Commit graph

22 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
57578dff4d Add native HRRR duct detection to hourly propagation scoring
The PropagationGridWorker now fetches native hybrid-sigma levels
(TMP, SPFH, HGT, PRES × 50 levels) alongside the standard surface
and pressure products. Native data provides 10-50m vertical spacing
vs 250m from pressure levels, detecting thin surface ducts invisible
to the standard product.

Key design: cell-by-cell reducer in Wgrib2.extract_grid_from_file_mapped
processes each of the 95k CONUS cells through a duct analysis function
inline, keeping only scalar metrics per cell. Peak memory ~86 MB
instead of ~1.8 GB for the full grid map.

Per-cell output: native_min_gradient, best_duct_freq_ghz,
max_duct_thickness_m, duct_count. The scorer prefers the native
gradient over the pressure-level gradient when available.

Native fetch is optional — if it fails, scoring continues with
pressure-level data only.
2026-04-11 13:30:48 -05:00
33fae7b7c9 Reduce memory pressure: Stream large collections, GC between phases
- Stream profile storage and score upsert instead of materializing
  full 20k+ item lists (propagation_grid_worker, propagation.ex)
- GC between forecast hours and store/compute phases to reclaim
  ~400 MB of grid data between steps
- Single-pass field extraction in scorer.ex path_integrated_conditions
  instead of 6 separate Enum traversals
- Eliminate intermediate merged map in fetch_grid by combining
  merge + profile build into one pipe
- Fix UUID bug: bingenerate → generate in native grid worker
  (same issue previously fixed in nexrad_worker)
2026-04-10 16:45:50 -05:00
664f1353db Decouple propagation_scores pruning from the compute worker
Pruning used to only run at the end of a successful PropagationGridWorker
pass, so a stretch of failed compute jobs (k8s OOM kills, SIGTERM)
stopped prune from running and let the table accumulate ~5h of stale
rows. A dedicated PropagationPruneWorker now runs every 15 minutes on
its own Oban cron, and PropagationGridWorker also calls prune_old_scores
at the start of each run as a second safety net. Bumped the delete
timeout from 2m to 5m so the first catch-up pass has enough headroom.
2026-04-09 12:30:10 -05:00
10390f3d07
Broadcast weather:updated PubSub after HRRR profiles stored 2026-04-03 15:10:16 -05:00
d95098daa9
Remove queue pausing from PropagationGridWorker 2026-04-02 15:30:06 -05:00
1fa8681c54
Keep hrrr queue running during propagation grid worker
Don't pause the hrrr queue while PropagationGridWorker runs,
so on-demand HRRR fetches from contact detail pages can proceed.
2026-04-02 15:02:23 -05:00
8f4f491a5e
Revert to algorithm scorer as primary, add propagation reach polygon
The ML model undervalues conditions outside Aug/Sep training data
(e.g. April with excellent factors scored 37/100). Algorithm's
physics-based factors handle unseen seasons correctly.

- Algorithm is primary scorer, ML infrastructure kept for iteration
- Remove unused ML grid worker code path
- Add client-side propagation reach: BFS flood-fill from clicked point
  through contiguous cells with score >= 50, drawn as convex hull polygon
2026-04-01 10:21:54 -05:00
02cb4fd67b
Integrate ML model into grid worker, QSO search, and UI improvements
ML Integration:
- Load trained model at app startup, cache compiled predict fn in persistent_term
- Grid worker uses batched ML prediction (10K chunks) when model loaded,
  falls back to algorithm scorer when not
- ML score replaces composite, algorithm factor scores preserved for detail view
- Fix process explosion: single EXLA call per chunk instead of per-grid-point

QSO Features:
- Callsign search (ILIKE on station1/station2) with trigram indexes
- Reciprocal QSO grouping (same pair, same band, same hour)
- Wider layout (max-w-7xl) for data table pages
- QSO Training Data link on map page

Infrastructure:
- Re-enable hourly propagation grid worker in dev
- Track ML model weights in git for Docker builds
- Add btree indexes on qsos (timestamp, band, distance_km)
- Remove nav icons from layout header
2026-04-01 10:14:22 -05:00
c12f8cf5ed
Use local solar time for time-of-day scoring, add PWAT factor and pressure refinements
Score time-of-day per grid point using longitude/15 solar offset instead of
hardcoded CST/CDT. Add PWAT as 10th scoring factor. Refine pressure thresholds.
Update ML model and training pipeline to use local solar time.
2026-04-01 08:58:21 -05:00
b7fc195e82
Ensure stale scores get pruned even when HRRR fetch fails 2026-04-01 08:36:14 -05:00
fe5228b306
Prevent duplicate PropagationGridWorker jobs via Oban unique constraint
Worker now uses unique: [period: 3600, states: [:available, :scheduled,
:executing, :retryable]] so Oban atomically prevents duplicates.
FreshnessMonitor simplified — no longer does manual oban_jobs query.
2026-03-31 17:16:40 -05:00
e82e631135
HRRR forecast hours (f00-f18) with timeline map UI
- HrrrClient.hrrr_url accepts forecast_hour param (wrfsfcfHH.grib2)
- PropagationGridWorker fetches all 19 forecast hours per run
- Propagation.scores_at/3 queries scores at specific valid_time
- Propagation.available_valid_times/1 returns all forecast times for timeline
- Pruning keeps scores with valid_time >= now - 2h (forecast-aware)
- MapLive: select_time event, timeline data pushed to JS
- JS: forecast timeline bar at bottom of map with clickable hour buttons
- PubSub broadcast sends list of valid_times instead of single time
2026-03-31 16:44:47 -05:00
77db483a27
Add timing instrumentation to PropagationGridWorker
Logs duration for each phase: HRRR fetch, profile storage, score
computation, and upsert, plus total elapsed time.
2026-03-31 16:18:10 -05:00
6d103d7cc4
Prune HRRR grid profiles older than 48h after each scoring run
Deletes grid-aligned profiles (0.125 degree) older than 48 hours
while preserving QSO-linked profiles at arbitrary positions.
Called after each PropagationGridWorker run.
2026-03-31 16:03:14 -05:00
40d1fa03aa
QSO submission triggers enrichment directly, fix prod badarith crash
- Add enqueue_for_qso/1 to directly enqueue weather/HRRR/terrain/IEMRE
  jobs for a single user-submitted QSO (no cron, no bulk processing)
- Submit flow calls enqueue_for_qso instead of generic enqueue worker
- Add enrichment queues to prod config for on-demand processing
- Guard against HRRR fill values in store_hrrr_profiles (fixes badarith)
- Filter QSOs without pos2 in build_terrain_jobs
2026-03-31 12:29:39 -05:00
e0d9900608
Add real-time ASOS adjustments between hourly HRRR updates
New AsosAdjustmentWorker runs every 10 minutes:
- Fetches latest ASOS observations from all ~2900 US stations via
  IEM bulk currents API (parallel fetch across 51 state networks)
- For each grid point within 75km of a reporting station, re-scores
  using fresh ASOS data (temp, dewpoint, wind, sky, pressure, precip)
  with HRRR refractivity gradient from the last hourly computation
- Pushes updated scores to the map via PubSub

Also stores HRRR profiles in the database during grid computation
so the data persists for reference and ASOS blending.
2026-03-31 09:10:12 -05:00
321133c3cb
Push map updates via PubSub when propagation scores are computed 2026-03-31 08:57:51 -05:00
becdf89978
Truncate valid_time microseconds for Ecto utc_datetime 2026-03-31 08:48:32 -05:00
6d4a3e8738
Remove unique constraint from propagation grid worker that blocked execution 2026-03-31 07:02:19 -05:00
7f6905645f
Pause backfill queues during propagation grid fetch
The hrrr/weather/iemre/terrain backfill queues (20+ concurrent jobs)
were competing for bandwidth with the propagation grid HRRR download.
Now pauses those queues before the grid fetch and resumes them after,
ensuring the hourly propagation update completes reliably.
2026-03-30 17:42:05 -05:00
f6b1f751d4
Use 2-hour lag for HRRR grid fetch to ensure data availability 2026-03-30 17:32:39 -05:00
1e205cb471
Add propagation context, grid worker, and fix merge issues
- Replace stub propagation.ex with real implementation (score_grid_point,
  upsert_scores, latest_scores, latest_valid_time)
- Add PropagationGridWorker (hourly Oban cron) for CONUS grid scoring
- Add mix propagation_grid task for manual triggering
- Fix duplicate extract_grid/2 from parallel merges
- Fix extract_grid to skip outside-grid points instead of erroring
- Add propagation queue to Oban config
2026-03-30 17:18:05 -05:00