Commit graph

37 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
2405c5f169
Stop PropagationGridWorker crash-looping on forecast hours
warm_grid_cache_and_broadcast was re-SELECTing 92k hrrr_profiles rows
with JSONB profile/duct_characteristics columns on every forecast hour.
Row decoding exceeded the 15s default DB connection timeout, killing
the worker before f01-f18 could run. Oban retried from f00 and got
stuck in a loop: for the last several hours, no forecast hours were
being written and even f00 was stale.

Build the weather cache rows directly from the in-memory grid_data
the worker already has (Weather.build_grid_cache_rows/2) and
GridCache.broadcast_put directly. No DB round trip, no JSONB decode.

Also widen the cron from hourly to every 3 hours so a full f00-f18
sweep (~95 min) can actually complete before the next run starts,
and drop the redundant prune_old_scores() at worker start
(PropagationPruneWorker already runs every 15 min). Add a 60s query
timeout to load_weather_grid_from_db as defense-in-depth for the
cold-cache fill path that still uses it.
2026-04-13 08:20:28 -05:00
99e7560601
Drop gridmap.org dependency, resolve callsigns locally
Instead of shelling out to https://gridmap.org/locate/:callsign for
callsign → lat/lon lookups, ports the resolver pipeline from gridmap-web
into this project so the whole flow runs in-process.

New modules:

- Microwaveprop.Qrz — cache facade over the QRZ.com XML callsign API.
  Looks up from qrz_callsigns first, falls back to a live fetch, and
  upserts the result with a configurable cache_ttl_hours (default
  168h / 7 days).
- Microwaveprop.Qrz.Client — HTTP/XML client against
  https://xmldata.qrz.com/xml/current/. Holds the session key in an
  Agent, transparently re-logs-in on :session_expired, and parses
  responses via xmerl.
- Microwaveprop.Qrz.Callsign — Ecto schema for the qrz_callsigns
  cache table, binary_id primary key per project convention.
- Microwaveprop.Qrz.Record — slim struct with only the 11 fields
  we actually consume (identity, name, grid, address, lat/lon).
  The full XML payload stays in the raw :data jsonb column for
  anyone who wants the other ~40 QRZ fields.
- Microwaveprop.Geocoder — Req-based client against the Google Maps
  Geocoding API. Only called as a fallback when QRZ has no explicit
  <lat>/<lon> for the callsign.
- Microwaveprop.CallsignLocation — orchestrator. Reads the
  callsign_locations cache, on miss calls Qrz then either uses QRZ's
  coords directly or geocodes the formatted address, snaps to an
  8-char Maidenhead grid via Microwaveprop.Radio.Maidenhead, and
  upserts the result.

Microwaveprop.Radio.CallsignClient.locate/1 is rewritten to delegate
to CallsignLocation.lookup/1 and shape the response back to the
existing {:ok, %{callsign, gridsquare, lat, lon}} contract so the
callers in PathLive and RoverLive don't change.

Wiring:

- priv/repo/migrations/20260413000000_create_qrz_callsigns_and_callsign_locations.exs
  creates qrz_callsigns and callsign_locations with unique indexes
  on :callsign.
- Microwaveprop.Qrz.Client added to the application supervision tree
  so the session Agent is started.
- :xmerl added to extra_applications so the release bundles it.
- config/test.exs wires Req.Test plugs for Microwaveprop.Qrz.Client
  and Microwaveprop.Geocoder, forces cache_ttl_hours: 0 so the cache
  never short-circuits test-level stubs, and supplies dummy QRZ
  credentials.
- config/runtime.exs pulls QRZ_USERNAME / QRZ_PASSWORD / QRZ_AGENT
  and GOOGLE_API_KEY from the environment so prod and dev can
  configure both upstream keys out of band.

Tests (ported verbatim from gridmap-web):

- test/microwaveprop/qrz/callsign_test.exs — schema/changeset
- test/microwaveprop/qrz_test.exs — cache hit, cache miss, TTL
  behavior, upsert on stale, error passthrough, case-insensitive
  input
- test/microwaveprop/geocoder_test.exs — success, zero results,
  request denied, transport error
- test/microwaveprop/callsign_location_test.exs — end-to-end flow
  including the QRZ-lat/lon shortcut and the missing-address error
  path

All 1294 tests still pass. Credo strict clean.
2026-04-12 17:43:29 -05:00
c318c3a932
Nudge HRRR scores with live ASOS obs between runs
Adds Microwaveprop.Propagation.AsosNudge: a pure IDW bias-field module
that takes ASOS observations + HRRR profiles and returns re-scored grid
rows for every cell within 250km of a reporting station. Upper-air
fields (min_refractivity_gradient, pwat_mm, hpbl_m, profile, duct
metadata) pass through unchanged so HRRR's signal isn't clobbered.

The old AsosAdjustmentWorker was unwired and buggy — nil'd out ~22% of
the scoring weight and wrote orphan timestamps. Replaced with a slim
worker that queries the latest HRRR valid_time, fetches live ASOS
currents, calls AsosNudge.compute/3, and upserts onto
(lat, lon, valid_time, band_mhz) so nudged values overwrite the HRRR
hour cleanly instead of polluting available_valid_times. After each
upsert it warms ScoreCache and broadcasts propagation:updated so live
/map clients refresh.

Cron hooked up every 10 minutes in config.exs and dev.exs. Also cleaned
up the stale "dev has propagation disabled" note in CLAUDE.md.

13 new AsosNudge unit tests cover: residual computation (co-located,
out-of-grid, nil fields), IDW weighting (single station, far station,
two equidistant stations, nil component handling), upper-air
preservation, and the compute/3 entry point's shape and radius filter.

Drive-by Styler formatting touched a handful of unrelated files from
`mix format`.
2026-04-12 14:27:27 -05:00
cb6cc8a6e2 Fix map forecast hours, blink, and broken prod email
- Forecast hour clicks showed only a small square of coverage because
  :preload_forecast ran at mount using a hardcoded fallback bounding box
  instead of the client's actual viewport. Move the preload trigger into
  handle_event("map_bounds", ...) so the cache always matches the
  viewport the client just asked about.

- Map overlay blinked on load/update because renderScores called Leaflet
  GridLayer.redraw(), which removes every tile element before recreating
  them. Repaint the existing tile canvases in place instead.

- Prod SMTP to mail.smtp2go.com was failing with an "unexpected_message"
  TLS alert: gen_smtp wasn't sending SNI so the wildcard cert endpoint
  rejected the handshake. Set tls: :always with explicit tls_options
  (server_name_indication, versions, verify).
2026-04-12 13:34:12 -05:00
0e3c06d040 Reduce hrrr queue to 1 per pod to prevent OOM
Native HRRR files are ~400MB each. At hrrr:5 per pod, 5 concurrent
downloads exceed the 4GB pod memory limit causing OOMKilled.
2026-04-10 13:37:37 -05:00
e7a7ae073d Phase 9.3, 9.4, and Phase 3 NEXRAD pipeline
Task 9.3 - Weight recalibration via gradient descent:
- Recalibrator module fits logistic regression weights using Nx
- Trains on QSO positives vs random baseline negatives
- Cross-validates by month, normalizes weights to sum to 1.0
- Mix task: mix recalibrate_scorer --sample 5000 --epochs 2000

Task 9.4 - Side-by-side scorer comparison:
- ScorerDiff.compare/3 re-scores grid with old vs new weights
- Reports mean diff, regressions, improvements, per-band breakdown
- Mix task: mix scorer_diff --new-weights '{...}'

Phase 3 - NEXRAD ingestion pipeline:
- NexradClient fetches IEM n0q composite PNGs, extracts per-point
  box statistics (mean/max dBZ, texture variance)
- NexradObservation schema with unique (lat, lon, observed_at)
- NexradWorker on :nexrad queue for background processing
- nexrad_texture backtest feature in Features module
- mix nexrad_backfill --limit 200

All tasks added to AdminTaskWorker and Release for production use.
1116 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-10 12:48:36 -05:00
01909dbe66 Run admin tasks as Oban jobs instead of blocking eval
Release.backtest_all, climatology, native_derive now enqueue an
AdminTaskWorker job on the new :admin queue and return immediately.
Progress visible in Oban Web at /admin/oban.
2026-04-10 12:26:01 -05:00
73d473a79b Switch Oban to the Pro Smart engine, rate-limit ERA5 CDS
Wire up the Oban Pro Smart engine in base + runtime config and add the
Pro migration (oban_producers, oban_crons, oban_queues tables + the
v1.6 partition/workflow index additions on oban_jobs).

On the Smart engine the era5_batch queue now has a global_limit of 4
in-flight jobs across the cluster and a rate_limit of 10 jobs per hour
so slow Copernicus CDS submit/poll cycles can't exhaust our daily
request budget when a backfill kicks off.
2026-04-09 14:19:04 -05:00
485676887a Move Era5MonthBatchWorker to its own queue
The slow CDS submit/poll/download cycle of the month-batch worker was
sharing the era5 queue with the cheap Era5FetchWorker router, and its
2 concurrent slots were permanently pinned by long-running batch jobs
while hundreds of router jobs starved. Give the batch worker its own
era5_batch queue (also 2 concurrent per pod) so the router has
dedicated capacity.
2026-04-09 14:12:31 -05:00
664f1353db Decouple propagation_scores pruning from the compute worker
Pruning used to only run at the end of a successful PropagationGridWorker
pass, so a stretch of failed compute jobs (k8s OOM kills, SIGTERM)
stopped prune from running and let the table accumulate ~5h of stale
rows. A dedicated PropagationPruneWorker now runs every 15 minutes on
its own Oban cron, and PropagationGridWorker also calls prune_old_scores
at the start of each run as a second safety net. Bumped the delete
timeout from 2m to 5m so the first catch-up pass has enough headroom.
2026-04-09 12:30:10 -05:00
dea407c8ca Add ERA5 reanalysis and RTMA data sources
ERA5 (Copernicus CDS API):
- Era5Profile schema matching HRRR profile structure for interop
- Era5Client with async job submission, polling, GRIB2 download
- Era5FetchWorker (Oban queue: era5, max_attempts: 5)
- Unified lookup: Weather.best_profile_for_contact/1 tries HRRR
  first, falls back to ERA5 for pre-2014 contacts

RTMA (NOAA S3, 2.5km/15-min):
- RtmaObservation schema for surface-only fields
- RtmaClient with byte-range GRIB2 requests (same pattern as HRRR)
- RtmaFetchWorker (Oban queue: rtma, max_attempts: 10)
- Weather.find_nearest_rtma/3 for surface condition lookup

Both queues added to production Oban config (2 workers each).
2026-04-07 12:04:16 -05:00
e03b9fbc0e Add periodic enrichment backfill cron and terrain reconciliation
Runs BackfillEnqueueWorker every 30 minutes to pick up contacts with
pending/queued/failed enrichment status and enqueue missing jobs.
Before enqueueing, reconciles terrain contacts stuck in "queued" by
checking the terrain_profiles FK directly.
2026-04-07 07:36:57 -05:00
d63653e9a1 Bump terrain queue concurrency to 3 per pod 2026-04-06 17:04:26 -05:00
f2e6512974 Re-enable hourly propagation grid scoring in production 2026-04-06 17:02:18 -05:00
e99e585b66 Add type filter to backfill enqueue
Backfill dashboard now has checkboxes to select which enrichment types
to process (HRRR, Weather, Terrain, IEMRE). Prevents weather jobs from
flooding the queue when only HRRR needs work.
2026-04-06 11:42:26 -05:00
89ade2e8cc Bump HRRR queue concurrency from 1 to 5 per pod
15 concurrent HRRR fetches across 3 pods to process the 16,870
contacts that need fresh HRRR data from NOAA.
2026-04-06 10:54:45 -05:00
08f01151ca Reduce Oban concurrency for 3-pod cluster, bump memory limit
Per-pod queues divided by 3 to maintain sane cluster totals.
Lifeline rescue reduced to 10 min to recover OOM orphans faster.
Memory limit 2Gi → 4Gi for HRRR wgrib2 processing.
2026-04-06 10:06:13 -05:00
2de94e2318 Add Erlang clustering via libcluster and expose LiveDashboard
- libcluster with Kubernetes IP strategy for pod discovery
- RBAC for pod list/get, POD_IP from downward API, shared cookie
- LiveDashboard at /dashboard for all environments
2026-04-06 09:46:48 -05:00
8cca7461d4 Reduce DB pool size to 20 for 3-replica deployment
3 replicas × 50 connections exceeded max_connections during rollout.
20 per replica = 60 steady-state, 120 during rolling deploy.
2026-04-06 09:38:59 -05:00
0b68cb2d29
Disable propagation grid worker and add maintenance banner to map 2026-04-05 17:08:40 -05:00
2f65ec8dff
Reduce HRRR worker concurrency to 3 2026-04-05 16:20:23 -05:00
94d1ce2809
Increase DB pool size to 50 to prevent connection exhaustion under load 2026-04-05 12:54:21 -05:00
ad1b01807c
Batch is_grid_point backfill and reduce HRRR workers to 5
- Split migration backfill into 50k-row batches to avoid container timeout
- Reduce prod HRRR worker concurrency from 10 to 5
2026-04-05 08:06:20 -05:00
16883591b4
Database performance fixes and async backfill enqueue
- Fix score_pressure crash on nil pressure_mb (coastal HRRR points)
- Set 10-min timeout on grid score upsert transaction (was :infinity)
- Single DELETE for prune_old_scores instead of N queries in a loop
- Remove dead load_hrrr_refractivity that loaded 95k rows into nil map
- Pass selected_time to point_detail to skip latest_valid_time sub-query
- Batch station existence checks (1 query per path point, not per station)
- Batch solar index upserts via insert_all in chunks of 500
- Batch backfill_distances via single UPDATE FROM VALUES statement
- Add is_grid_point boolean + partial index to hrrr_profiles (replaces
  non-sargable modular arithmetic filter on every weather map query)
- Add partial index on contacts(qso_timestamp) WHERE pos1 IS NOT NULL
- Move backfill enqueue to Oban worker so UI returns immediately
2026-04-04 19:19:18 -05:00
b4012baf89
Increase Oban queue concurrency for backfill throughput 2026-04-03 09:15:04 -05:00
d275e9e7c4
fix enrichment 2026-04-02 15:30:41 -05:00
2f9d645c50
Configure outbound SMTP email via Swoosh with TLS 2026-04-02 13:08:50 -05:00
93f2c32971
Remove timex, earmark, dns_cluster deps; add local implementations
- Replace Timex with regex-based timestamp parser (broader format support)
- Replace Earmark with local Markdown.to_html! (headings, code blocks,
  tables, lists, inline formatting, links, horizontal rules)
- Remove dns_cluster (unused, single-instance deployment)
- Add stream_data property tests for timestamp parsing (5 properties
  covering ISO, US dates, AM/PM, format roundtrips, garbage rejection)
- Removes transitive deps: combine, tzdata, hackney, certifi, metrics,
  mimerl, parse_trans, ssl_verify_fun
2026-04-02 12:17:37 -05:00
bffe3616b5
Disable force_ssl — SSL terminated by Cloudflare tunnel 2026-04-02 10:20:43 -05:00
bb35d325b3
Remove local HRRR cache dir in prod, proxy only 2026-04-02 09:53:01 -05:00
9f3d47e3b6
Configure prod HRRR caching and proxy via skippy 2026-04-02 09:52:31 -05:00
2da061201d
Disable ASOS adjustment cron, rely solely on HRRR hourly scoring
ASOS re-scoring was upserting 458K records every 10 min while losing
the refractivity gradient (the key ducting indicator). HRRR hourly
provides all surface variables plus vertical profile data.
2026-03-31 16:00:04 -05:00
ee6975bc39
Fix ASOS upsert timeout: infinite tx timeout, bump prod pool to 20
458K-record upsert held a connection for the entire transaction,
exceeding the 15s Postgrex timeout on prod. Set transaction timeout
to infinity and increase prod pool from 10 to 20.
2026-03-31 15:54:19 -05:00
40d1fa03aa
QSO submission triggers enrichment directly, fix prod badarith crash
- Add enqueue_for_qso/1 to directly enqueue weather/HRRR/terrain/IEMRE
  jobs for a single user-submitted QSO (no cron, no bulk processing)
- Submit flow calls enqueue_for_qso instead of generic enqueue worker
- Add enrichment queues to prod config for on-demand processing
- Guard against HRRR fill values in store_hrrr_profiles (fixes badarith)
- Filter QSOs without pos2 in build_terrain_jobs
2026-03-31 12:29:39 -05:00
187fdf085e
Disable historical backfill queues and cron in production
Only run live scoring (propagation, commercial, solar) in prod.
Backfill queues (weather, hrrr, iemre, terrain, enqueue) and the
QsoWeatherEnqueueWorker cron are dev-only for historical enrichment.
2026-03-31 11:05:33 -05:00
2ae60d036b
Add SRTM auto-download on tile miss from AWS Terrain Tiles
When a local .hgt tile is missing, download it from the public AWS S3
skadi bucket, decompress with zlib, and write to the tiles directory
before retrying the lookup. Falls back to Open-Meteo/OpenTopo APIs if
the download fails.
2026-03-30 08:36:21 -05:00
bc674f0d54
initial 2026-03-28 11:28:47 -05:00