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6 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
ed67efb256
Add MRMS rain mosaic, fix beacons crash, fix UTC clock flash
MRMS
----
Layer the NOAA MRMS PrecipRate product onto the score grid so rain fade
updates every 2 minutes instead of every hour alongside HRRR. New modules:

- Microwaveprop.Weather.MrmsClient: fetches the latest .grib2.gz off the
  NCEP mirror (Req auto-decompresses so no gunzip step), writes the raw
  GRIB2 to a temp file, and calls the existing wgrib2 wrapper with the
  0.125 propagation grid spec to get interpolated cells. Returns a
  %{{lat, lon} => mm_per_hour} map with missing-value sentinels dropped.

- Microwaveprop.Weather.MrmsCache: ETS-backed GenServer mirroring
  ScoreCache/GridCache. Caches a single "current" entry keyed by
  valid_time with PubSub broadcast so peer nodes stay in sync and only
  the Oban leader pays the fetch + regrid cost.

- Microwaveprop.Workers.MrmsFetchWorker: cron every 2 minutes, short-
  circuits when the cached valid_time already matches the newest file.

Microwaveprop.Propagation.AsosNudge.compute/4 now takes an optional
rain_grid. When a cell has MRMS rain >= 0.1 mm/hr it gets patched onto
the HRRR profile's `precip_mm` field (the scorer already reads it there)
and the cell is re-scored even with no ASOS station nearby. Cells with
MRMS rain below the threshold aren't touched so dry cells keep their
raw HRRR scores (which have the wind/sky/native-gradient signal that
isn't persisted on HrrrProfile rows and would otherwise be lost).

AsosAdjustmentWorker pulls MrmsCache on every tick and passes the grid
through to AsosNudge.compute/4. Also skips the IemClient error branch
that can never happen and handles the ASOS-empty + MRMS-empty case
explicitly. MrmsCache wired into the supervision tree; MrmsFetchWorker
cron entry added to config.exs and dev.exs.

Four new AsosNudge cases cover MRMS-only re-scoring, threshold gating,
and the wet/dry score delta.

Beacons 500
-----------
Beacon.format_freq/1 and format_mw/1 crashed on whole-number floats
(e.g. 24192.0) because `frac == 0.0` could become false under float
rounding while `trim_trailing_zeros/1` stripped the decimal point,
leaving a 1-element list that couldn't be destructured as [_, frac].
Shared format_number/1 helper handles integer input directly and
pattern-matches both the "int-only" and "int + frac" shapes.

Added stream_data property tests covering the whole microwave range for
both integers and floats to catch this class of bug before prod.

UTC clock flash
---------------
The /weather and /map UTC clocks were empty until the JS hook mounted
post-WebSocket, producing a several-second blank spot on initial load
and a clobber risk on sidebar re-renders. Mount now computes a
server-rendered `initial_utc_clock` string and the template seeds the
element with that plus `phx-update="ignore"` so LiveView morphdom won't
overwrite what the hook writes.
2026-04-12 14:49:20 -05:00
c318c3a932
Nudge HRRR scores with live ASOS obs between runs
Adds Microwaveprop.Propagation.AsosNudge: a pure IDW bias-field module
that takes ASOS observations + HRRR profiles and returns re-scored grid
rows for every cell within 250km of a reporting station. Upper-air
fields (min_refractivity_gradient, pwat_mm, hpbl_m, profile, duct
metadata) pass through unchanged so HRRR's signal isn't clobbered.

The old AsosAdjustmentWorker was unwired and buggy — nil'd out ~22% of
the scoring weight and wrote orphan timestamps. Replaced with a slim
worker that queries the latest HRRR valid_time, fetches live ASOS
currents, calls AsosNudge.compute/3, and upserts onto
(lat, lon, valid_time, band_mhz) so nudged values overwrite the HRRR
hour cleanly instead of polluting available_valid_times. After each
upsert it warms ScoreCache and broadcasts propagation:updated so live
/map clients refresh.

Cron hooked up every 10 minutes in config.exs and dev.exs. Also cleaned
up the stale "dev has propagation disabled" note in CLAUDE.md.

13 new AsosNudge unit tests cover: residual computation (co-located,
out-of-grid, nil fields), IDW weighting (single station, far station,
two equidistant stations, nil component handling), upper-air
preservation, and the compute/3 entry point's shape and radius filter.

Drive-by Styler formatting touched a handful of unrelated files from
`mix format`.
2026-04-12 14:27:27 -05:00
9abbb83469 Fix credo warnings: struct specs, length/1, and test patterns
- Replace %Struct{} with Struct.t() in all @spec annotations
- Replace length(x) > 0 with x != [] in test assertions
- Fix multi-line spec struct references in weather.ex
2026-04-12 10:26:53 -05:00
16883591b4
Database performance fixes and async backfill enqueue
- Fix score_pressure crash on nil pressure_mb (coastal HRRR points)
- Set 10-min timeout on grid score upsert transaction (was :infinity)
- Single DELETE for prune_old_scores instead of N queries in a loop
- Remove dead load_hrrr_refractivity that loaded 95k rows into nil map
- Pass selected_time to point_detail to skip latest_valid_time sub-query
- Batch station existence checks (1 query per path point, not per station)
- Batch solar index upserts via insert_all in chunks of 500
- Batch backfill_distances via single UPDATE FROM VALUES statement
- Add is_grid_point boolean + partial index to hrrr_profiles (replaces
  non-sargable modular arithmetic filter on every weather map query)
- Add partial index on contacts(qso_timestamp) WHERE pos1 IS NOT NULL
- Move backfill enqueue to Oban worker so UI returns immediately
2026-04-04 19:19:18 -05:00
c12f8cf5ed
Use local solar time for time-of-day scoring, add PWAT factor and pressure refinements
Score time-of-day per grid point using longitude/15 solar offset instead of
hardcoded CST/CDT. Add PWAT as 10th scoring factor. Refine pressure thresholds.
Update ML model and training pipeline to use local solar time.
2026-04-01 08:58:21 -05:00
e0d9900608
Add real-time ASOS adjustments between hourly HRRR updates
New AsosAdjustmentWorker runs every 10 minutes:
- Fetches latest ASOS observations from all ~2900 US stations via
  IEM bulk currents API (parallel fetch across 51 state networks)
- For each grid point within 75km of a reporting station, re-scores
  using fresh ASOS data (temp, dewpoint, wind, sky, pressure, precip)
  with HRRR refractivity gradient from the last hourly computation
- Pushes updated scores to the map via PubSub

Also stores HRRR profiles in the database during grid computation
so the data persists for reference and ASOS blending.
2026-03-31 09:10:12 -05:00