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28 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
900685aa06 Phase 1 tasks 1.1-1.5: HRRR native hybrid-sigma ingestion
- Spike docs at docs/research/hrrr_native_levels.md confirming files
  are on AWS S3 for 5+ years, 50 hybrid levels, and include TKE and
  SPFH needed for Phase 2 turbulence features. Architectural finding:
  per-point on-demand fetching is impractical (~530 MB/file), so
  the ingestion worker batches per (date, hour) instead.
- hrrr_native_profiles schema: arrays per level plus cached surface
  scalars and placeholder columns for Phase 2/4 derived fields.
  Strictly additive — the existing hrrr_profiles table is untouched.
- HrrrNativeClient: pure URL/message-list helpers, build_native_profile/1
  that turns a parsed wgrib2 map into the schema shape (TDD'd).
- Exposed HrrrClient.download_grib_ranges/2 so the native client
  reuses the existing parallel byte-range download + disk cache.
- HrrrNativeGridWorker: Oban worker keyed on {year, month, day, hour},
  unique at :infinity, pulls distinct (lat, lon) points from contacts
  in the ±30 min window, downloads the native grib2, extracts per
  point, bulk-upserts.
- mix hrrr_native_backfill --limit N enqueues the top-N hours by
  contact count.

Phase 1 gate still pending Task 1.6 (sanity-check backtest after
live data lands).
2026-04-09 16:23:51 -05:00
8637253fda Batch ERA5 fetches by month and 2° tile
Per-point ERA5 fetches were tragically slow because every point-hour
triggered its own asynchronous CDS job (submit → poll → assemble →
download). For backfill this meant thousands of independent jobs
queued against Copernicus. The new path groups requests by calendar
month and a 2° × 2° lat/lon tile so one CDS cycle populates ~60k
profiles at once, and Oban uniqueness on (year, month, tile_lat,
tile_lon) collapses every duplicate enqueue.

- Era5BatchClient builds the monthly CDS requests, extracts every
  (lat, lon, hour) from the GRIB2 blob with wgrib2, derives
  refractivity params, and bulk-inserts in 2k-row chunks with
  on_conflict: :nothing. fetch_month_into_db/1 short-circuits when
  the month-tile already has any cached profile.
- Era5MonthBatchWorker runs the batch on the :era5 queue with a
  generous backoff (10m → 1d) and the uniqueness key above.
- Era5FetchWorker is now a thin router: cache hit → :ok, cache miss
  → enqueue the month-batch for the point's tile-month and return.
  No more per-point CDS calls.
- Wgrib2 grows extract_grid_messages/3 which preserves per-message
  datetimes by parsing `d=YYYYMMDDHH[MMSS]` from the inventory, so a
  single GRIB2 file carrying a whole month decodes correctly.
- The era5_backfill mix task enqueues month-tile batches directly.
2026-04-09 13:01:49 -05:00
664f1353db Decouple propagation_scores pruning from the compute worker
Pruning used to only run at the end of a successful PropagationGridWorker
pass, so a stretch of failed compute jobs (k8s OOM kills, SIGTERM)
stopped prune from running and let the table accumulate ~5h of stale
rows. A dedicated PropagationPruneWorker now runs every 15 minutes on
its own Oban cron, and PropagationGridWorker also calls prune_old_scores
at the start of each run as a second safety net. Bumped the delete
timeout from 2m to 5m so the first catch-up pass has enough headroom.
2026-04-09 12:30:10 -05:00
6476bc8045 Dedupe ERA5 fetch jobs by (lat, lon, valid_time)
The Era5FetchWorker now declares an Oban unique constraint on
{lat, lon, valid_time} for any job in available/scheduled/executing/
retryable, so two backfill runs targeting the same contact grid point
can no longer spawn parallel CDS requests for the same hour.

Because Oban OSS insert_all doesn't honor unique, ERA5 jobs are now
routed through Oban.insert/1 from ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker and the
era5_backfill mix task. Other worker types still use insert_all.
2026-04-08 15:52:53 -05:00
646467cf4d Store stub records on empty weather fetches to prevent infinite backfill retries
When ASOS/RAOB/IEMRE APIs return empty data, store a stub record so
dedup checks (has_surface_observations?, has_sounding?, has_iemre_observation?)
see coverage and don't recreate the same jobs on future backfill runs.
2026-04-06 16:10:39 -05:00
e99e585b66 Add type filter to backfill enqueue
Backfill dashboard now has checkboxes to select which enrichment types
to process (HRRR, Weather, Terrain, IEMRE). Prevents weather jobs from
flooding the queue when only HRRR needs work.
2026-04-06 11:42:26 -05:00
c98aabfc15 Add BackfillEnqueueWorker tests (0→100% coverage) 2026-04-06 10:15:38 -05:00
62c9600f67 Add Tier 2 test coverage: SolarIndexWorker, HrrrFetchWorker, IemClient
SolarIndexWorker 36→100% (date-arg clause), HrrrFetchWorker 38→42%
(batch skip, backoff), IemClient 65→74% (fetch_current_asos).
2026-04-06 10:15:38 -05:00
bdc4d08111
Rename remaining qsos variable names to contacts in tests 2026-04-02 15:56:31 -05:00
da75977a55
Rename qsos table to contacts, qso_id to contact_id
- Migration renames table, column, all indexes, and FK constraints
- Contact schema now references "contacts" table
- TerrainProfile foreign key renamed from qso_id to contact_id
- All code and tests updated to use contact_id
2026-04-02 15:52:19 -05:00
d275e9e7c4
fix enrichment 2026-04-02 15:30:41 -05:00
79af4e4959
Ensure positions computed from grids before any enrichment
- Radio.ensure_positions!/1 computes pos1/pos2/distance from grids
- Called in contact show page mount and enqueue_for_contact
- Migration backfills positions for existing contacts missing them
- Migration corrects enrichment statuses based on actual data presence
- Backfill dashboard includes contacts with grids but no positions
2026-04-02 12:28:48 -05:00
55a51f69ab
Replace boolean enrichment flags with enum status fields
- New fields: hrrr_status, weather_status, terrain_status, iemre_status
  with values: pending, queued, processing, complete, failed, unavailable
- EnrichmentStatus module defines valid state transitions
- Migration backfills: queued=true → complete, false → pending
- Workers set status on transitions (queued on enqueue, complete on finish)
- Show page reads status from contact struct, not computed dynamically
- Backfill dashboard queries status fields for accurate progress counts
- Remove cron-scheduled ContactWeatherEnqueueWorker (enrichment only on
  submission, page view, or manual backfill)
- Partial indexes on status != 'complete' for fast unprocessed lookups
2026-04-02 12:07:51 -05:00
254e64dedc
Rename qsos to contacts throughout codebase, keep DB table name
Rename all modules, functions, variables, routes, and UI text from
qso/qsos to contact/contacts. Database table stays as "qsos" to avoid
migration. Add /qsos -> /contacts redirects for old URLs.
2026-04-01 11:25:04 -05:00
bc529af392
Update algo.md Finding 10: corrected mode advantage, no SSB on rainscatter 2026-04-01 11:10:11 -05:00
40d1fa03aa
QSO submission triggers enrichment directly, fix prod badarith crash
- Add enqueue_for_qso/1 to directly enqueue weather/HRRR/terrain/IEMRE
  jobs for a single user-submitted QSO (no cron, no bulk processing)
- Submit flow calls enqueue_for_qso instead of generic enqueue worker
- Add enrichment queues to prod config for on-demand processing
- Guard against HRRR fill values in store_hrrr_profiles (fixes badarith)
- Filter QSOs without pos2 in build_terrain_jobs
2026-03-31 12:29:39 -05:00
a283ad9c66
Refactor HRRR fetch to batch points per hour
QSO enrichment now groups all path points by HRRR hour and creates
one batch job per hour instead of one job per point. The batch job
downloads the GRIB2 data once and extracts all needed points from
the same binary. Legacy single-point jobs are still supported for
backward compatibility.
2026-03-30 17:21:47 -05:00
ded9c054ac
Multi-point path enrichment for HRRR, IEMRE, and weather data
Enqueue worker now gathers atmospheric data at pos1, midpoint, and pos2
along each QSO path instead of only pos1. Existing has_* guards prevent
duplicate fetches at each grid point.

- Add Radio.qso_path_points/1 for path point extraction
- Update hrrr_job_for_qso, iemre_job_for_qso, jobs_for_qso to iterate path points
- Refactor Weather into find_nearest_hrrr/3 and find_nearest_iemre/3
- Add hrrr_profiles_for_path/1 and iemre_for_path/1 query functions
- Add mix reset_enrichment task to trigger re-processing
2026-03-30 16:09:01 -05:00
ea439e56bd
bump algo and fix backfill worker 2026-03-30 15:54:04 -05:00
3228835636
Add IEM precipitation data to QSO weather pipeline
- Add precip_1h_in and wx_codes fields to ASOS surface observations
- Add IEMRE reanalysis schema for radar-derived hourly precipitation
- Add IemreFetchWorker with exponential backoff and idempotency
- Integrate IEMRE enqueue into cron weather backfill pipeline
- All existing QSOs marked iemre_queued=false for automatic backfill
2026-03-30 13:18:11 -05:00
e2f5376355
Cancel HRRR jobs on permanent failures (404, outside_grid)
HTTP 404 means the HRRR data doesn't exist on NOAA S3 (pre-2014
dates, etc.) and will never succeed. Return {:cancel, reason}
instead of {:error, reason} so Oban stops retrying immediately.
2026-03-30 07:53:49 -05:00
5a9359191f
Replace wgrib2 with pure Elixir GRIB2 decoder for HRRR pipeline
Eliminates the external wgrib2 C tool dependency that blocked HRRR
processing. Implements Lambert Conformal projection, simple packing
(Template 5.0), complex packing with spatial differencing (Template 5.3),
and GRIB2 section parsing — enough to extract point values from HRRR
grid data using only Elixir.
2026-03-29 18:43:43 -05:00
45e2e69361
Add SRTM terrain path profiles for QSOs
Fetch elevation data along the path between two stations via the
Open-Meteo Elevation API (with Open-Topo-Data fallback), compute
Fresnel zone clearance, earth bulge, and knife-edge diffraction loss,
and store the results per QSO.

- terrain_profiles table with migration and TerrainProfile schema
- ElevationClient with batched API calls and fallback
- TerrainAnalysis with Fresnel/diffraction physics (ITU-R P.526-15)
- TerrainProfileWorker on Oban :terrain queue
- QsoWeatherEnqueueWorker enqueues terrain jobs automatically
- QSO show page displays verdict badge and collapsible elevation table
- Reorder show page: terrain, soundings, solar, HRRR, surface obs
- Fix Dockerfile wgrib2 build (add cmake dependency)
2026-03-29 16:22:29 -05:00
8bd0989fbe
Add HRRR model profile fetching for QSOs
HRRR provides hourly 3km-resolution atmospheric profiles, filling the
temporal gaps (12-hourly soundings) and spatial gaps (only 9 sounding
stations) in our current weather data.

- Add hrrr_profiles table and hrrr_queued flag on QSOs
- HrrrClient fetches GRIB2 data via HTTP Range requests + wgrib2
- HrrrFetchWorker derives refractivity/ducting params via SoundingParams
- QsoWeatherEnqueueWorker now also enqueues HRRR jobs
- QSO show page displays HRRR section with collapsible profile
- Dockerfile builds wgrib2 from source for production
2026-03-29 15:54:22 -05:00
d50c78102d
Backfill missing QSO distances during weather enqueue scan
Adds haversine_km/4 to Radio context and backfill_distances/1 which
calculates distance_km from pos1/pos2 for QSOs missing it. Called
by QsoWeatherEnqueueWorker before enqueueing weather fetches.
2026-03-29 14:16:38 -05:00
c38596cc36
Add QsoWeatherEnqueueWorker cron job to auto-fetch weather for new QSOs
Oban cron worker runs every 4 hours, finds QSOs without weather data,
discovers nearby ASOS/sounding stations, and enqueues WeatherFetchWorker
jobs. Migrations run automatically on app start in production.
2026-03-29 14:11:03 -05:00
5124cc09c1
Add IEM rate limiting, Req retry, and Oban retry for failed weather fetches
IEM was returning 503s under 10 concurrent workers. Three fixes:
- Req transient retry with exponential backoff on IEM requests
- WeatherFetchWorker Oban job retries failed ASOS/RAOB fetches 2-3h later
  with random jitter to avoid thundering herd
- Import script concurrency reduced 10→5, weather queue capped at 3
2026-03-29 13:24:52 -05:00
6f16395f44
Add QSO import, solar indices, Oban workers, LiveView UI, and parallel weather import
- Radio context with QSO schema and CSV import script (58K contacts)
- Solar index schema, GFZ client, and daily Oban cron worker
- LiveView dashboard with QSO table and weather correlation views
- Parallelize weather import script using Task.async_stream (10 concurrent workers)
- Replace sequential rate_limit sleeps with concurrency-based backpressure
- Atomic progress counter for interleave-safe reporting
2026-03-29 13:04:55 -05:00