
fix: April 2026 codebase review — address 13 bugs across propagation chain
Each fix is covered by a regression test that fails on `main` and
passes on this commit.

Round 1 (initial review):

* propagation: thread `latitude` into the conditions map so
  `score_season/4` actually picks up regional multipliers
* hrrr_client / fetcher.rs: `nearest_hrrr_hour` rounds DOWN, never at
  a future cycle that NOAA hasn't published yet
* radio: spherical-vector great-circle midpoint replaces the
  arithmetic mean — anti-meridian paths no longer fold to Greenwich
* weather: `reconcile_weather_statuses` scales the longitude band by
  `1 / cos(lat)` so the bbox stays ~150 km wide at every latitude
* radio/maidenhead: clamp 90°/180° below the field-bucket overflow so
  `from_latlon` never emits invalid characters like 'S'
* prop_grid_rs/pipeline: merge HRRR + NEXRAD-derived rain rates and
  read `best_duct_freq_ghz` into `best_duct_band_ghz` so the Native
  Duct Boost actually fires
* propagation/region (Elixir + Rust): inclusive upper bounds so points
  exactly at lat_max get the regional multiplier
* weather/sounding_params (Elixir + Rust): drop the 10 m gradient
  floor so HRRR's thin near-surface layers stop hiding sharp ducts
* weather/sounding_params: when the profile ends inside a duct,
  finalize it with the highest sample as the top instead of throwing
  it away (Rust port already correct)

Round 2 (post-fix sweep):

* radio + commercial: single canonical haversine in Radio (atan2
  form); Commercial delegates instead of carrying a second copy that
  could disagree at threshold distances
* prop_grid_rs/profiles_file: `snap_coords` matches Elixir's
  step-aware snap (`round(coord/0.125) * 0.125`, then 3-dp round) so
  Rust-keyed and Elixir-keyed profile maps land on the same cell
* weather/grib2/wgrib2: `parse_lon_val_segment` uses `Float.parse`
  uniformly — wgrib2 dropping the trailing `.0` from a longitude no
  longer crashes the whole chain step
2026-04-25 10:52:51 -05:00
3b25add3f2
feat(prop): adaptive HRRR cycle selection — prefer fresh, fall back if late
PropagationGridWorker hard-coded `now-2h` for run_time selection on
the conservative theory that NOAA always finishes publishing within
two hours. In practice f18 is on the mirror by HH:55–HH:00 of the
next hour, so the cron at HH:05 was always picking a cycle that was
already an hour stale.

`HrrrClient.cycle_available?/1` HEADs the wrfprsf18 idx (the slowest
file in the cycle) — a 200 means every earlier forecast hour is also
on disk. `pick_run_time/1` probes `now-1h` first; if the probe
returns true we use that cycle, otherwise we fall back to the
existing `now-2h` slot. Test hook via :hrrr_cycle_available_fn env
keeps the behaviour fully exercisable without hitting NOAA.

End-to-end: weather/score data lag drops from ~2 h to ~1 h on every
hour where NOAA delivers on time. The fallback path keeps the chain
running on slow-publish hours.
2026-04-24 19:44:07 -05:00
3ac6963c74
feat(weather): add 700 mb T/Td and mid-layer lapse rate for cap diagnostics
850 mb T alone shows that warm air is present aloft but doesn't reveal
whether it's the textbook cap structure — a warm 700 mb above an EML
plume. The three new layers expose the canonical capping diagnostics
visually:

  * T @ 700 mb — ≥10 °C is the southern Plains "moderate cap" threshold
  * Td @ 700 mb — wide T-Td depression at 700 mb signals the EML plume
  * Lapse 850→700 — steep mid-layer lapse rate (≥7 °C/km) over a moist
    boundary layer is the cap mechanism itself

All three derive purely from the existing pressure-level profile (Rust
already fetches up through 700 mb), so no Rust pipeline changes needed.
2026-04-24 19:27:23 -05:00
95c9ac3dcd
perf(weather): adaptive IemRateLimiter + rebatch mix task
- IemRateLimiter gains AIMD-style adaptive spacing. signal_429/0
  widens the current gap (*= 1.5, capped at max_interval_ms default
  10s); signal_success/0 narrows it back toward the configured base
  (*= 0.92, floored at interval_ms). Self-tunes to IEM's moving
  ceiling without needing the manual "safe for 4 pods" constant.

- IemClient now routes every response through a central handle_response
  helper that fires the widen/narrow feedback signals, eliminating the
  four near-identical case blocks.

- Mix.Tasks.Weather.RebatchAsos collapses any already-queued single-
  station "asos" jobs into the batched "asos_batch" shape the
  enqueuer now emits, so the pending backfill queue converts to the
  new per-request-efficient path instead of draining at the old rate.
  Idempotent; supports --dry-run.

2833 tests + credo green.
2026-04-24 12:57:25 -05:00
c073c6a95a
perf(weather): batch ASOS fetches into one multi-station request
IEM's ASOS CSV endpoint accepts multiple station= params in a single
request. Prior code enqueued one WeatherFetchWorker job per nearby
station per QSO endpoint — N jobs × 1 station each — which paid the
IemRateLimiter's 1500ms gap and the IEM 429-retry tail N times per
contact.

Changes:
- IemClient.asos_url/3 accepts a list of station codes.
- IemClient.fetch_asos_batch/3 fetches N stations in one call and
  returns rows grouped by station_code (with absent codes filled as
  empty lists so callers can stub them).
- parse_asos_csv/1 now exposes the station_code column it was
  previously discarding.
- WeatherFetchWorker gains an "asos_batch" fetch_type clause that
  unpacks rows per (station_id, station_code), upserting or stubbing
  each. The single-station "asos" clause stays for already-queued
  retryable jobs.
- ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker.build_asos_jobs/3 now emits one batch
  job per (lat, lon, 4h window) covering every uncovered nearby
  station (sorted for deterministic unique-args).

Expected effect on backfill: ~10-20x fewer IEM requests per contact
enrichment cycle, matching drop in 429 retry traffic.
2026-04-24 12:44:22 -05:00
dc8353a9e9
test: coverage round 4 (84.39% → 84.44%) + 6 new property tests
30 unit tests + 6 property tests across two parallel agents.

- ContactLive.Show + HrrrNativeClient + NexradClient: sort_observations
  + sort_soundings actual ordering per field, closest_observations
  capped-at-5 proximity, nil-pos2 half_dist=0 path, HrrrNativeClient
  scrambled-level density + surface finiteness, NexradClient cache
  population + zero-byte + year-boundary URL rounding. Properties:
  sort_observations preservation, haversine symmetry, build_native
  surface_temp_k finiteness.

- PathLive + Viewshed + GefsFetchWorker + SnmpClient: GPS source
  URL preservation, QRZ 404 surfacing, propagation_updated same-midpoint
  no-op; Viewshed effective_reach_km BLOCKED boundaries + find_reach_km
  zero max_range; GefsFetchWorker 502/400/410 + wind_u/wind_v aliases
  + nil profile; SnmpClient fully-qualified OID + double-dot drop +
  empty poll + unknown radio type. Properties: destination_point
  round-trip < 0.5 km, valid_time = run_time + fh*3600 invariant,
  parse_snmpget_output totality.
2026-04-24 10:32:05 -05:00
c514626a62
test: coverage round 3 (83.96% → 84.39%) + 10 new property tests
64 unit tests + 10 property tests across three parallel agents.

- ContactLive.Show round 3 (72% → ~80%): enrichment failure
  surfaces (terrain/iemre/weather :failed, hrrr :unavailable NARR
  fallback), radar-only mechanism, load_solar + enqueue_missing_solar
  paths, blocked_message nil obs_dist, band_summary for 144M/1296M/
  2304M/47G/75G, admin edit no-op, mode changes, fetch_queue_counts
  with seeded Oban jobs. Properties: propagation_mechanism summary is
  always a binary, obs_sort_key totality over arbitrary field keys.

- Weather clients: iem_client transport timeouts + CSV edge cases,
  rtma_client idx url property, swpc_client HTTP 503/404 + empty-
  array parses + JSON/CSV totality properties, ncei_metar_client
  parse edge cases, snmp_client OID-roundtrip property + parse
  edge cases.

- Mid-coverage LiveViews: UserProfileLive avatar/render branches,
  EmeLive invalid-grid/unknown-callsign + form-validation property,
  PathLive zero-distance + 3000km + height/power round-trip property,
  BeaconLive numeric bearing + non-admin approve denied, MapLive
  select_band/toggle_radar/toggle_grid events + band-URL property.

Fix: propagation_mechanism property test uses System.unique_integer
for lat + valid_time nonces instead of StreamData-shrinkable jitter;
the shrink toward 0 was tripping the hrrr_profiles unique index.

205 → 215 properties, 2743 → 2812 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
bbf51544e1
test: coverage round 2 (82.05% → 83.96%) + 23 new property tests
77 unit tests + 23 property tests across four parallel agents.

- ContactLive.Show (72.01% → ~75%): every factor-note branch
  (humidity/time/td/refractivity/pressure/season/pwat), all
  propagation_mechanism classifications, apply_admin_edit/owner_edit/
  submit_user_edit error paths, internal_network? IP shapes, expanded
  sounding skew-T, composite-score [0,100] property.

- PathLive + BeaconLive.Show + Weather: coordinate-pair resolver,
  invalid grid, empty-DB edge cases for iemre_for_*, narr_for_*,
  nearest_native_duct_*, find_nearest_rtma, recent_surface_obs;
  properties for round_to_hrrr_grid/round_to_iemre_grid/band
  round-trip/beacon-id URL round-trip.

- Viewshed + Duct + SoundingParams: find_reach_km edge cases,
  destination_point, effective_reach_km fractions, detect_ducts
  trailing-duct + guard branches; 13 properties including flat-
  terrain-fully-visible, thicker-duct-lower-freq, M-profile
  monotonicity, feature-vector deterministic length.

- Workers + Mix tasks: GefsFetchWorker 500/429/403 + malformed
  ISO8601, HrrrNativeGridWorker snap-to-3-decimals + empty DB,
  IonosphereFetchWorker 404 + non-tabular body, RadarBackfill
  --dry-run + --year + --limit, NexradBackfill --limit 0, Backtest
  --feature + --all; year-filter property covering 2015..2026.

170 → 205 properties, 2666 → 2743 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
e11ebc9af8
test: coverage round 1 (80.45% → 82.05%) + 12 new property tests
Adds 67 test cases + 12 property tests across four surfaces — parallel
agents targeted the lowest-coverage files in the tree.

- ContactLive.Show (48.56% → 72.01%): 16 unit tests + 2 properties
  covering IEMRE/radar/ducting/propagation-analysis render branches,
  every terrain-verdict class, expanded HRRR/terrain sections, pending-
  edit banner, internal-network conn, and total-over-fields properties
  for obs + sounding sort handlers.

- HrrrNativeClient (33% → 58%): 8 unit tests + 4 properties covering
  partial-surface fallback, empty input, optional-var nils, bogus
  binary dispatch, and level-count + monotonic-height + URL-encoding
  + duct-subset invariants.

- NexradClient / HrrrClient / GefsClient: 13 unit tests + 4 properties
  covering 500/404/timeout paths, malformed idx bodies, parse_idx
  totality, byte-range invariants, and URL-builder round-trips.

- HrrrBackfill / HrrrNativeDeriveFields / ImportContestLogs: 7 unit
  tests + 1 property. Seeds contacts + native profiles, stubs HRRR
  with Req.Test, exercises the `--limit 0` and `filter_points_needing_
  backfill` paths, CSV import happy + malformed paths, and a
  band-string round-trip property.

2599 → 2666 tests, 170 → 182 properties, 0 failures.
2026-04-24 10:15:37 -05:00
5564b6703d
test: push line coverage from 78.67% → 80.45%
Adds 30 more test cases (2594 → 2624 tests) targeting the last
low-coverage hot spots.

Notable additions:
- ContactLive.Show fully-hydrated render path (seeds HrrrProfile,
  TerrainProfile, ContactCommonVolumeRadar, Sounding, SurfaceObservation,
  IemreObservation) exercises refresh_computed, build_propagation_analysis,
  build_data_sources, compute_elevation_profile, and the downstream
  render branches they unlock.
- handle_info :terrain_ready and :sounding_fetched paths for same-contact
  and unrelated-contact dispatch.
- Flagged-invalid badge + line-through header style.
- Owner-label button path (Edit vs Suggest Edit).
- NotifyListener init/1 subscribes on schedule; handle_info(:subscribe)
  succeeds against the live Repo.
- RecalibrateScorer runs cleanly against an empty corpus via the
  Recalibrator insufficient-data fallback.
- HrrrNativeClient.extract_native_profiles/2 tolerates malformed input
  without crashing.
2026-04-24 08:27:18 -05:00
a7250c39e7
test: pin GRIB2 Section parsing to its full contract
- identify_var: full round-trip across every known (discipline,
  category, number) triple, plus a property that any triple outside
  the 12-entry lookup falls back to the "cat:num" default.
- identify_level: hybrid-level and entire-atmosphere branches, plus
  two properties — pressure levels always render as
  `div(value_pa, 100) <> " mb"` and unknown surface types always
  render as `unknown:<type>:<value>` (generator samples only from
  types outside the 6-entry lookup set).
- sign_magnitude_16: round-trip property over [-32_767, 32_767] (±0
  both decode to 0 as intended) and a monotonicity property inside
  a single sign band.

Suite: 2,419 tests + 164 properties (was 2,416 + 159); credo strict
clean.
2026-04-23 15:56:38 -05:00
56e6a3513c
test: cover METAR field extractors and Scorer.path_integrated_conditions
- NceiMetarClient: wind-group parsing (VVVKKKT), missing-wind-group
  fallback to nil, multi-layer sky condition concat, missing-sky token
  returns nil, missing altimeter returns nil, T-group-less fallback to
  the coarse "TT/DD" field.
- Scorer.path_integrated_conditions/2: averages surface temp/dew,
  takes MIN of pressure + refractivity gradient, takes AVG of HPBL +
  PWAT, threads contact time+longitude, and propagates -97.0 longitude
  when pos1 lacks a lon key. Returns nil when every profile is missing
  surface temp OR dewpoint; returns nil on empty-list input;
  tolerates nil pressure / gradient / HPBL / PWAT when temp + dew
  are present.

Suite: 2,409 tests + 159 properties (was 2,397 + 159); credo strict
clean.
2026-04-23 14:13:42 -05:00
41573d4013
test: cover Format.number/bytes, Instrument.span, SolarClient edges
- Format.number/1: boundary cases (0, 999, 1_000), float rounding,
  nil/atom fallback to to_string, plus two properties — comma
  insertion is lossless round-trip and the comma count follows
  `div(digits - 1, 3)` for |n| ≥ 1000.
- Format.bytes/1: per-unit boundary cases plus a monotonicity
  property (parse-back preserves ordering across the B/KB/MB/GB
  transitions).
- Instrument.span/2,3 (0→100%): wraps the block in a telemetry span
  returning its value, defaults metadata to %{}, emits the
  :exception event and re-raises on a raise inside the span, and
  prefixes every event suffix with :microwaveprop.
- SolarClient: short-line / empty-line / blank-day handling for
  parse_gfz_row; blank-line + short-line tolerance in parse_gfz_file;
  filter_since boundary semantics (>= is inclusive, empty list
  passes through).

Suite: 2,397 tests + 159 properties (was 2,382 + 155); coverage
71.12% → 71.16%; Format + Instrument now at 100%; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 14:09:13 -05:00
0a9058bfa0
test: broaden coverage across parsers, schemas, and pure helpers
- SwpcClient: unparseable time_tag rows drop silently, integer / string
  numerics both cast, already-decoded list bodies (Req auto-decode) are
  accepted, non-JSON-array bodies return {:error, :not_a_list}, X-ray
  rows whose energy isn't the long wavelength are filtered, and the
  misspelled-upstream electron_contaminaton key flags
  electron_contaminated.
- UwyoSoundingClient: every month abbreviation routes to its correct
  number, bogus month tokens fall through to an empty result, and
  short-of-fixed-width lines are skipped without raising.
- Grid.wgrib2_grid_spec/0: lon/lat_start anchor to the SW corner,
  steps match Grid.step/0, cell counts span CONUS inclusive, and the
  spec's cell product equals length(Grid.conus_points/0).
- PollWorker: empty-link list is a no-op, and poll_fn receives host /
  community / radio_type straight from the link row.
- Contact submission_changeset: antenna heights are bounded to
  [0, 1000] ft, whitespace-only mode normalises without firing an
  invalid-mode error, plus a pair of StreamData properties — every
  sanctioned band validates and every out-of-list band string is
  rejected.

Suite: 2,380 tests + 148 properties (was 2,370 + 146); coverage
70.38% → 71.08% total; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 13:56:29 -05:00
764643bc62
test: expand coverage and refactor to idiomatic style
Changes under lib/ (source):
- iemre_fetch_worker: replace `if transient_failure?/1` boolean predicate
  + `if/else` with a classifier that pattern-matches the error reason
  directly, returning `:transient | :permanent`, and dispatch via
  `case`. Three-clause head is clearer than the boolean predicate.
- scores_file.extract_points and nexrad_client.extract_box: force `//1`
  step on the row/col comprehensions so an image box whose centre
  lands outside the raster collapses to an empty iteration instead
  of firing Elixir 1.19's ambiguous-range warning. Adds a regression
  test for the right-edge box.

Test coverage added:
- Feature wrappers in Backtest.Features (theta_e_jump, shear_at_top,
  duct_thickness, best_duct_freq, duct_usable_for_band,
  distance_to_front / parallel_to_front stubs, all_features/0).
- NotifyListener handle_info tolerance for malformed payloads +
  unknown messages, plus the PubSub broadcast side effect.
- Viewshed.effective_reach_km across every verdict / diffraction
  tier / ducting-score tier combination.
- SnmpClient parse_af60_output unit conversions + unknown-column
  handling; parse_snmpget_output OID normalisation and junk-line
  tolerance.
- HrrrNativeClient native_level_count, native_variables,
  native_messages shape, duct_messages / duct_byte_ranges.
- Changeset coverage for GeomagneticObservation, SolarFluxObservation,
  SolarXrayObservation, Ionosphere.Observation, HrrrClimatology, and
  Metar5minObservation — lifted each from ~50% / 0% to 100%.
- Property tests: GefsClient.dewpoint_from_rh invariants (Td ≤ T,
  monotonic in RH, finite across the operating envelope) + idempotent
  nearest_run. NexradClient.pixel_to_dbz monotonicity + bounded
  output; latlon_to_pixel round-trip for every grid cell.

Also cleared several unrelated compiler/linter warnings:
- Three private test helpers (create_contact, insert_contact,
  current_hour) had `\\ %{}` / `\\ 0` defaults that no caller used.
- profiles_file_test bound `dir` in a pattern match without using it.

Suite: 2,359 tests + 146 properties pass (was 2,300 / 139); coverage
70.38% → 70.89%; credo strict clean.
2026-04-23 13:28:42 -05:00
cfb0c51d2f
test: add property coverage for grid snaps, backoff, notes
Pure-function invariants that example tests can't express at scale:

- Weather.round_to_iemre_grid/2, HrrrClient.nearest_hrrr_hour/1,
  NexradClient.round_to_5min/1, NarrClient.snap_to_analysis_hour/1:
  each is idempotent, its output satisfies a grid/slot-membership
  predicate, and lies within a bounded distance of the input.
- NarrClient.in_coverage?/1: coverage_end is an exclusive upper
  bound; any timestamp after it is out of coverage.
- IemreFetchWorker.backoff/1: result is in [120, 21_600], monotonic
  non-decreasing in attempt, equals 120*2^(attempt-1) pre-cap.
- Contact submission_changeset notes field: every non-blank string
  up to 2000 chars validates; any longer string is rejected.

22 new properties (139 → 161 including existing); all 2,300 tests
green, credo clean.
2026-04-23 13:05:06 -05:00
bfddb898bf
fix(backfill): stop clobbering :complete enrichment statuses
Three bugs were letting mechanism/terrain/radar contacts ping-pong
between :complete and :queued on every backfill cron:

1. enqueue_for_contact/2 now filters out types that are already
   :complete on the contact before building jobs. Previously
   mark_status!/3 demoted every non-empty jobs_by_type entry back to
   :queued, overwriting the :complete that workers had just set.
2. reconcile_stale_queued/1 now also flips mechanism_status and
   radar_status back to :complete when the companion data
   (propagation_mechanism / contact_common_volume_radar) already
   exists. Drains the existing ~14k row backlog on the first post-
   deploy tick.
3. IemClient.parse_iemre_json/1 accepts "" and nil so a 200-with-
   empty-body IEMRE response doesn't FunctionClauseError the worker
   through four retry attempts.
2026-04-22 13:54:05 -05:00
c60d56281f
test(property): add property tests for propagation scoring + CIDR matcher 2026-04-21 13:57:12 -05:00
71e8f53142
fix: stabilize flaky tests + silence PromEx Oban poller in test
- HrrrClient idx-cache test only invalidated the surface idx URL, but
  fetch_profile also fetches a pressure idx. Previous runs' state for
  the pressure key decided whether the counter landed at 1 (prior run
  cached it, pass) or 2 (cold, fail). Invalidate both + assert 2 total
  fetches to reflect the actual code path.
- CsvImportTest deadlocked against other async DataCase tests when
  inline Oban child jobs upserted iemre_observations/terrain_profiles
  with a shared conflict target. Flip to async: false — same fix as
  ContactWeatherEnqueueWorkerTest earlier this session.
- PromEx.Plugins.Oban runs a 5s telemetry_poller that queries the DB,
  but its poller PID has no sandbox connection in test and crashed
  with DBConnection.OwnershipError on every tick, spamming the log.
  Gate the plugin on a config flag and skip it in config/test.exs;
  prod behaviour unchanged.
2026-04-21 13:49:07 -05:00
b7261e772c
feat(observability): emit telemetry for NotifyListener warm + GridCache hit/miss
Band-warm failures in the Rust propagation_ready pipeline were only
surfaced via Logger.warning, so Prometheus had no way to see them.
The /weather GridCache hit/miss was likewise invisible while its
/map counterpart (ScoreCache) already reported cache ratio.

- NotifyListener emits [:microwaveprop, :propagation, :notify_listener, :warm]
  with %{ok, err} measurements and %{valid_time} metadata after every
  propagation_ready notification. Public handle_propagation_ready/1 so
  tests can exercise the warm+telemetry path without Postgrex.
- GridCache.fetch/1, fetch_bounds/2, and fetch_point/3 emit
  [:microwaveprop, :weather, :grid_cache, :lookup] with a :hit | :miss
  metadata key on every ETS lookup.
2026-04-21 13:30:26 -05:00
7b78a2574c
fix(workers): 3 bug/perf fixes from codebase review
1. GridCache: auto-release fill lock when the claimer process crashes.
   claim_fill/1 + release_fill/1 go through the GenServer so the
   server can Process.monitor the caller and clean up the ETS entry
   on :DOWN. Clear/0 now resets both the data table and the lock
   table. Fixes a latent bug where a crashed fill leaked the lock
   indefinitely, preventing every subsequent /weather mount for that
   valid_time from claiming and leaving cache cold.

2. RadarFrameWorker: distinguish permanent vs transient fetch errors.
   404 from the IEM n0q archive is permanent (file will never exist)
   and marks contacts :unavailable as before. Any other error shape
   (5xx, timeout, transport failure) now returns {:error, reason}
   so Oban retries — previously those also pinned contacts at
   :unavailable after a transient outage.

3. AdminTaskWorker.native_derive: replace per-row Repo.update_all
   (N round-trips + N fsyncs) with one UPDATE ... FROM unnest(...)
   per 2000-row batch. For the 10k-profile budget this is one
   network round trip per chunk instead of 10k, and one fsync per
   chunk instead of 10k. Restructured the clause to separate
   derivation (pure) from persistence (I/O).

All three changes are test-covered (grid_cache_test auto-release
test, radar_frame_worker_test 5xx + transport tests, existing
admin_task_worker_test native_derive coverage exercises the new
bulk path). Also drops the scorer_diff no-op test that was
verifying the clause removed in 61da51c.
2026-04-21 09:53:13 -05:00
48708621c5
chore(mrms): delete pipeline — consumer AsosAdjustmentWorker already disabled
MrmsFetchWorker fired every 2 min on the :propagation queue, decoding an
MRMS PrecipRate GRIB2 into MrmsCache. Its only consumer,
AsosAdjustmentWorker, is disabled in all configs (dev / config / runtime).
Net effect: 30 GRIB2 decodes/hour of dead work on hot pods.

Removed:
- MrmsFetchWorker, MrmsClient, MrmsCache and their tests
- cron entries in config.exs, dev.exs, runtime.exs
- mrms_req_options stub in test.exs
- MrmsCache from supervision tree in application.ex
- stale MRMS references in PropagationGridWorker docstring and test

Also adds docs/plans/2026-04-19-rust-migration-phase3.md which tracks
the broader Stream A (f00 port) and Stream C (HrrrFetchWorker port)
follow-on work.
2026-04-19 17:25:59 -05:00
f1846c0a53
perf: reduce per-pod RSS and HRRR chain wall time
Telemetry showed the application-master process holding ~830 MiB of
terms from warm_grid_cache_from_latest_profile — the data lives in
the app master's heap and never GCs because the process is idle.
Running it in a Task.start lets the terms die with the task.

Mark GridCache, MrmsCache, NexradCache, and ScoreCache ETS tables
:compressed. The scored-band-map and HRRR grid data are map-heavy;
compression trims hundreds of MiB at a few percent CPU cost.

Memoise HRRR .idx responses in Microwaveprop.Cache. Published idx
files are immutable for a model run, but the hourly chain re-fetches
the same URL dozens of times across forecast hours. Cuts ~10s per
repeat out of hrrr_fetch_idx.

Force a garbage collect at the end of HrrrFetchWorker.perform to
reclaim the refc binary heap held from GRIB2 ranges before the Oban
producer hands the process its next job.
2026-04-19 14:56:48 -05:00
23e4e3fef2
perf(weather): token-bucket IEM limiter + parallel HRRR surface/pressure
Two independent wins the latest prod telemetry pointed at:

1. Iowa Environmental Mesonet rate limiter. IEM throttles per source
   IP across all in-flight requests, so dropping the `:weather` Oban
   queue to 1/pod wasn't enough — workers were still issuing back-to-
   back requests inside each job and drawing a steady stream of HTTP
   429s (1,396 retryable on the queue). A GenServer-based token bucket
   serialises acquire() with a 700ms min gap per pod; three pods give
   ~4 req/sec cluster-wide, well under the observed 429 threshold.
   Wrapped around every IemClient fetch.

2. Parallel HRRR surface + pressure grid fetch. The two products live
   in separate wrfsfcf / wrfprsf GRIB files, so their fetch → wgrib2
   → decode pipelines are independent; running them sequentially was
   adding ~30s per forecast hour for no reason. Task.async the pair,
   merge at the end. Halves per-fh wall time and should unblock some
   of the missing-hour cases we saw on the 14:00Z chain.
2026-04-19 12:57:30 -05:00
01b181b1e8
perf(propagation): shrink hourly chain wall time
Four changes sized by measured prod telemetry (83m of spans):

1. propagation queue: 2 → 1 slot per pod. Two concurrent forecast-hour
   steps per pod stacked HRRR grid + native duct grid + scored band
   map into ~5-6 GiB RSS, OOM-killing every ~15 min. 3-way parallelism
   cluster-wide still finishes the chain inside the hourly interval.

2. weather queue: 3 → 1 slot per pod. ASOS backfill was 429-thrashing
   IEM (1,296 retryable jobs; logs were nothing but 429 backoffs).

3. PropagationGridWorker: skip native-level duct fetch on f01..f18.
   At ~7-11 min/fh and 18 forecast hours, this was the largest single
   cost per chain. Forecast hours fall back to
   derived[:min_refractivity_gradient] from the pressure-level
   profile. f00 still gets full native-level duct analysis.

4. HrrrClient.download_grib_ranges_to_file: parallelize with
   Task.async_stream (max_concurrency 8). The file-backed variant was
   sequential, dominating native-duct fetch time on the remaining f00
   path. ~20s → ~3s per call.
2026-04-19 12:01:41 -05:00
5cfb9e6c8e
fix(propagation): chain survives permanent step failures
Telemetry showed ~66 PropagationGridWorker exceptions per 6h with
55 ArgumentErrors and 11 TimeoutErrors, producing ~13 discarded
chain steps. Each discard broke the chain: subsequent forecast
hours were never enqueued, leaving the score store with huge gaps
(e.g. at 14:11 UTC the earliest available forecast was 18:00,
because f00-f05 all failed somewhere upstream and nothing ran
after them).

Three changes:

1. PropagationGridWorker: on the final attempt, still enqueue
   fh+1 even when this step failed. Oban discards the current
   job normally — but the rest of the chain keeps running, so
   one bad hour doesn't take out the remaining 12-18. The
   rescue is factored into a tested public helper.

2. HrrrClient.parse_idx: skip malformed idx lines instead of
   raising. NOAA S3 occasionally serves an HTML error page as
   the idx body, and the old strict String.to_integer path
   raised ArgumentError on the first non-numeric line and took
   down the chain step. This is the root cause of the 55
   ArgumentErrors.

3. JS renderTimeline: when no forecast hour is at-or-before
   wall-clock (all times are future — the gap scenario the
   fixes above are designed to prevent), stop labeling the
   earliest future slot "Now". Lets the user see honest
   "+Nh" offsets instead of a lie on the pill.
2026-04-19 09:26:20 -05:00
bbf6481603
perf(nexrad): route fetch_decoded_frame through NexradCache
Telemetry puts nexrad_decode_png at 1.76 s/call × 37,847 calls/h
— ~18.5 h of CPU across the cluster every real hour, the single
biggest CPU consumer in the system. The map-click path
(fetch_rain_cells) already cached decoded frames by 5-min
bucket, but the per-contact CommonVolumeRadarWorker path
(fetch_decoded_frame) went straight to network + decode on every
call. Backfill means many contacts share a 5-min window, so the
same 66 MB frame was being decoded dozens of times.

Wire fetch_decoded_frame through NexradCache keyed on the
rounded timestamp. Add a 20-entry size cap in NexradCache so
backfill processing contacts in random timestamp order can't
grow the ETS table to hundreds of GB. Each frame is ~66 MB, so
20 = ~1.3 GB worst case, well under typical pod memory.

Expected impact: cuts sustained decode load by an order of
magnitude depending on backfill temporal locality; map-click
path is unchanged.
2026-04-19 09:05:55 -05:00
4d0c15e3b8
feat(gefs): score extended-horizon grid and seed cron
Wires the GEFS fetch pipeline into the existing scoring machinery:

- GefsFetchWorker runs Propagation.score_grid_point over every
  fetched grid cell and persists the result via replace_scores/2, so
  Day 2-7 valid_times show up on the map through the same
  Propagation.scores_at/3 path HRRR uses
- Empty-args perform/1 seeds the chain by enqueueing f024-f168 (25
  jobs at 6-hour cadence) for the most recent GEFS run that should
  be published given NOMADS' ~3-4h publication lag
- Cron: seeds at 05:30, 11:30, 17:30, 23:30 UTC — 5 hours after each
  00/06/12/18Z run
- GefsClient.build_profile now emits :wind_u / :wind_v atom keys to
  match the scorer's input shape; DB columns keep the *_mps suffix
  for unit clarity, remapped at write time

GEFS pgrb2a lacks HPBL, native-level duct data, NEXRAD, and
commercial-link degradation — the extended-horizon score is a
rougher signal than the HRRR-driven one but covers the window HRRR
can't reach.
2026-04-18 14:41:41 -05:00
0537a1831b
feat(gefs): ingest worker and grid-profile extraction
- GefsClient.build_profile/1: converts raw wgrib2 output into the
  scorer-shaped profile, deriving Td from RH via Magnus at both the
  surface and each pressure level
- GefsClient.fetch_grid_profiles/3: downloads the idx sidecar from
  NOMADS, byte-ranges only the surface messages, hands the slim
  GRIB2 binary to wgrib2 -lola for bilinear regridding from 0.5°
  onto the CONUS 0.125° grid
- GefsFetchWorker: one Oban job per (run_time, forecast_hour),
  upserts into gefs_profiles and runs SoundingParams.derive so the
  same refractivity/ducting metrics flow through

Oban gets a new :gefs queue (2 slots dev/config, 1 slot per prod
pod). Test env gets a gefs_req_options Req.Test stub slot so future
integration tests can drive the full fetch path. No cron wiring or
scorer integration yet — that's Step 3.
2026-04-18 14:36:03 -05:00
a5c7dce147
feat(gefs): scaffold extended-horizon forecast ingestion
Lays the groundwork for a Day 2-7 propagation outlook driven by NCEP
GEFS ensemble-mean output, picking up where HRRR's 18-hour horizon
leaves off.

- GefsClient: NOMADS URL builder, forecast-hour list (3h to +240,
  6h to +384), ensemble-mean message inventory, and a Magnus
  dewpoint derivation (pgrb2a publishes RH rather than Td)
- gefs_profiles table + GefsProfile schema mirroring hrrr_profiles
  so the scorer can run over rows from either source
- Weather.upsert_gefs_profile/1 and upsert_gefs_profiles_batch/1

No worker or UI yet — those land in follow-up commits.
2026-04-18 14:28:44 -05:00
8f0548b31e
fix(narr): handle cdo 2.5.1 mixed name/code output
parse_cdo_row/1 assumed cdo -outputtab,code,lev,value would always emit
numeric codes in the first column, but Debian's cdo 2.5.1 (the version
in the prod container) emits mixed output:

- 'codeNN' with a literal 'code' prefix for most GRIB1 parameters
- Short GRIB1 names for a few: 2tag2 (PRES sfc), saip (DPT 2m),
  tpag10 (HGT)

Result: every row fell through to :error, yielding a 'no parseable
values' error and 986 discarded NarrFetchWorker jobs.

Fix: normalize the code token by stripping 'code' prefix when present
and mapping known 2.5.1 short names. UGRD/VGRD intentionally omitted
(no discard evidence yet) — comment documents the add-when-they-surface
plan.

Also exposed parse_cdo_outputtab/1 as @doc false for testability.
2026-04-16 15:14:51 -05:00
221d5516bc
fix(wgrib2): account for 8-byte Fortran record overhead between messages
build_messages_per_message/3 was slicing the wgrib2 -lola bin output as
a packed float32 stream, ignoring the 4-byte record-length header + 4-byte
trailer that Fortran unformatted records prepend/append around each
message's data block. First value of message 0 came back as ~2.24e-44
(little-endian float32 of the int-16 record length), and every subsequent
message was shifted by 8 bytes so values spilled into neighbouring cells.

Fix: propagate the correct offset math already used by parse_lola_binary/3
(record_overhead = 8, stride = bytes_per_message + 8, data_offset =
msg_idx * stride + 4).

Flipped the characterization test from metadata-only to per-cell physical
asserts (200 K < TMP, DPT < 340 K; DPT <= TMP) and a 0.01 K cross-check
against extract_grid/3 output on the same fixture + bbox. Latent bug —
no production callers of extract_grid_messages*.
2026-04-16 14:58:55 -05:00
8c3c097009
test: cover weather/grib2/wgrib2
16 characterization tests against real wgrib2 binary + checked-in HRRR
fixtures: extract_grid/3 (bbox + physical sanity on TMP/DPT + longitude
convention), extract_grid_from_file/3, extract_grid_from_file_mapped/4
reducer plumbing, extract_grid_messages/3 metadata, extract_points_from_file/3
nearest-neighbor snap, undefined-value sentinel filtering, empty-match and
error shapes. Tagged @describetag :slow so they run on 'mix test --include
slow' (project default excludes slow, matches existing HRRR/NARR tests).

Surfaces one real bug (not fixed): extract_grid_messages variants don't
account for the 8-byte Fortran record overhead between messages in wgrib2
-lola output, so per-message values after the first are shifted. The
correct offset math exists in parse_lola_binary/3. Tests characterize
current behavior (metadata-only); worth a follow-up fix + value-range
assertions.
2026-04-16 14:58:55 -05:00
ea0cbf5205
test: cover mrms_cache + mrms_fetch_worker, add Req.Test seam
Same fix as rtma_client: MrmsClient had a hardcoded req_options/0 —
switched to a Keyword.merge with Application.get_env so tests can stub
HTTP. 13 new characterization tests: cache put/get/clear/broadcast and
worker listing/download/up-to-date paths. Full GRIB2 parse happy path
deferred to the wgrib2 coverage task.
2026-04-16 14:58:54 -05:00
cb82160447
test: cover rtma_client + rtma_fetch_worker, add Req.Test seam
RtmaClient was the only weather client without a Req.Test plug seam —
added the standard req_options() helper matching NarrClient/HrrrClient/
etc. so its HTTP calls can be stubbed in test.

17 characterization tests: URL construction, idx fetch 404/503, hour
truncation, malformed idx, range-GET error propagation, worker's
existing-row short-circuit, client-error propagation. GRIB2 byte
parsing paths deferred to the wgrib2 coverage task.
2026-04-16 14:58:54 -05:00
55d4f289c2
NarrClient.in_coverage?/1 + callsite guards (1979 → 2014-10-02)
Post-2014 contacts with hrrr_status=:unavailable were being dispatched to
NARR, which 404s because NCEI's archive ends 2014-10-02. 14K of the 14.3K
candidates in prod are post-2014 — these are HRRR's responsibility.

- NarrClient.in_coverage?/1 returns true only inside 1979-01-01 → 2014-10-02
- narr_jobs_for_contact and maybe_enqueue_narr (contact_live) bail out of
  coverage returning []
- BackfillEnqueueWorker.type_filter scopes :narr to qso_timestamp <
  coverage_end so the cron doesn't keep picking post-2014 candidates
2026-04-16 09:31:19 -05:00
3604896726
Rename ERA5 → NARR across the codebase
- Schema: Era5Profile → NarrProfile; table renamed via migration
  rename_era5_profiles_to_narr_profiles (ALTER TABLE + rename indexes,
  atomic and instant, no row rewrite)
- Weather helpers: find_nearest_era5/era5_for_contact/era5_profiles_for_path
  → find_nearest_narr/narr_for_contact/narr_profiles_for_path
- BackfillEnqueueWorker: :era5 → :narr type (virtual, no narr_status column);
  reconcile_stale_queued_to_unavailable and status_priority_order now skip
  virtual types via @virtual_types. Fixes the prod crash where the cron tried
  to update a non-existent era5_status column.
- ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker: build_era5_jobs → build_narr_jobs,
  era5_jobs_for_contact → narr_jobs_for_contact
- ContactLive: @era5 → @narr, maybe_enqueue_era5 → maybe_enqueue_narr;
  UI label "ERA5 (0.25°)" → "NARR (32 km)"
- Cron (runtime.exs): args types list now "narr" instead of "era5"
- /status: progress row, status-by-type card, totals.narr_profiles, and
  table-count lookup all target narr_profiles
- Drop obsolete Era5CdsJob schema + era5_cds_jobs table (inspection
  artifact from the retired CDS pipeline; 34 orphan rows in prod)
- Misc docstring/comment cleanups (skew_t, about, wgrib2, propagation_train)

Includes a regression test for the virtual-type crash.
2026-04-16 09:22:23 -05:00
1f2a729d40
Drop dead Era5*/CDS code paths
After the NARR backfill landed, nothing reachable from the app calls
any of these modules. Net removal: ~2700 lines.

Deleted:
- Microwaveprop.Workers.{Era5Fetch,Era5Submit,Era5Poll,Era5MonthBatch}Worker
- Microwaveprop.Weather.{Era5BatchClient,Era5Client}
- Mix.Tasks.Era5Backfill (superseded by BackfillEnqueueWorker cron)
- Matching test files (~1100 LOC of test)
- era5/era5_submit/era5_poll/era5_batch queue blocks from runtime.exs
- era5_req_options Req.Test stub config from test.exs

Kept (actively used or intentionally preserved):
- Era5Profile schema (the era5_profiles table is the NARR target)
- Era5CdsJob schema + its test (inspection handle on the era5_cds_jobs
  table, which retains rows from the failed CDS runs)
- :era5 type key in ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker / BackfillEnqueueWorker
  (the symbol still means "historical backfill", just routed to NARR now)

Swapped the one remaining live Era5FetchWorker call site in
contact_live/show.ex's maybe_enqueue_era5 path to NarrFetchWorker
(with NarrClient.snap_to_analysis_hour for the 3-hourly slot).

Test suite: 1513 tests, 0 failures (-50 from the deleted era5 test
files). No compile warnings. Credo clean.
2026-04-16 08:26:29 -05:00
e5528d0135
NarrClient.extract_profile_from_file/3 + fetch_profile_at/2
extract_profile_from_file shells out to cdo:

    cdo -outputtab,name,lev,value -remapnn,lon=X_lat=Y <merged.grb>

parses the text output (varNNN ↔ NCEP GRIB1 param number lookup),
maps surface records to era5_profiles fields, builds the pressure
profile from each (TMP, HGT, SPFH) triple, and merges in the derived
fields from SoundingParams.derive/1. Returns the same attrs shape as
Era5BatchClient.build_profile_attrs/5 so the existing
bulk_insert_profiles path can ingest NARR rows unchanged.

fetch_profile_at picks records from a fetched inventory, byte-range
fetches each one into a per-record temp file, runs cdo -merge to build
a composite, calls extract_profile_from_file, and cleans up via
try/after.

Drive-by fix: ThetaE.dewpoint_from_spfh/2 returns Kelvin (its existing
test asserts that explicitly). Era5BatchClient was passing that
Kelvin value straight into "dwpc" (Celsius), which would then crash
SoundingParams.compute_refractivity_profile when it called Buck's
saturation-vapor-pressure equation with t=294 instead of t=21. The
bug never surfaced because era5_profiles is empty in production —
no ERA5 backfill has ever succeeded. Fixed in both era5_batch_client
and the new narr_client by subtracting 273.15 in the wrapper. Both
wrappers now have a comment pointing at the K→C conversion.

Test fixture test/fixtures/narr/narr_dfw_2010-06-15_12z.grb is the
spike-captured composite (1.1 MB — Lambert conformal projection
isn't sellonlatbox-subsettable so we can't shrink it further).
2026-04-15 18:54:02 -05:00