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3 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
250709a1b2 Add more caching to make the map feel instant
- ScoreCache stores {band, valid_time} as %{{lat, lon} => score} map so
  point lookups are O(1); adds fetch_point/4 and valid_times/1
- available_valid_times/1 reads directly from ScoreCache when warm,
  falls back to DB on cold start
- point_forecast/3 iterates cached valid_times and uses fetch_point/4
  instead of hitting the DB per click
- NexradCache: node-local ETS cache of decoded n0q PNG pixel buffers
  keyed by 5-minute rounded timestamp; skips ~1-5s HTTP+decode on
  concurrent/repeat clicks within the same window
- MapLive: start_async the rain_scatter fetch so point_detail renders
  immediately with a pending marker; push rain_scatter_update when
  NEXRAD resolves
- MapLive: preload all 18 remaining forecast hours for the current
  viewport after mount/band change/propagation_updated; client caches
  them and renders timeline scrubs instantly without a server roundtrip.
  Adds set_selected_time event for fast-path state sync.
- Propagation map JS: forecastCache map + drawScatterMarkers helper,
  timeline click uses preloaded cache when available
2026-04-12 12:26:25 -05:00
e8ae407be9 Add rain scatter prediction to map detail panel
When clicking a grid point, fetches the latest NEXRAD composite
reflectivity and identifies rain cells within 300 km that could
enable rain scatter contacts. Shows:
- Scatter classification (excellent/good/marginal/none)
- Top 3 cells with dBZ, distance, bearing, and relative signal
- Colored circle markers on the map at rain cell locations
- Markers sized by reflectivity, colored by intensity

Uses simplified bistatic radar equation accounting for reflectivity,
frequency-dependent scattering (Rayleigh/Mie), and R^4 path loss.
NEXRAD cells sampled every ~5 km within bounding box for efficiency.
2026-04-11 15:19:19 -05:00
e7a7ae073d Phase 9.3, 9.4, and Phase 3 NEXRAD pipeline
Task 9.3 - Weight recalibration via gradient descent:
- Recalibrator module fits logistic regression weights using Nx
- Trains on QSO positives vs random baseline negatives
- Cross-validates by month, normalizes weights to sum to 1.0
- Mix task: mix recalibrate_scorer --sample 5000 --epochs 2000

Task 9.4 - Side-by-side scorer comparison:
- ScorerDiff.compare/3 re-scores grid with old vs new weights
- Reports mean diff, regressions, improvements, per-band breakdown
- Mix task: mix scorer_diff --new-weights '{...}'

Phase 3 - NEXRAD ingestion pipeline:
- NexradClient fetches IEM n0q composite PNGs, extracts per-point
  box statistics (mean/max dBZ, texture variance)
- NexradObservation schema with unique (lat, lon, observed_at)
- NexradWorker on :nexrad queue for background processing
- nexrad_texture backtest feature in Features module
- mix nexrad_backfill --limit 200

All tasks added to AdminTaskWorker and Release for production use.
1116 tests, 0 failures.
2026-04-10 12:48:36 -05:00